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Paganese vs Heraclea Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – September 14

Paganese
WWDLW
No standing data
1
0-1
FT
14/09/2025 10:05
Heraclea
W
No standing data
Italy Serie D
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Paganese vs Heraclea on September 14, 2025 (kick-off: 10:05) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Paganese vs Heraclea preview before placing for you.

  • Our algorithm prediction: Paganese to win with probability 54%.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
10:05

2025-09-14

Paganese vs Heraclea - Prediction & Odds

Paganese
Paganese
Heraclea
Heraclea
2025-09-14 10:05
54
26
20
1
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.25
1.67
FT
0-1 0-1
-
weather
27°C
STANDINGS UP TO 14/09/2025
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Paganese and Heraclea in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Paganese Paganese Last 6 matches
07/09/2025 09:30
Nardo 1 - 2 Paganese ITA S4
31/08/2025 10:00
Paganese 2 - 0 Ischia Isolaverde ITA S4 CUP
04/05/2025 09:00
Paganese 1 - 1 USD Latte Dolce ITA S4
27/04/2025 08:30
Ilvamaddalena 2 - 0 Paganese ITA S4
17/04/2025 08:30
Paganese 1 - 0 Atletico Uri ITA S4
13/04/2025 09:00
Sarnese 1 - 0 Paganese ITA S4
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Heraclea Heraclea
07/09/2025 09:00
Heraclea 1 - 0 Real Agro Aversa ITA S4
Win
100%
Draw
0%
Lost
0%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Paganese
Paganese
112
 Heraclea
Heraclea
17
Goals
Scored
69
Avg. per game
0.62
Conceded
58
Avg. per game
0.52
Scored
10
Avg. per game
0.59
Conceded
11
Avg. per game
0.65
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
4 (67%)2 (33%)
In last 112 home matches
YesNo
51 (46%)61 (54%)
In last 112 home matches
NoYes
9 (53%)8 (47%)
Paganese

Paganese

Recent matches

Heraclea

Heraclea

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)12 5(29%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(35%)6 11(65%)

/Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(59%)10 7(41%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Paganese Paganese
Heraclea Heraclea
Shots
Paganese
Paganese
Total shots
10.29 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Heraclea
Heraclea
Total shots
— avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Paganese Paganese Pass Heraclea Heraclea
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
51%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
—
TOTAL ATTACKS
Paganese
Paganese
9226
Avg. 82.38 / game
 Heraclea
Heraclea
0
Avg. 0.00 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Paganese
Paganese
5921
Avg. 52.87 / game
 Heraclea
Heraclea
0
Avg. 0.00 / game
OTHERS
Paganese
Paganese
112
Played games
Heraclea
Heraclea
17
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.44
49
Clean sheets
3
0.18
3.58
401
Corners
0
0.00
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.07
8
Offsides
0
0.00
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Paganese
Paganese
DISCIPLINARY
Heraclea
Heraclea
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.01
225
Yellow card
0
0.00
0.10
11
Red card
0
0.00
0.35
39
Fouls
0
0.00
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Paganese vs Heraclea Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Paganese vs Heraclea on 14 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Paganese vs Heraclea Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Paganese's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Heraclea's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Paganese and Heraclea sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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