Paganese vs Aprilia Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 05

Paganese

W W L L D

No standing data

1 - 0

05/03/2023 09:30

Aprilia

L D L D W

No standing data

Italy Serie D

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Paganese vs Aprilia on March 05, 2023 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Paganese vs Aprilia preview before placing for you.

Head-to-head history favors Paganese, who have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. Aprilia have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 05/03/2023

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Paganese and Aprilia in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2023 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

30/10/2022 09:30

Aprilia

0 - 1

Paganese

ITA S4

19/02/2012 09:30

Aprilia

3 - 0

Paganese

ITA C2

09/10/2011 09:00

Paganese

2 - 0

Aprilia

ITA C2

Paganese

67%

Draw

Aprilia

33%

Paganese Last 6 matches

26/02/2023 09:00

Ilvamaddalena 0 - 4 Paganese ITA S4

19/02/2023 09:30

Paganese 3 - 0 Portici 1906 ITA S4

11/02/2023 09:30

US Palmese 3 - 1 Paganese ITA S4

05/02/2023 09:00

Paganese 0 - 3 Atletico Uri ITA S4

29/01/2023 09:30

SS Angri 1 - 1 Paganese ITA S4

22/01/2023 10:30

Paganese 2 - 1 US Casertana 1908 ITA S4

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Aprilia

26/02/2023 09:30

Aprilia 1 - 2 COS Sarrabus Ogliastra ITA S4

19/02/2023 09:00

Ilvamaddalena 0 - 0 Aprilia ITA S4

12/02/2023 09:30

Aprilia 1 - 3 SS Nola 1925 ITA S4

05/02/2023 09:30

Aprilia 1 - 1 Palmese 1914 ITA S4

29/01/2023 09:30

AS Sorrento Calcio 0 - 1 Aprilia ITA S4

22/01/2023 09:30

Aprilia 0 - 0 Portici 1906 ITA S4

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Paganese

224

Aprilia

Goals

Scored

122

Avg. per game

0.54

Conceded

140

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.78

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 224 matches

YesNo

91 (41%)133 (59%)

In last 224 matches

NoYes

34 (43%)45 (57%)

Paganese

Recent matches

Aprilia

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(13%)6 39(87%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Paganese

Aprilia

Shots

Paganese

Total shots

9.42 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Aprilia

Total shots

8.02 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Paganese Pass Aprilia

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Paganese

224

Played games

Aprilia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

0.29

2.90

649

Corners

178

2.25

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

0.12

Offsides

0.00

GK saves

0.00

Paganese

DISCIPLINARY

Aprilia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.76

395

1.24

0.10

0.10

0.44

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Paganese vs Aprilia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Paganese vs Aprilia on 05 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Paganese vs Aprilia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Paganese's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Aprilia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Paganese and Aprilia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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