Padova vs Spezia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 03 March

Padova

L W W L W

9th place in Italian Serie B

2-2

03/03/2026 14:00

Spezia

L L W L D

20th place in Italian Serie B

Italian Serie B

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Padova vs Spezia on 03 March 2026 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Padova vs Spezia preview before placing your bet.

Padova are currently 9th with 46 points after 38 matches.
Spezia sit 20th with 35 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: a draw with probability 31%.
Head-to-head history favors Padova, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Spezia have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2026-03-03

Padova vs Spezia - Prediction & Odds

Padova

Spezia

2026-03-03 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 03/03/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Venezia	82	38	24	10	4	77	31	46
02 Frosinone	81	38	23	12	3	76	34	42
03 Monza	76	38	22	10	6	61	32	29
04 Palermo	72	38	20	12	6	61	33	28
05 Catanzaro	59	38	15	14	9	62	51	11
06 Modena	55	38	15	10	13	49	36	13
07 Juve Stabia	51	38	11	18	9	44	45	-1
08 Avellino	49	38	13	10	15	43	55	-12
09 Padova	46	38	12	10	16	39	49	-10
10 Cesena	46	38	12	10	16	45	56	-11
11 Mantova	46	38	13	7	18	45	57	-12
12 Carrarese	44	38	10	14	14	47	52	-5
13 Sampdoria	44	38	11	11	16	35	48	-13
14 ACD Virtus Entella	42	38	10	12	16	36	51	-15
15 Empoli	41	38	9	14	15	47	54	-7
16 SudTirol	41	38	8	17	13	38	48	-10
17 Bari	40	38	10	10	18	38	60	-22
18 A.C. Reggiana 1919	37	38	9	10	19	36	56	-20
19 Pescara	35	38	7	14	17	51	66	-15
20 Spezia	35	38	8	11	19	43	59	-16

Head To Head

29/10/2025 15:30

Spezia

1 - 1

Padova

ITA D2

27/07/2022 14:30

Padova

1 - 5

Spezia

INT CF

09/03/2019 13:00

Spezia

0 - 2

Padova

ITA D2

27/10/2018 09:00

Padova

0 - 0

Spezia

ITA D2

05/04/2014 09:00

Spezia

2 - 2

Padova

ITA D2

01/11/2013 10:00

Padova

1 - 0

Spezia

ITA D2

Padova

33%

Draw

50%

Spezia

17%

Padova Last 6 matches

28/02/2026 10:00

Modena 1 - 2 Padova ITA D2

21/02/2026 10:00

Padova 1 - 1 Bari ITA D2

14/02/2026 10:00

Sampdoria 1 - 0 Padova ITA D2

10/02/2026 15:00

Padova 1 - 0 Carrarese ITA D2

07/02/2026 10:00

Juve Stabia 3 - 3 Padova ITA D2

01/02/2026 12:15

Padova 1 - 2 Monza ITA D2

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Spezia

28/02/2026 12:15

Spezia 0 - 1 A.C. Reggiana 1919 ITA D2

21/02/2026 12:15

Cesena 2 - 3 Spezia ITA D2

15/02/2026 10:00

Spezia 0 - 2 Frosinone ITA D2

11/02/2026 15:00

Bari 0 - 0 Spezia ITA D2

07/02/2026 14:30

Spezia 1 - 1 ACD Virtus Entella ITA D2

31/01/2026 14:30

Sampdoria 1 - 0 Spezia ITA D2

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie B

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

222

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

141

Avg. per game

0.49

Scored

193

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

231

Avg. per game

0.87

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 289 matches

YesNo

162 (56%)127 (44%)

In last 289 matches

NoYes

131 (49%)136 (51%)

Padova

Recent matches

Spezia

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Padova

Spezia

Shots

Padova

Total shots

10.66 avg / game

Blocked

121 total

Avg. 3.27

Spezia

Total shots

12.19 avg / game

Blocked

644 total

Avg. 3.29

Padova Pass Spezia

Total passes

14932

Avg. 393 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

92721

Avg. 391 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Padova

289

Played games

Spezia

267

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

117

Clean sheets

0.21

4.72

1364

Corners

1217

4.56

2.47

713

Throw-ins

3901

14.61

0.27

Offsides

372

1.39

0.49

142

GK saves

756

2.83

Padova

DISCIPLINARY

Spezia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.10

608

633

2.37

0.10

0.13

2.17

628

Fouls

3736

13.99

1.35

390

Tackles

3220

12.06

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Padova vs Spezia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Padova vs Spezia on 03 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie B fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Padova vs Spezia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Padova's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Spezia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie B Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie B standings and the Italian Serie B form table to understand exactly where Padova and Spezia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie B predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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