Padova vs Avellino: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 September

Padova

L W W L W

9th place in Italian Serie B

2-2

30/09/2025 18:30

Avellino

L D W W L

8th place in Italian Serie B

Italian Serie B

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Padova vs Avellino on 30 September 2025 (kick-off: 18:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Padova vs Avellino preview before placing your bet.

Padova are currently 9th with 46 points after 38 matches.
Avellino sit 8th with 49 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Padova to win with probability 39%.
Head-to-head history favors Padova, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Avellino have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

18:30

2025-09-30

Padova vs Avellino - Prediction & Odds

Padova

Avellino

2025-09-30 18:30

STANDINGS UP TO 30/09/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Venezia	82	38	24	10	4	77	31	46
02 Frosinone	81	38	23	12	3	76	34	42
03 Monza	76	38	22	10	6	61	32	29
04 Palermo	72	38	20	12	6	61	33	28
05 Catanzaro	59	38	15	14	9	62	51	11
06 Modena	55	38	15	10	13	49	36	13
07 Juve Stabia	51	38	11	18	9	44	45	-1
08 Avellino	49	38	13	10	15	43	55	-12
09 Padova	46	38	12	10	16	39	49	-10
10 Cesena	46	38	12	10	16	45	56	-11
11 Mantova	46	38	13	7	18	45	57	-12
12 Carrarese	44	38	10	14	14	47	52	-5
13 Sampdoria	44	38	11	11	16	35	48	-13
14 ACD Virtus Entella	42	38	10	12	16	36	51	-15
15 Empoli	41	38	9	14	15	47	54	-7
16 SudTirol	41	38	8	17	13	38	48	-10
17 Bari	40	38	10	10	18	38	60	-22
18 A.C. Reggiana 1919	37	38	9	10	19	36	56	-20
19 Pescara	35	38	7	14	17	51	66	-15
20 Spezia	35	38	8	11	19	43	59	-16

Head To Head

03/05/2025 17:00

Avellino

0 - 1

Padova

ITA C1

09/06/2021 15:35

Avellino

0 - 1

Padova

ITA C1

06/06/2021 18:45

Padova

1 - 1

Avellino

ITA C1

30/05/2014 18:30

Padova

2 - 1

Avellino

ITA D2

29/12/2013 14:00

Avellino

2 - 1

Padova

ITA D2

14/03/2005 19:30

Padova

3 - 2

Avellino

ITA C1

Padova

67%

Draw

17%

Avellino

17%

Padova Last 6 matches

27/09/2025 15:15

Monza 0 - 1 Padova ITA D2

21/09/2025 17:30

Padova 2 - 1 ACD Virtus Entella ITA D2

13/09/2025 13:00

Padova 0 - 1 Frosinone ITA D2

31/08/2025 17:00

Carrarese 0 - 0 Padova ITA D2

23/08/2025 17:00

Empoli 3 - 1 Padova ITA D2

10/08/2025 17:30

Padova 0 - 2 Vicenza ITA Cup

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Avellino

27/09/2025 13:00

Avellino 2 - 0 ACD Virtus Entella ITA D2

21/09/2025 13:00

Carrarese 3 - 4 Avellino ITA D2

12/09/2025 18:30

Avellino 2 - 1 Monza ITA D2

31/08/2025 19:00

Modena 1 - 1 Avellino ITA D2

24/08/2025 19:00

Frosinone 2 - 0 Avellino ITA D2

10/08/2025 18:30

Audace Cerignola 1 - 0 Avellino ITA Cup

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie B

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

184

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

123

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored

171

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

119

Avg. per game

0.45

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 290 matches

YesNo

140 (48%)150 (52%)

In last 290 matches

NoYes

121 (46%)143 (54%)

Padova

Recent matches

Avellino

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Padova

Avellino

Shots

Padova

Total shots

10.65 avg / game

Blocked

121 total

Avg. 3.27

Avellino

Total shots

10.84 avg / game

Blocked

96 total

Avg. 2.59

Padova Pass Avellino

Total passes

14932

Avg. 393 / game

Accurate

78%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

16276

Avg. 407 / game

Accurate

80%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Padova

290

Played games

Avellino

264

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.41

118

Clean sheets

0.36

4.71

1366

Corners

1306

4.95

2.46

713

Throw-ins

746

2.83

0.27

Offsides

0.25

0.49

142

GK saves

117

0.44

Padova

DISCIPLINARY

Avellino

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.10

609

658

2.49

0.10

0.13

2.17

628

Fouls

624

2.36

1.34

390

Tackles

410

1.55

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Padova vs Avellino Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Padova vs Avellino on 30 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie B fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Padova vs Avellino Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Padova's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Avellino's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie B Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie B standings and the Italian Serie B form table to understand exactly where Padova and Avellino sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie B predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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