Pachuca vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 March

Pachuca

L L W L W

7th place in Autumn

2-3

30/03/2024 21:00

Toluca

W W W L W

3rd place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Pachuca vs Toluca on 30 March 2024 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Pachuca vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Pachuca are currently 7th with 29 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 3rd with 32 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Pachuca to win with probability 40%.
Head-to-head history favors Pachuca, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Toluca have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2024-03-30

Pachuca vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Pachuca

Toluca

2024-03-30 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/03/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	35	17	10	5	2	30	12	18
02 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	10	3	4	23	14	9
03 Toluca	32	17	9	5	3	38	23	15
04 Monterrey	32	17	9	5	3	32	19	13
05 Tigres UANL	31	17	9	4	4	34	23	11
06 Chivas Guadalajara	31	17	9	4	4	24	17	7
07 Pachuca	29	17	9	2	6	34	27	7
08 Pumas U.N.A.M.	27	17	7	6	4	27	22	5
09 Necaxa	27	17	7	6	4	30	29	1
10 Queretaro FC	24	17	6	6	5	22	21	1
11 Club Leon	24	17	7	3	7	23	25	-2
12 FC Juarez	16	17	4	4	9	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	35	-10
14 Mazatlan FC	16	17	4	4	9	21	32	-11
15 Santos Laguna	15	17	4	3	10	15	28	-13
16 Club Tijuana	14	17	2	8	7	21	30	-9
17 Atlas	14	17	3	5	9	21	31	-10
18 Puebla	5	17	1	2	14	18	43	-25

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	40	17	12	4	1	37	14	23
02 Monterrey	33	17	10	3	4	27	15	12
03 Tigres UANL	30	17	8	6	3	32	18	14
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	28	17	8	4	5	27	18	9
05 Chivas Guadalajara	27	17	8	3	6	22	22	0
06 Puebla	25	17	7	4	6	24	25	-1
07 Atletico San Luis	23	17	7	2	8	31	26	5
08 Club Leon	23	17	6	5	6	23	22	1
09 Santos Laguna	23	17	7	2	8	31	34	-3
10 Mazatlan FC	22	17	6	4	7	25	27	-2
11 Pachuca	22	17	5	7	5	16	27	-11
12 Toluca	21	17	5	6	6	23	19	4
13 Club Tijuana	20	17	6	2	9	23	26	-3
14 Queretaro FC	19	17	5	4	8	18	29	-11
15 FC Juarez	18	17	5	3	9	24	34	-10
16 CDSyC Cruz Azul	17	17	5	2	10	21	29	-8
17 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	14	24	-10
18 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	18	27	-9

Head To Head

03/09/2023 14:00

Toluca

5 - 0

Pachuca

MEX D1

19/02/2023 23:05

Pachuca

1 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

30/10/2022 21:35

Pachuca

3 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

27/10/2022 21:05

Toluca

1 - 5

Pachuca

MEX D1

28/08/2022 13:00

Toluca

1 - 4

Pachuca

MEX D1

13/03/2022 14:00

Toluca

0 - 3

Pachuca

MEX D1

Pachuca

67%

Draw

Toluca

33%

Pachuca Last 6 matches

17/03/2024 21:00

Atletico San Luis 2 - 1 Pachuca MEX D1

12/03/2024 20:15

Pachuca 6 - 0 Philadelphia Union CNCF CHL

09/03/2024 21:00

Pachuca 1 - 2 Queretaro FC MEX D1

05/03/2024 20:00

Philadelphia Union 0 - 0 Pachuca CNCF CHL

02/03/2024 21:00

Pachuca 3 - 2 FC Juarez MEX D1

23/02/2024 23:00

Necaxa 1 - 1 Pachuca MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Toluca

17/03/2024 21:00

Toluca 3 - 0 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

08/03/2024 23:10

FC Juarez 1 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

02/03/2024 19:00

Toluca 2 - 1 Tigres UANL MEX D1

25/02/2024 14:00

Toluca 2 - 0 Club Tijuana MEX D1

21/02/2024 21:00

Toluca 1 - 0 Santos Laguna MEX D1

18/02/2024 22:10

Monterrey 0 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Pachuca

Toluca

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.85

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored

Avg. per game

1.22

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.44

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 20 home matches

YesNo

11 (55%)9 (45%)

In last 20 home matches

NoYes

13 (72%)5 (28%)

Pachuca

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(85%)17 3(15%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)12 6(33%)

Under /Over

(50%)10 10(50%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(39%)7 11(61%)

Under /Over

(50%)10 10(50%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)10 8(44%)

/Yes

(75%)15 5(25%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)9 9(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Pachuca

Toluca

Shots

Pachuca

Total shots

17.55 avg / game

Blocked

78 total

Avg. 3.90

Toluca

Total shots

13.17 avg / game

Blocked

49 total

Avg. 3.06

Pachuca Pass Toluca

Total passes

7534

Avg. 377 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

8152

Avg. 453 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Pachuca

Played games

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.10

Clean sheets

0.39

6.65

133

Corners

4.61

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

1.60

Offsides

1.17

2.45

GK saves

2.72

Pachuca

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.25

1.50

0.00

0.17

10.35

207

Fouls

173

9.61

16.10

322

Tackles

237

13.17

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Pachuca vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Pachuca vs Toluca on 30 March 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Pachuca vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Pachuca's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Pachuca and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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