Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 September

Osasuna

L L D D W

11th place in Spanish La Liga

0-2

28/09/2023 15:30

Atletico Madrid

W W W W L

4th place in Spanish La Liga

Spanish La Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid on 28 September 2023 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid preview before placing your bet.

Osasuna are currently 11th with 45 points after 38 matches.
Atletico Madrid sit 4th with 76 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Atletico Madrid to win with probability 43%.
Head-to-head history favors Atletico Madrid, who have won 6 of the last 6 meetings. Osasuna have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:30

2023-09-28

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid - Prediction & Odds

Osasuna

Atletico Madrid

2023-09-28 15:30

STANDINGS UP TO 28/09/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Real Madrid	95	38	29	8	1	87	26	61
02 FC Barcelona	85	38	26	7	5	79	44	35
03 Girona	81	38	25	6	7	85	46	39
04 Atletico Madrid	76	38	24	4	10	70	43	27
05 Athletic Bilbao	68	38	19	11	8	61	37	24
06 Real Sociedad	60	38	16	12	10	51	39	12
07 Real Betis	57	38	14	15	9	48	45	3
08 Villarreal	53	38	14	11	13	65	65	0
09 Valencia	49	38	13	10	15	40	45	-5
10 Alaves	46	38	12	10	16	36	46	-10
11 Osasuna	45	38	12	9	17	45	56	-11
12 Getafe	43	38	10	13	15	42	54	-12
13 Celta Vigo	41	38	10	11	17	46	57	-11
14 Sevilla	41	38	10	11	17	48	54	-6
15 Mallorca	40	38	8	16	14	33	44	-11
16 Las Palmas	40	38	10	10	18	33	47	-14
17 Rayo Vallecano	38	38	8	14	16	29	48	-19
18 Cadiz	33	38	6	15	17	26	55	-29
19 Almeria	21	38	3	12	23	43	75	-32
20 Granada CF	21	38	4	9	25	38	79	-41

Head To Head

21/05/2023 10:15

Atletico Madrid

3 - 0

Osasuna

SPA D1

29/01/2023 11:15

Osasuna

0 - 1

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

19/02/2022 11:15

Osasuna

0 - 3

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

20/11/2021 13:30

Atletico Madrid

1 - 0

Osasuna

SPA D1

16/05/2021 12:30

Atletico Madrid

2 - 1

Osasuna

SPA D1

31/10/2020 13:30

Osasuna

1 - 3

Atletico Madrid

SPA D1

Osasuna

Draw

Atletico Madrid

100%

Osasuna Last 6 matches

23/09/2023 10:15

Osasuna 0 - 0 Sevilla SPA D1

17/09/2023 08:00

Getafe 3 - 2 Osasuna SPA D1

03/09/2023 15:00

Osasuna 1 - 2 FC Barcelona SPA D1

31/08/2023 14:30

Club Brugge 2 - 2 Osasuna UEFA ECL

27/08/2023 13:30

Valencia 1 - 2 Osasuna SPA D1

24/08/2023 14:30

Osasuna 1 - 2 Club Brugge UEFA ECL

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Atletico Madrid

24/09/2023 15:00

Atletico Madrid 3 - 1 Real Madrid SPA D1

19/09/2023 15:00

Lazio 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid UEFA CL

16/09/2023 10:15

Valencia 3 - 0 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

28/08/2023 15:30

Rayo Vallecano 0 - 7 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

24/08/2023 13:30

Numancia 0 - 2 Atletico Madrid INT CF

20/08/2023 15:30

Real Betis 0 - 0 Atletico Madrid SPA D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Spanish La Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Osasuna

Atletico Madrid

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored

Avg. per game

1.16

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.68

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

9 (47%)10 (53%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

15 (79%)4 (21%)

Osasuna

Recent matches

Atletico Madrid

Under /Over

(74%)14 5(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)16 3(16%)

Under /Over

(37%)7 12(63%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(53%)10 9(47%)

Under /Over

(32%)6 13(68%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)9 10(53%)

/Yes

(42%)8 11(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(68%)13 6(32%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Osasuna

Atletico Madrid

Shots

Osasuna

Total shots

12.79 avg / game

Blocked

61 total

Avg. 3.21

Atletico Madrid

Total shots

14.05 avg / game

Blocked

56 total

Avg. 3.11

Osasuna Pass Atletico Madrid

Total passes

8106

Avg. 427 / game

Accurate

76%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

9413

Avg. 495 / game

Accurate

83%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Osasuna

Played games

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.32

Clean sheets

0.26

5.16

Corners

4.21

25.53

485

Throw-ins

329

17.32

1.58

Offsides

3.74

2.21

GK saves

2.74

Osasuna

DISCIPLINARY

Atletico Madrid

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.21

2.05

0.21

0.16

14.16

269

Fouls

216

11.37

12.68

241

Tackles

310

16.32

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid on 28 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Spanish La Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Osasuna vs Atletico Madrid Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Osasuna's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atletico Madrid's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Spanish La Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Spanish La Liga standings and the Spanish La Liga form table to understand exactly where Osasuna and Atletico Madrid sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Spanish La Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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