Notts County vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 10 October

Notts County

D W L W W

4th place in Group G

1-2

10/10/2023 14:00

Derby County

D W D W W

1st place in Group G

England Johnstone

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Notts County vs Derby County on 10 October 2023 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Notts County vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Notts County are currently 4th with 0 points after 3 matches.
Derby County sit 1st with 9 points from 3 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Derby County to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Derby County, who have won 4 of the last 4 meetings. Notts County have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2023-10-10

Notts County vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Notts County

Derby County

2023-10-10 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 10/10/2023

Group G	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Derby County	9	3	3	0	0	8	2	6
02 Lincoln City	6	3	2	0	1	4	2	2
03 Wolverhampton U21	3	3	1	0	2	3	7	-4
04 Notts County	0	3	0	0	3	2	6	-4

Head To Head

01/08/2021 08:00

Notts County

0 - 2

Derby County

INT CF

14/07/2018 10:00

Notts County

1 - 4

Derby County

INT CF

19/07/2014 08:00

Notts County

1 - 3

Derby County

INT CF

28/07/2009 14:45

Notts County

2 - 3

Derby County

INT CF

Notts County

Draw

Derby County

100%

Notts County Last 6 matches

07/10/2023 10:00

Barrow 1 - 1 Notts County ENG L2

03/10/2023 14:45

Notts County 3 - 1 Swindon Town ENG L2

30/09/2023 10:00

Colchester United 5 - 4 Notts County ENG L2

23/09/2023 10:00

Notts County 4 - 3 Forest Green Rovers ENG L2

15/09/2023 14:45

Salford City 0 - 2 Notts County ENG L2

12/09/2023 14:45

Notts County 1 - 2 Wolverhampton U21 ENG JPT

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Derby County

07/10/2023 10:00

Cheltenham Town 1 - 1 Derby County ENG L1

03/10/2023 14:45

Blackpool 1 - 3 Derby County ENG L1

30/09/2023 10:00

Derby County 0 - 0 Cambridge United ENG L1

23/09/2023 10:00

Carlisle United 0 - 2 Derby County ENG L1

19/09/2023 14:00

Derby County 2 - 0 Lincoln City ENG JPT

16/09/2023 10:00

Derby County 1 - 1 Portsmouth ENG L1

Win

50%

Draw

50%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Johnstone

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

245

Avg. per game

0.82

Conceded

171

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored

184

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

142

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

166 (55%)134 (45%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

140 (47%)160 (53%)

Notts County

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Notts County

Derby County

Shots

Notts County

Total shots

12.31 avg / game

Blocked

439 total

Avg. 3.51

Derby County

Total shots

11.41 avg / game

Blocked

826 total

Avg. 3.49

Notts County Pass Derby County

Total passes

81315

Avg. 525 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

61%

Total passes

100064

Avg. 382 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Notts County

300

Played games

Derby County

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.32

5.62

1686

Corners

1523

5.08

11.02

3306

Throw-ins

6324

21.08

0.81

243

Offsides

553

1.84

1.44

432

GK saves

682

2.27

Notts County

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.71

513

528

1.76

0.05

0.05

5.19

1556

Fouls

2974

9.91

6.37

1910

Tackles

3651

12.17

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Notts County vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Notts County vs Derby County on 10 October 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Johnstone fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Notts County vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Notts County's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Johnstone Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Johnstone standings and the England Johnstone form table to understand exactly where Notts County and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Johnstone predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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