Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 13 April

Newtown AFC

W W L L L

5th place in League

5-0

13/04/2024 09:30

Caernarfon

D W L L W

6th place in League

Welsh Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon on 13 April 2024 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon preview before placing your bet.

Newtown AFC are currently 5th with 33 points after 22 matches.
Caernarfon sit 6th with 31 points from 22 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Newtown AFC to win with probability 49%.
Head-to-head history favors Newtown AFC, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Caernarfon have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:30

2024-04-13

Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon - Prediction & Odds

Newtown AFC

Caernarfon

2024-04-13 09:30

STANDINGS UP TO 13/04/2024

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	62	22	20	2	0	77	14	63
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	47	22	15	2	5	59	29	30
03 Bala Town F.C.	37	22	10	7	5	25	20	5
04 UWIC Inter Cardiff	34	22	9	7	6	28	39	-11
05 Newtown AFC	33	22	10	3	9	35	31	4
06 Caernarfon	31	22	9	4	9	40	41	-1
07 Haverfordwest County	28	22	7	7	8	29	33	-4
08 Pen-y-Bont FC	25	22	8	4	10	28	32	-4
09 Barry Town United	23	22	6	5	11	27	41	-14
10 Aberystwyth Town	15	22	4	3	15	18	46	-28
11 Colwyn Bay	14	22	4	2	16	27	49	-22
12 Pontypridd	13	22	5	4	13	13	31	-18

Championship Playoffs	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 The New Saints	92	10	10	0	0	40	4	36
02 Connahs Quay Nomads FC	59	10	3	3	4	11	14	-3
03 Bala Town F.C.	51	10	3	5	2	13	11	2
04 Newtown AFC	44	10	3	2	5	14	15	-1
05 Caernarfon	41	10	2	4	4	12	29	-17
06 UWIC Inter Cardiff	39	10	1	2	7	7	24	-17

Relegation Quarter	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Pen-y-Bont FC	46	10	6	3	1	18	5	13
02 Haverfordwest County	43	10	4	3	3	10	7	3
03 Barry Town United	32	10	1	6	3	9	13	-4
04 Aberystwyth Town	27	10	3	3	4	9	11	-2
05 Pontypridd	25	10	3	3	4	10	10	0
06 Colwyn Bay	25	10	3	2	5	7	17	-10

Head To Head

01/03/2024 15:45

Caernarfon

1 - 0

Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

07/10/2023 09:30

Newtown AFC

4 - 0

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

18/08/2023 14:45

Caernarfon

2 - 1

Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

02/12/2022 15:45

Caernarfon

2 - 3

Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

30/08/2022 14:45

Newtown AFC

2 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

09/04/2022 09:30

Newtown AFC

1 - 0

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

Newtown AFC

67%

Draw

Caernarfon

33%

Newtown AFC Last 6 matches

05/04/2024 14:45

Bala Town F.C. 1 - 1 Newtown AFC Welsh PR

29/03/2024 08:30

Connahs Quay Nomads FC 0 - 0 Newtown AFC Welsh PR

16/03/2024 10:30

Newtown AFC 0 - 1 The New Saints Welsh PR

09/03/2024 10:30

Newtown AFC 2 - 0 UWIC Inter Cardiff Welsh PR

01/03/2024 15:45

Caernarfon 1 - 0 Newtown AFC Welsh PR

24/02/2024 10:30

Newtown AFC 1 - 5 Bala Town F.C. Welsh PR

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Caernarfon

05/04/2024 14:45

The New Saints 7 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

23/03/2024 10:30

Caernarfon 1 - 2 UWIC Inter Cardiff Welsh PR

15/03/2024 15:45

Caernarfon 2 - 1 Connahs Quay Nomads FC Welsh PR

08/03/2024 15:45

Bala Town F.C. 1 - 1 Caernarfon Welsh PR

01/03/2024 15:45

Caernarfon 1 - 0 Newtown AFC Welsh PR

23/02/2024 15:45

Caernarfon 1 - 8 The New Saints Welsh PR

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Welsh Premier League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

205

Avg. per game

0.90

Conceded

199

Avg. per game

0.87

Scored

235

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

247

Avg. per game

1.02

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 229 matches

YesNo

120 (52%)109 (48%)

In last 229 matches

NoYes

146 (61%)95 (39%)

Newtown AFC

Recent matches

Caernarfon

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newtown AFC

Caernarfon

Shots

Newtown AFC

Total shots

9.40 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.19 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

Newtown AFC Pass Caernarfon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newtown AFC

229

Played games

Caernarfon

241

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.24

4.41

1011

Corners

1044

4.33

0.00

Throw-ins

0.12

0.17

Offsides

0.12

1.43

327

GK saves

379

1.57

Newtown AFC

DISCIPLINARY

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.89

432

430

1.78

0.10

0.12

0.96

219

Fouls

110

0.46

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon on 13 April 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Welsh Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newtown AFC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caernarfon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Welsh Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Welsh Premier League standings and the Welsh Premier League form table to understand exactly where Newtown AFC and Caernarfon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Welsh Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More Welsh Premier League Predictions

Find every upcoming Welsh Premier League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less