Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 August

Newtown AFC

L D D W L

No standing data

2-2

Pen. 1-3

04/08/2024 09:30

Caernarfon

L L L W W

No standing data

Wales Challenge League Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon on 04 August 2024 (kick-off: 09:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: Newtown AFC to win with probability 46%.
Head-to-head history favors Newtown AFC, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Caernarfon have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:30

2024-08-04

Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon - Prediction & Odds

Newtown AFC

Caernarfon

2024-08-04 09:30

STANDINGS UP TO 04/08/2024

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Newtown AFC and Caernarfon in the Wales Challenge League Cup football standings for the 2024-2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

13/04/2024 09:30

Newtown AFC

5 - 0

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

01/03/2024 15:45

Caernarfon

1 - 0

Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

07/10/2023 09:30

Newtown AFC

4 - 0

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

18/08/2023 14:45

Caernarfon

2 - 1

Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

02/12/2022 15:45

Caernarfon

2 - 3

Newtown AFC

Welsh PR

30/08/2022 14:45

Newtown AFC

2 - 1

Caernarfon

Welsh PR

Newtown AFC

67%

Draw

Caernarfon

33%

Newtown AFC Last 6 matches

27/07/2024 10:00

Hednesford Town 2 - 0 Newtown AFC INT CF

20/07/2024 09:30

Newtown AFC 1 - 1 Stourbridge INT CF

13/07/2024 09:30

Buckley Town 1 - 1 Newtown AFC INT CF

09/07/2024 14:45

Newtown AFC 2 - 0 Guilsfield INT CF

11/05/2024 07:20

Newtown AFC 0 - 5 Pen-y-Bont FC Welsh PR

21/04/2024 09:15

UWIC Inter Cardiff 1 - 3 Newtown AFC Welsh PR

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Caernarfon

01/08/2024 13:00

Caernarfon 0 - 5 Legia Warszawa UEFA ECL

25/07/2024 14:45

Legia Warszawa 6 - 0 Caernarfon UEFA ECL

17/07/2024 14:45

Crusaders 3 - 1 Caernarfon UEFA ECL

11/07/2024 13:30

Caernarfon 2 - 0 Crusaders UEFA ECL

06/07/2024 08:30

Caernarfon 3 - 0 Buckley Town INT CF

29/06/2024 10:00

Cliftonville 1 - 2 Caernarfon INT CF

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Wales Challenge League...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

204

Avg. per game

0.89

Conceded

199

Avg. per game

0.87

Scored

233

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

247

Avg. per game

1.03

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 228 matches

YesNo

119 (52%)109 (48%)

In last 228 matches

NoYes

145 (60%)95 (40%)

Newtown AFC

Recent matches

Caernarfon

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(93%)42 3(7%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newtown AFC

Caernarfon

Shots

Newtown AFC

Total shots

9.37 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Caernarfon

Total shots

10.19 avg / game

Blocked

3 total

Avg. 1.50

Newtown AFC Pass Caernarfon

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newtown AFC

228

Played games

Caernarfon

240

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.21

Clean sheets

0.24

4.41

1005

Corners

1040

4.33

0.00

Throw-ins

0.13

0.17

Offsides

0.12

1.43

327

GK saves

379

1.58

Newtown AFC

DISCIPLINARY

Caernarfon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.88

429

427

1.78

0.10

0.12

0.96

219

Fouls

110

0.46

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Connahs Quay Nomads FC

How We Build the Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon on 04 August 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Wales Challenge League Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newtown AFC vs Caernarfon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newtown AFC's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Caernarfon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Wales Challenge League Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Wales Challenge League Cup standings and the Wales Challenge League Cup form table to understand exactly where Newtown AFC and Caernarfon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Wales Challenge League Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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