Newcastle United vs Qarabag: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 February

Newcastle United

L W W W L

12th place in Group A

3-2

24/02/2026 16:00

Qarabag

L W W L W

22nd place in Group A

UEFA Champions League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Newcastle United vs Qarabag on 24 February 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Newcastle United vs Qarabag preview before placing your bet.

Newcastle United are currently 12th with 14 points after 8 matches.
Qarabag sit 22nd with 10 points from 8 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Newcastle United to win with probability 83%.
Head-to-head history favors Newcastle United, who have won 1 of the last 1 meetings. Qarabag have no wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

16:00

2026-02-24

Newcastle United vs Qarabag - Prediction & Odds

Newcastle United

Qarabag

2026-02-24 16:00

STANDINGS UP TO 24/02/2026

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Arsenal	24	8	8	0	0	23	4	19
02 Bayern Munchen	21	8	7	0	1	22	8	14
03 Liverpool	18	8	6	0	2	20	8	12
04 Tottenham Hotspur	17	8	5	2	1	17	7	10
05 FC Barcelona	16	8	5	1	2	22	14	8
06 Chelsea	16	8	5	1	2	17	10	7
07 Sporting CP	16	8	5	1	2	17	11	6
08 Manchester City	16	8	5	1	2	15	9	6
09 Real Madrid	15	8	5	0	3	21	12	9
10 Inter Milan	15	8	5	0	3	15	7	8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	14	8	4	2	2	21	11	10
12 Newcastle United	14	8	4	2	2	17	7	10
13 Juventus	13	8	3	4	1	14	10	4
14 Atletico Madrid	13	8	4	1	3	17	15	2
15 Atalanta	13	8	4	1	3	10	10	0
16 Bayer Leverkusen	12	8	3	3	2	13	14	-1
17 Borussia Dortmund	11	8	3	2	3	19	17	2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus	11	8	3	2	3	10	14	-4
19 Club Brugge	10	8	3	1	4	15	17	-2
20 Galatasaray	10	8	3	1	4	9	11	-2
21 Monaco	10	8	2	4	2	8	14	-6
22 Qarabag	10	8	3	1	4	13	21	-8
23 Bodo Glimt	9	8	2	3	3	14	15	-1
24 Benfica	9	8	3	0	5	10	12	-2
25 Marseille	9	8	3	0	5	11	14	-3
26 AEP Paphos	9	8	2	3	3	8	11	-3
27 Saint Gilloise	9	8	3	0	5	8	17	-9
28 PSV Eindhoven	8	8	2	2	4	16	16	0
29 Athletic Bilbao	8	8	2	2	4	9	14	-5
30 Napoli	8	8	2	2	4	9	15	-6
31 FC Copenhagen	8	8	2	2	4	12	21	-9
32 AFC Ajax	6	8	2	0	6	8	21	-13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt	4	8	1	1	6	10	21	-11
34 Slavia Praha	3	8	0	3	5	5	19	-14
35 Villarreal	1	8	0	1	7	5	18	-13
36 FC Kairat Almaty	1	8	0	1	7	7	22	-15

Head To Head

18/02/2026 13:45

Qarabag

1 - 6

Newcastle United

UEFA CL

Newcastle United

100%

Draw

Qarabag

Newcastle United Last 6 matches

21/02/2026 16:00

Manchester City 2 - 1 Newcastle United ENG PR

18/02/2026 13:45

Qarabag 1 - 6 Newcastle United UEFA CL

14/02/2026 13:45

Aston Villa 1 - 3 Newcastle United ENG FAC

10/02/2026 15:30

Tottenham Hotspur 1 - 2 Newcastle United ENG PR

07/02/2026 13:30

Newcastle United 2 - 3 Brentford ENG PR

04/02/2026 16:00

Manchester City 3 - 1 Newcastle United ENG LC

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Qarabag

18/02/2026 13:45

Qarabag 1 - 6 Newcastle United UEFA CL

14/02/2026 06:30

Mil Mugan 0 - 1 Qarabag AZE D1

10/02/2026 06:50

Samaxı FC 1 - 2 Qarabag AZE D1

05/02/2026 06:30

Samaxı FC 2 - 1 Qarabag AZE CUP

01/02/2026 10:30

Qarabag 1 - 0 Turan Tovuz AZE D1

28/01/2026 16:00

Liverpool 6 - 0 Qarabag UEFA CL

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Champions League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

153

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

112

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored

223

Avg. per game

1.30

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.53

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 158 home matches

YesNo

97 (61%)61 (39%)

In last 158 home matches

NoYes

124 (72%)48 (28%)

Newcastle United

Recent matches

Qarabag

Under /Over

(96%)43 2(4%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Newcastle United

Qarabag

Shots

Newcastle United

Total shots

14.75 avg / game

Blocked

592 total

Avg. 4.35

Qarabag

Total shots

14.45 avg / game

Blocked

98 total

Avg. 3.27

Newcastle United Pass Qarabag

Total passes

59287

Avg. 415 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

12124

Avg. 418 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Newcastle United

158

Played games

Qarabag

172

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.35

Clean sheets

0.45

5.62

888

Corners

1143

6.65

17.68

2794

Throw-ins

510

2.97

1.55

245

Offsides

0.56

2.68

424

GK saves

119

0.69

Newcastle United

DISCIPLINARY

Qarabag

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

252

230

1.34

0.07

0.06

9.92

1568

Fouls

504

2.93

12.80

2022

Tackles

393

2.28

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Newcastle United vs Qarabag Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Newcastle United vs Qarabag on 24 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Newcastle United vs Qarabag Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Newcastle United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Qarabag's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Newcastle United and Qarabag sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

Explore More UEFA Champions League Predictions

Find every upcoming UEFA Champions League fixtures and predictions for this matchday, or browse all football predictions for today across every major league on Betiball.com.

View More View Less