New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic FC: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 September

Prediction

New Mexico United

WDDWW

6th place in USL First Division

? - ?

26/09/2026 16:00

Sacramento Republic FC

LLWLW

13th place in USL First Division

USL First Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic FC on 26 September 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic FC preview before placing your bet.

New Mexico United will face Sacramento Republic FC in USL First Division on September 26, 2026 at 16:00.
New Mexico United are currently 6th with 24 points after 14 matches.
Sacramento Republic FC sit 13th with 20 points from 14 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 26/09/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tampa Bay Rowdies	32	16	9	5	2	25	13	12
02 Orange County Blues FC	28	16	7	7	2	25	18	7
03 Charleston Battery	27	16	8	3	5	31	22	9
04 Detroit City	27	15	8	3	4	23	14	9
05 San Antonio	25	16	6	7	3	21	19	2
06 New Mexico United	24	14	7	3	4	19	15	4
07 Louisville City FC	24	16	7	3	6	26	25	1
08 Pittsburgh Riverhounds	23	15	7	2	6	19	18	1
09 FC Tulsa	22	14	6	4	4	18	16	2
10 Indy Eleven	21	14	6	3	5	18	16	2
11 Oakland Roots	21	15	5	6	4	24	22	2
12 Miami FC	21	16	5	6	5	20	24	-4
13 Sacramento Republic FC	20	14	5	5	4	16	14	2
14 Phoenix Rising FC	20	16	5	5	6	23	24	-1
15 Rhode Island	19	14	5	4	5	24	18	6
16 Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC	19	14	5	4	5	24	22	2
17 El Paso Locomotive FC	19	15	5	4	6	25	25	0
18 Hartford Athletic	19	15	4	7	4	12	14	-2
19 Lexington	18	14	5	3	6	22	20	2
20 Las Vegas Lights	18	15	5	3	7	23	26	-3
21 Monterey Bay FC	15	16	4	3	9	16	25	-9
22 Birmingham Legion	14	15	2	8	5	16	19	-3
23 Brooklyn FC	13	15	3	4	8	17	26	-9
24 Loudoun United	12	15	1	9	5	18	29	-11
25 Sporting Jax	8	17	1	5	11	23	44	-21

New Mexico United Last 6 matches

16/07/2026 06:00

Lexington 1 - 4 New Mexico United

USL Championship

12/07/2026 08:00

El Paso Locomotive FC 0 - 2 New Mexico United

USA USL League One Cup

05/07/2026 08:30

New Mexico United 2 - 1 Oakland Roots

USL Championship

02/07/2026 08:35

New Mexico United 3 - 3 CF Atlante

International Club Friendly

21/06/2026 10:10

Sacramento Republic FC 0 - 1 New Mexico United

USL Championship

14/06/2026 08:35

New Mexico United 1 - 1 Orange County Blues FC

USL Championship

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Sacramento Republic FC

19/07/2026 06:30

Charleston Battery 1 - 1 Sacramento Republic FC

USL Championship

12/07/2026 08:30

AC Boise 2 - 0 Sacramento Republic FC

USA USL League One Cup

09/07/2026 09:40

Sacramento Republic FC 2 - 1 Rhode Island

USL Championship

21/06/2026 10:10

Sacramento Republic FC 0 - 1 New Mexico United

USL Championship

14/06/2026 08:05

Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC 0 - 1 Sacramento Republic FC

USL Championship

07/06/2026 10:05

Sacramento Republic FC 1 - 1 Monterey Bay FC

USA USL League One Cup

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues USL First Division

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

New Mexico United

Sacramento Republic FC

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored

Avg. per game

0.73

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.27

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 24 matches

YesNo

14 (58%)10 (42%)

In last 24 matches

NoYes

12 (55%)10 (45%)

New Mexico United

Recent matches

Sacramento Republic FC

Under /Over

(75%)18 6(25%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(68%)15 7(32%)

Under /Over

(46%)11 13(54%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)8 14(64%)

Under /Over

(46%)11 13(54%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(27%)6 16(73%)

/Yes

(50%)12 12(50%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(41%)9 13(59%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

New Mexico United

Sacramento Republic FC

Shots

New Mexico United

Total shots

11.90 avg / game

Blocked

60 total

Avg. 3.16

Sacramento Republic FC

Total shots

10.95 avg / game

Blocked

64 total

Avg. 3.05

New Mexico United Pass Sacramento Republic FC

Total passes

8508

Avg. 425 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

8803

Avg. 419 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

51%

TOTAL ATTACKS

New Mexico United

1581

Avg. 65.88 / game

Sacramento Republic FC

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Sacramento Republic FC

1107

Avg. 50.32 / game

OTHERS

New Mexico United

Played games

Sacramento Republic FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.41

3.63

Corners

118

5.36

13.13

315

Throw-ins

438

19.91

1.88

Offsides

2.73

2.75

GK saves

2.32

New Mexico United

DISCIPLINARY

Sacramento Republic FC

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.38

2.55

0.08

0.14

10.71

257

Fouls

293

13.32

5.88

141

Tackles

171

7.77

NEXT MATCHES

Colorado Springs Switchbacks FC

NEXT MATCHES

Sacramento Republic FC

USL

08/01

Sacramento Republic FC

Sporting Jax

USL

08/08

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Sacramento Republic FC

USL

08/15

Sacramento Republic FC

Lexington

USL

08/22

Sacramento Republic FC

Phoenix Rising FC

USL

How We Build the New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic FC Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic FC on 26 September 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this USL First Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic FC Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess New Mexico United's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Sacramento Republic FC's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

USL First Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live USL First Division standings and the USL First Division form table to understand exactly where New Mexico United and Sacramento Republic FC sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our USL First Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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