Netherlands vs Italy: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 June

Netherlands

D W L D W

1st place in Group D

2-3

18/06/2023 09:00

Italy

L W L L W

1st place in Group C

UEFA Nations League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Netherlands vs Italy on 18 June 2023 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Netherlands vs Italy preview before placing your bet.

Netherlands are currently 1st with 16 points after 6 matches.
Italy sit 1st with 11 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Netherlands to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Italy, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Netherlands have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2023-06-18

Netherlands vs Italy - Prediction & Odds

Netherlands

Italy

2023-06-18 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 18/06/2023

Group C	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Italy	11	6	3	2	1	8	7	1
02 Hungary	10	6	3	1	2	8	5	3
03 Germany	7	6	1	4	1	11	9	2
04 England	3	6	0	3	3	4	10	-6

Group D	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Netherlands	16	6	5	1	0	14	6	8
02 Belgium	10	6	3	1	2	11	8	3
03 Poland	7	6	2	1	3	6	12	-6
04 Wales	1	6	0	1	5	6	11	-5

Head To Head

14/10/2020 14:45

Italy

1 - 1

Netherlands

UEFA NL

07/09/2020 14:45

Netherlands

0 - 1

Italy

UEFA NL

04/06/2018 14:45

Italy

1 - 1

Netherlands

INT FRL

28/03/2017 14:45

Netherlands

1 - 2

Italy

INT FRL

04/09/2014 14:45

Italy

2 - 0

Netherlands

INT FRL

06/02/2013 15:30

Netherlands

1 - 1

Italy

INT CF

Netherlands

Draw

50%

Italy

50%

Netherlands Last 6 matches

14/06/2023 14:45

Netherlands 2 - 2 Croatia UEFA NL

27/03/2023 14:45

Netherlands 3 - 0 Gibraltar EURO Cup

24/03/2023 15:45

France 4 - 0 Netherlands EURO Cup

09/12/2022 15:00

Netherlands 2 - 2 Argentina World Cup

03/12/2022 11:00

Netherlands 3 - 1 USA World Cup

29/11/2022 11:00

Netherlands 2 - 0 Qatar World Cup

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Italy

15/06/2023 14:45

Spain 2 - 1 Italy UEFA NL

26/03/2023 14:45

Malta 0 - 2 Italy EURO Cup

23/03/2023 15:45

Italy 1 - 2 England EURO Cup

20/11/2022 15:45

Austria 2 - 0 Italy INT FRL

16/11/2022 15:45

Albania 1 - 3 Italy INT FRL

26/09/2022 14:45

Hungary 0 - 2 Italy UEFA NL

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues UEFA Nations League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Netherlands

Italy

Goals

Scored

131

Avg. per game

1.49

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.51

Scored

Avg. per game

1.07

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 88 matches

YesNo

67 (76%)21 (24%)

In last 88 matches

NoYes

50 (59%)35 (41%)

Netherlands

Recent matches

Italy

Under /Over

(89%)40 5(11%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Netherlands

Italy

Shots

Netherlands

Total shots

15.55 avg / game

Blocked

284 total

Avg. 4.18

Italy

Total shots

15.15 avg / game

Blocked

266 total

Avg. 4.59

Netherlands Pass Italy

Total passes

38930

Avg. 573 / game

Accurate

87%

Ball possession

59%

Total passes

33285

Avg. 546 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Netherlands

Played games

Italy

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

Clean sheets

0.47

5.03

443

Corners

425

5.00

12.94

1139

Throw-ins

1131

13.31

1.52

134

Offsides

150

1.76

1.86

164

GK saves

161

1.89

Netherlands

DISCIPLINARY

Italy

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.05

122

1.44

0.06

0.05

10.20

898

Fouls

830

9.76

8.75

770

Tackles

825

9.71

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Netherlands vs Italy Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Netherlands vs Italy on 18 June 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Nations League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Netherlands vs Italy Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Netherlands's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Italy's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Nations League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Nations League standings and the UEFA Nations League form table to understand exactly where Netherlands and Italy sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Nations League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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