Necaxa vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 October

Necaxa

W W W L D

5th place in Autumn

1-3

27/10/2024 20:00

Toluca

W W W W W

1st place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Necaxa vs Toluca on 27 October 2024 (kick-off: 20:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Necaxa vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Necaxa are currently 5th with 31 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 1st with 37 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Toluca to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors Toluca, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Necaxa have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:00

2024-10-27

Necaxa vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Necaxa

Toluca

2024-10-27 20:00

STANDINGS UP TO 27/10/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	41	22	19
02 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	34	10	24
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	26	16	10
04 Tigres UANL	33	17	10	3	4	24	14	10
05 Necaxa	31	17	10	1	6	36	29	7
06 Club Leon	30	17	9	3	5	24	21	3
07 Monterrey	28	17	8	4	5	32	23	9
08 Pachuca	28	17	8	4	5	29	23	6
09 FC Juarez	24	17	6	6	5	16	21	-5
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	6	3	8	23	26	-3
11 Chivas Guadalajara	21	17	5	6	6	18	21	-3
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	17	24	-7
13 Club Tijuana	19	17	6	1	10	29	35	-6
14 Atlas	18	17	4	6	7	25	32	-7
15 Atletico San Luis	18	17	6	0	11	20	33	-13
16 Mazatlan FC	17	17	4	5	8	16	26	-10
17 Puebla	9	17	2	3	12	12	25	-13
18 Santos Laguna	7	17	2	1	14	15	36	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CDSyC Cruz Azul	42	17	13	3	1	39	12	27
02 Toluca	35	17	10	5	2	38	16	22
03 Tigres UANL	34	17	10	4	3	25	15	10
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	31	17	9	4	4	21	13	8
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	26	19	7
06 Atletico San Luis	30	17	9	3	5	27	19	8
07 Club Tijuana	29	17	8	5	4	24	25	-1
08 Club America	27	17	8	3	6	27	21	6
09 Chivas Guadalajara	25	17	7	4	6	24	15	9
10 Atlas	22	17	5	7	5	17	23	-6
11 Club Leon	18	17	3	9	5	21	23	-2
12 FC Juarez	17	17	5	2	10	22	36	-14
13 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	20	26	-6
14 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	10	19	-9
15 Puebla	14	17	4	2	11	17	31	-14
16 Pachuca	13	17	3	4	10	20	29	-9
17 Queretaro FC	12	17	3	3	11	13	31	-18
18 Santos Laguna	10	17	2	4	11	12	30	-18

Head To Head

10/02/2024 19:00

Necaxa

3 - 3

Toluca

MEX D1

02/07/2023 14:00

Toluca

0 - 0

Necaxa

MEX D1

30/04/2023 14:00

Toluca

3 - 0

Necaxa

MEX D1

26/12/2022 21:00

Toluca

1 - 0

Necaxa

MGNP

02/07/2022 18:00

Necaxa

1 - 3

Toluca

MEX D1

04/03/2022 21:00

Necaxa

0 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

Necaxa

Draw

33%

Toluca

67%

Necaxa Last 6 matches

22/10/2024 21:05

Chivas Guadalajara 3 - 2 Necaxa MEX D1

18/10/2024 23:00

Necaxa 1 - 2 Club Tijuana MEX D1

05/10/2024 19:00

CDSyC Cruz Azul 3 - 0 Necaxa MEX D1

27/09/2024 21:00

Queretaro FC 0 - 0 Necaxa MEX D1

21/09/2024 21:00

Necaxa 1 - 1 Club America MEX D1

18/09/2024 22:00

Mazatlan FC 0 - 0 Necaxa MEX D1

Win

Draw

50%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Toluca

22/10/2024 23:05

Toluca 5 - 0 Puebla MEX D1

18/10/2024 21:00

Queretaro FC 0 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

05/10/2024 21:00

Toluca 1 - 1 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

28/09/2024 19:00

Toluca 4 - 1 Atlas MEX D1

22/09/2024 21:05

Santos Laguna 2 - 0 Toluca MEX D1

17/09/2024 21:00

Pachuca 2 - 2 Toluca MEX D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

117

Avg. per game

0.48

Conceded

164

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

232

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

182

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 244 matches

YesNo

91 (37%)153 (63%)

In last 244 matches

NoYes

158 (57%)119 (43%)

Necaxa

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(62%)28 17(38%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Necaxa

Toluca

Shots

Necaxa

Total shots

11.60 avg / game

Blocked

326 total

Avg. 2.76

Toluca

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

464 total

Avg. 3.11

Necaxa Pass Toluca

Total passes

57803

Avg. 318 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

94022

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Necaxa

244

Played games

Toluca

277

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.22

Clean sheets

0.25

3.70

904

Corners

1167

4.21

7.05

1721

Throw-ins

2086

7.53

1.10

268

Offsides

363

1.31

2.32

567

GK saves

677

2.44

Necaxa

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.85

452

512

1.85

0.11

0.10

10.93

2666

Fouls

2745

9.91

9.80

2390

Tackles

2769

10.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Necaxa vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Necaxa vs Toluca on 27 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Necaxa vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Necaxa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Necaxa and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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