Napoli vs Genoa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 October

Napoli

L W D L W

2nd place in Italian Serie A

2-1

05/10/2025 12:00

Genoa

W L D D L

16th place in Italian Serie A

Italian Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Napoli vs Genoa on 05 October 2025 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Napoli vs Genoa preview before placing your bet.

Napoli are currently 2nd with 76 points after 38 matches.
Genoa sit 16th with 41 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Napoli to win with probability 64%.
Head-to-head history favors Napoli, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Genoa have no wins, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2025-10-05

Napoli vs Genoa - Prediction & Odds

Napoli

Genoa

2025-10-05 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/10/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Inter Milan	87	38	27	6	5	89	35	54
02 Napoli	76	38	23	7	8	58	36	22
03 AS Roma	73	38	23	4	11	59	31	28
04 Como	71	38	20	11	7	65	29	36
05 AC Milan	70	38	20	10	8	53	35	18
06 Juventus	69	38	19	12	7	61	34	27
07 Atalanta	59	38	15	14	9	51	36	15
08 Bologna	56	38	16	8	14	49	46	3
09 Lazio	54	38	14	12	12	41	40	1
10 Udinese	50	38	14	8	16	45	48	-3
11 Sassuolo	49	38	14	7	17	46	50	-4
12 Torino	45	38	12	9	17	44	63	-19
13 Parma	45	38	11	12	15	28	46	-18
14 Cagliari	43	38	11	10	17	40	53	-13
15 Fiorentina	42	38	9	15	14	41	50	-9
16 Genoa	41	38	10	11	17	41	51	-10
17 Lecce	38	38	10	8	20	28	50	-22
18 Cremonese	34	38	8	10	20	32	57	-25
19 Verona	21	38	3	12	23	25	61	-36
20 Pisa	18	38	2	12	24	26	71	-45

Head To Head

11/05/2025 14:45

Napoli

2 - 2

Genoa

ITA D1

21/12/2024 13:00

Genoa

1 - 2

Napoli

ITA D1

17/02/2024 10:00

Napoli

1 - 1

Genoa

ITA D1

16/09/2023 14:45

Genoa

2 - 2

Napoli

ITA D1

15/05/2022 09:00

Napoli

3 - 0

Genoa

ITA D1

29/08/2021 12:30

Genoa

1 - 2

Napoli

ITA D1

Napoli

50%

Draw

50%

Genoa

Napoli Last 6 matches

22/09/2025 14:45

Napoli 3 - 2 Pisa ITA D1

18/09/2025 15:00

Manchester City 2 - 0 Napoli UEFA CL

13/09/2025 14:45

Fiorentina 1 - 3 Napoli ITA D1

30/08/2025 14:45

Napoli 1 - 0 Cagliari ITA D1

23/08/2025 12:30

Sassuolo 0 - 2 Napoli ITA D1

14/08/2025 12:00

Napoli 2 - 1 Olympiakos Piraeus INT CF

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Genoa

25/09/2025 12:30

Genoa 3 - 1 Empoli ITA Cup

20/09/2025 09:00

Bologna 2 - 1 Genoa ITA D1

15/09/2025 14:45

Como 1 - 1 Genoa ITA D1

31/08/2025 12:30

Genoa 0 - 1 Juventus ITA D1

23/08/2025 12:30

Genoa 0 - 0 Lecce ITA D1

15/08/2025 15:15

Genoa 3 - 0 Vicenza ITA Cup

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

288

Avg. per game

0.96

Conceded

184

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored

181

Avg. per game

0.69

Conceded

189

Avg. per game

0.72

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

190 (63%)110 (37%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

132 (50%)130 (50%)

Napoli

Recent matches

Genoa

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Napoli

Genoa

Shots

Napoli

Total shots

14.52 avg / game

Blocked

1014 total

Avg. 4.17

Genoa

Total shots

11.19 avg / game

Blocked

540 total

Avg. 2.73

Napoli Pass Genoa

Total passes

140567

Avg. 541 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

95427

Avg. 403 / game

Accurate

77%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Napoli

300

Played games

Genoa

262

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

112

Clean sheets

0.28

5.63

1688

Corners

1079

4.12

16.31

4893

Throw-ins

4270

16.30

1.56

467

Offsides

396

1.51

2.14

642

GK saves

747

2.85

Napoli

DISCIPLINARY

Genoa

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.50

450

518

1.98

0.06

0.07

10.12

3037

Fouls

3296

12.58

11.49

3447

Tackles

3478

13.27

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Napoli vs Genoa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Napoli vs Genoa on 05 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Napoli vs Genoa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Napoli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Genoa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where Napoli and Genoa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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