Napoli vs Atalanta: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 March

Napoli

D W L W D

1st place in Italian Serie A

2-0

11/03/2023 13:00

Atalanta

W L L W L

5th place in Italian Serie A

Italian Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Napoli vs Atalanta on 11 March 2023 (kick-off: 13:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Napoli vs Atalanta preview before placing your bet.

Napoli are currently 1st with 90 points after 38 matches.
Atalanta sit 5th with 64 points from 38 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Napoli to win with probability 58%.
Head-to-head history favors Atalanta, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Napoli have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

13:00

2023-03-11

Napoli vs Atalanta - Prediction & Odds

Napoli

Atalanta

2023-03-11 13:00

STANDINGS UP TO 11/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Napoli	90	38	28	6	4	77	28	49
02 Lazio	74	38	22	8	8	60	30	30
03 Inter Milan	72	38	23	3	12	71	42	29
04 AC Milan	70	38	20	10	8	64	43	21
05 Atalanta	64	38	19	7	12	66	48	18
06 AS Roma	63	38	18	9	11	50	38	12
07 Juventus	62	38	22	6	10	56	33	23
08 Fiorentina	56	38	15	11	12	53	43	10
09 Bologna	54	38	14	12	12	53	49	4
10 Torino	53	38	14	11	13	42	41	1
11 Monza	52	38	14	10	14	48	52	-4
12 Udinese	46	38	11	13	14	47	48	-1
13 Sassuolo	45	38	12	9	17	47	61	-14
14 Empoli	43	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12
15 Salernitana	42	38	9	15	14	48	62	-14
16 Lecce	36	38	8	12	18	33	46	-13
17 Spezia	31	38	6	13	19	31	62	-31
18 Verona	31	38	7	10	21	31	59	-28
19 Cremonese	27	38	5	12	21	36	69	-33
20 Sampdoria	19	38	3	10	25	24	71	-47

Head To Head

05/11/2022 13:00

Atalanta

1 - 2

Napoli

ITA D1

03/04/2022 09:00

Atalanta

1 - 3

Napoli

ITA D1

04/12/2021 15:45

Napoli

2 - 3

Atalanta

ITA D1

21/02/2021 13:00

Atalanta

4 - 2

Napoli

ITA D1

10/02/2021 15:45

Atalanta

3 - 1

Napoli

ITA Cup

03/02/2021 15:45

Napoli

0 - 0

Atalanta

ITA Cup

Napoli

33%

Draw

17%

Atalanta

50%

Napoli Last 6 matches

03/03/2023 15:45

Napoli 0 - 1 Lazio ITA D1

25/02/2023 13:00

Empoli 0 - 2 Napoli ITA D1

21/02/2023 16:00

Eintracht Frankfurt 0 - 2 Napoli UEFA CL

17/02/2023 15:45

Sassuolo 0 - 2 Napoli ITA D1

12/02/2023 15:45

Napoli 3 - 0 Cremonese ITA D1

05/02/2023 07:30

Spezia 0 - 3 Napoli ITA D1

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Atalanta

26/02/2023 15:45

AC Milan 2 - 0 Atalanta ITA D1

19/02/2023 07:30

Atalanta 1 - 2 Lecce ITA D1

11/02/2023 15:45

Lazio 0 - 2 Atalanta ITA D1

04/02/2023 15:45

Sassuolo 1 - 0 Atalanta ITA D1

31/01/2023 16:00

Inter Milan 1 - 0 Atalanta ITA Cup

28/01/2023 15:45

Atalanta 2 - 0 Sampdoria ITA D1

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Italian Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

288

Avg. per game

0.96

Conceded

184

Avg. per game

0.61

Scored

313

Avg. per game

1.04

Conceded

189

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

190 (63%)110 (37%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

194 (65%)106 (35%)

Napoli

Recent matches

Atalanta

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Napoli

Atalanta

Shots

Napoli

Total shots

14.52 avg / game

Blocked

1014 total

Avg. 4.17

Atalanta

Total shots

14.32 avg / game

Blocked

995 total

Avg. 3.93

Napoli Pass Atalanta

Total passes

140567

Avg. 541 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

132787

Avg. 492 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Napoli

300

Played games

Atalanta

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.37

112

Clean sheets

0.32

5.63

1688

Corners

1581

5.27

16.31

4893

Throw-ins

5312

17.71

1.56

467

Offsides

496

1.65

2.14

642

GK saves

737

2.46

Napoli

DISCIPLINARY

Atalanta

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.50

450

529

1.76

0.06

0.05

10.12

3037

Fouls

3427

11.42

11.49

3447

Tackles

3908

13.03

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Napoli vs Atalanta Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Napoli vs Atalanta on 11 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Napoli vs Atalanta Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Napoli's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Atalanta's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie A standings and the Italian Serie A form table to understand exactly where Napoli and Atalanta sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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