Nacional Montevideo vs River Plate: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 May

Nacional Montevideo

W W W W W

2nd place in Group H

2-2

07/05/2024 20:00

River Plate

W L W W W

1st place in Group H

Copa Libertadores

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs River Plate on 07 May 2024 (kick-off: 20:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs River Plate preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo are currently 2nd with 10 points after 6 matches.
River Plate sit 1st with 16 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: River Plate to win with probability 44%.
Head-to-head history favors River Plate, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Nacional Montevideo have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

20:00

2024-05-07

Nacional Montevideo vs River Plate - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

River Plate

2024-05-07 20:00

STANDINGS UP TO 07/05/2024

Group H	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 River Plate	16	6	5	1	0	12	3	9
02 Nacional Montevideo	10	6	3	1	2	8	7	1
03 Clud Libertad	7	6	2	1	3	7	8	-1
04 Deportivo Tachira	1	6	0	1	5	2	11	-9

Head To Head

11/04/2024 20:00

River Plate

2 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

CON CLA

17/12/2020 20:30

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 6

River Plate

CON CLA

10/12/2020 20:30

River Plate

2 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

CON CLA

11/01/2020 19:45

Nacional Montevideo

4 - 4

River Plate

ARG TPV

15/01/2019 21:10

River Plate

1 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

ARG TPV

07/04/2009 20:15

River Plate

0 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

CON CLA

Nacional Montevideo

Draw

33%

River Plate

67%

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

03/05/2024 19:00

Nacional Montevideo 4 - 2 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1

28/04/2024 17:00

Cerro Montevideo 1 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

24/04/2024 18:00

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 1 Deportivo Tachira CON CLA

20/04/2024 17:00

Nacional Montevideo 6 - 2 Rampla Juniors FC URU D1

16/04/2024 19:30

Miramar Misiones FC 1 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

11/04/2024 20:00

River Plate 2 - 0 Nacional Montevideo CON CLA

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches River Plate

24/04/2024 20:30

Clud Libertad 1 - 2 River Plate CON CLA

21/04/2024 14:30

River Plate 2 - 3 Boca Juniors ARG D1

15/04/2024 19:00

Instituto AC Cordoba 1 - 3 River Plate ARG D1

11/04/2024 20:00

River Plate 2 - 0 Nacional Montevideo CON CLA

07/04/2024 20:00

River Plate 2 - 1 Rosario Central ARG D1

02/04/2024 20:30

Deportivo Tachira 0 - 2 River Plate CON CLA

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Copa Libertadores

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

274

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored

291

Avg. per game

0.97

Conceded

127

Avg. per game

0.42

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

183 (61%)117 (39%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

185 (62%)115 (38%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

River Plate

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

River Plate

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

River Plate

Total shots

13.66 avg / game

Blocked

639 total

Avg. 3.67

Nacional Montevideo Pass River Plate

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

119572

Avg. 446 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

61%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

300

Played games

River Plate

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

119

Clean sheets

136

0.45

4.50

1351

Corners

1525

5.08

1.04

312

Throw-ins

3652

12.17

0.26

Offsides

412

1.37

1.49

447

GK saves

633

2.11

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

River Plate

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.35

704

614

2.05

0.14

0.09

2.12

636

Fouls

3162

10.54

2.42

727

Tackles

3767

12.56

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

NEXT MATCHES

Independiente Santa Fe

Independiente Santa Fe

CON

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs River Plate Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs River Plate on 07 May 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Copa Libertadores fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs River Plate Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against River Plate's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Copa Libertadores Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Copa Libertadores standings and the Copa Libertadores form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and River Plate sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Copa Libertadores predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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