Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 December

Nacional Montevideo

L D W W W

4th place in Autumn

1-0

04/12/2023 19:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

D W L L L

6th place in Autumn

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo on 04 December 2023 (kick-off: 19:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo are currently 4th with 24 points after 15 matches.
Defensor Sporting Montevideo sit 6th with 21 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Defensor Sporting Montevideo have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:30

2023-12-04

Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

2023-12-04 19:30

STANDINGS UP TO 04/12/2023

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	35	15	11	2	2	23	8	15
02 CA Penarol	25	15	6	7	2	19	13	6
03 Racing Club Montevideo	25	15	7	4	4	16	13	3
04 Nacional Montevideo	24	15	6	6	3	20	17	3
05 Danubio FC	22	15	6	4	5	15	14	1
06 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	6	3	6	19	13	6
07 Torque	21	15	6	3	6	21	20	1
08 Boston River	20	15	6	2	7	17	16	1
09 Plaza Colonia	19	15	4	7	4	13	15	-2
10 CA River Plate	19	15	5	4	6	9	14	-5
11 Deportivo Maldonado	18	15	5	3	7	14	19	-5
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	4	5	6	14	17	-3
13 Centro Atletico Fenix	16	15	3	7	5	11	15	-4
14 Cerro Montevideo	15	15	3	6	6	12	15	-3
15 Wanderers FC	15	15	4	3	8	13	21	-8
16 La Luz	13	15	3	4	8	13	19	-6

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	14	7	4	2	1	11	5	6
02 Wanderers FC	12	7	3	3	1	10	6	4
03 Danubio FC	11	7	3	2	2	6	4	2
04 CA Penarol	10	7	3	1	3	9	9	0
05 Boston River	9	7	3	0	4	8	7	1
06 CA River Plate	9	7	2	3	2	5	7	-2
07 Torque	8	7	2	2	3	8	8	0
08 La Luz	4	7	1	1	5	6	17	-11

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	16	7	5	1	1	15	8	7
02 Cerro Montevideo	12	7	3	3	1	6	4	2
03 Nacional Montevideo	11	7	3	2	2	12	8	4
04 Racing Club Montevideo	10	7	3	1	3	12	12	0
05 Centro Atletico Fenix	9	7	2	3	2	7	5	2
06 Cerro Largo	8	7	2	2	3	8	9	-1
07 Deportivo Maldonado	5	7	1	2	4	7	13	-6
08 Plaza Colonia	4	7	0	4	3	9	17	-8

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	34	15	10	4	1	25	11	14
02 Nacional Montevideo	29	15	8	5	2	28	11	17
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	25	15	6	7	2	27	14	13
04 Cerro Largo	25	15	6	7	2	13	10	3
05 Liverpool URU	23	15	6	5	4	24	19	5
06 Wanderers FC	23	15	6	5	4	16	12	4
07 CA River Plate	20	15	5	5	5	17	19	-2
08 Deportivo Maldonado	20	15	5	5	5	18	23	-5
09 La Luz	19	15	5	4	6	23	27	-4
10 Cerro Montevideo	16	15	3	7	5	13	16	-3
11 Plaza Colonia	16	15	4	4	7	15	25	-10
12 Danubio FC	15	15	3	6	6	20	19	1
13 Racing Club Montevideo	15	15	3	6	6	13	17	-4
14 Torque	14	15	3	5	7	15	24	-9
15 Boston River	12	15	2	6	7	15	23	-8
16 Centro Atletico Fenix	12	15	3	3	9	11	23	-12

Head To Head

07/05/2023 17:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

2 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

08/10/2022 18:30

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

13/06/2022 18:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

0 - 1

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

14/05/2022 17:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

0 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

07/03/2021 20:50

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 1

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

07/11/2020 17:00

Nacional Montevideo

3 - 0

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

Nacional Montevideo

67%

Draw

33%

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

30/11/2023 19:30

La Luz 0 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

26/11/2023 18:30

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 Wanderers FC URU D1

20/11/2023 15:30

Centro Atletico Fenix 1 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

15/11/2023 20:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 3 Danubio FC URU D1

11/11/2023 15:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 2 CA Penarol URU D1

04/11/2023 19:00

CA River Plate 0 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Defensor Sporting Montevideo

29/11/2023 20:15

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 0 - 1 CA River Plate URU D1

25/11/2023 18:00

Deportivo Maldonado 2 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

20/11/2023 18:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 2 - 0 Boston River URU D1

15/11/2023 15:30

Cerro Montevideo 1 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

10/11/2023 20:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 3 - 0 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1

05/11/2023 16:00

Plaza Colonia 0 - 2 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

300

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

262

Goals

Scored

225

Avg. per game

0.75

Conceded

131

Avg. per game

0.44

Scored

139

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

114

Avg. per game

0.44

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

157 (52%)143 (48%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

110 (42%)152 (58%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Total shots

8.56 avg / game

Blocked

14 total

Avg. 2.80

Nacional Montevideo Pass Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

2447

Avg. 408 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Nacional Montevideo

25846

Avg. 86.15 / game

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

15290

Avg. 58.36 / game

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

300

Played games

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

262

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

119

Clean sheets

0.35

4.50

1351

Corners

1144

4.37

1.04

312

Throw-ins

0.29

0.26

Offsides

0.09

1.49

447

GK saves

337

1.29

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.35

704

607

2.32

0.14

0.15

2.12

636

Fouls

139

0.53

2.42

727

Tackles

0.37

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

NEXT MATCHES

08/03

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Cerro Montevideo

URU

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo on 04 December 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Defensor Sporting Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and Defensor Sporting Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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