Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 May

Nacional Montevideo

W W W W W

2nd place in Apertura

2-1

18/05/2025 14:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

D W L W L

5th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo on 18 May 2025 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo are currently 2nd with 31 points after 15 matches.
Defensor Sporting Montevideo sit 5th with 24 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 60%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 1 of the last 6 meetings. Defensor Sporting Montevideo have no wins, while 5 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2025-05-18

Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

2025-05-18 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 18/05/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	32	15	9	5	1	22	9	13
02 Nacional Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	35	16	19
03 CA Juventud	30	15	9	3	3	23	15	8
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	17	12	5
06 Racing Club Montevideo	23	15	6	5	4	14	10	4
07 Boston River	22	15	6	4	5	16	17	-1
08 Cerro Largo	21	15	5	6	4	15	16	-1
09 Plaza Colonia	19	15	5	4	6	13	13	0
10 Montevideo City Torque	17	15	4	5	6	16	22	-6
11 Club Atletico Progreso	15	15	3	6	6	17	27	-10
12 Cerro Montevideo	14	15	3	6	6	13	20	-7
13 Danubio FC	12	15	1	9	5	12	17	-5
14 Wanderers FC	12	15	2	6	7	12	17	-5
15 Miramar Misiones FC	12	15	3	3	9	16	24	-8
16 CA River Plate	10	15	2	4	9	10	20	-10

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	35	15	11	2	2	30	12	18
02 Nacional Montevideo	27	15	8	6	1	25	11	14
03 Montevideo City Torque	27	15	8	3	4	28	17	11
04 Boston River	26	15	6	8	1	26	10	16
05 Cerro Largo	25	15	7	4	4	19	14	5
06 Liverpool URU	25	15	7	4	4	19	16	3
07 Cerro Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	13	13	0
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	23	15	7	2	6	13	16	-3
09 Danubio FC	21	15	6	3	6	18	13	5
10 Club Atletico Progreso	18	15	5	3	7	17	23	-6
11 Racing Club Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	14	22	-8
12 CA Juventud	16	15	4	4	7	8	13	-5
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	12	18	-6
14 Miramar Misiones FC	13	15	3	4	8	17	26	-9
15 Plaza Colonia	8	15	2	2	11	9	26	-17
16 Wanderers FC	7	15	1	4	10	7	25	-18

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	15	5	10
02 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	14	7	4	2	1	12	10	2
03 Wanderers FC	12	7	3	3	1	6	5	1
04 Plaza Colonia	8	7	1	5	1	6	7	-1
05 Liverpool URU	8	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2
06 Cerro Montevideo	8	7	2	2	3	7	9	-2
07 CA River Plate	5	7	1	2	4	6	10	-4
08 Cerro Largo	3	7	0	3	4	7	11	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	21	7	7	0	0	16	6	10
02 CA Juventud	15	7	5	0	2	14	11	3
03 Racing Club Montevideo	13	7	4	1	2	11	6	5
04 Danubio FC	10	7	3	1	3	11	11	0
05 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	8	12	-4
06 Club Atletico Progreso	6	7	2	0	5	4	10	-6
07 Montevideo City Torque	5	7	1	2	4	10	12	-2
08 Miramar Misiones FC	4	7	1	1	5	2	8	-6

Head To Head

06/12/2024 19:30

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 2

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

U Cup

21/09/2024 18:00

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

10/03/2024 18:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

3 - 3

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

04/12/2023 19:30

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 0

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

07/05/2023 17:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

2 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

08/10/2022 18:30

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

URU D1

Nacional Montevideo

17%

Draw

83%

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

22/04/2025 20:30

Internacional RS 3 - 3 Nacional Montevideo CON CLA

18/04/2025 15:00

Miramar Misiones FC 1 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

13/04/2025 16:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 0 Danubio FC URU D1

09/04/2025 18:00

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 1 Bahia CON CLA

06/04/2025 16:30

Cerro Largo 0 - 4 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

02/04/2025 22:00

Atletico Nacional Medellin 3 - 0 Nacional Montevideo CON CLA

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Defensor Sporting Montevideo

20/04/2025 18:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 1 - 2 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

14/04/2025 17:00

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 3 - 2 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

07/04/2025 15:00

Wanderers FC 0 - 0 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

31/03/2025 20:15

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 2 - 0 Miramar Misiones FC URU D1

27/03/2025 13:00

Danubio FC 1 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

22/03/2025 20:15

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 0 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

300

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

262

Goals

Scored

225

Avg. per game

0.75

Conceded

131

Avg. per game

0.44

Scored

139

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

114

Avg. per game

0.44

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

157 (52%)143 (48%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

110 (42%)152 (58%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Total shots

8.56 avg / game

Blocked

14 total

Avg. 2.80

Nacional Montevideo Pass Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

2447

Avg. 408 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

52%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Nacional Montevideo

25846

Avg. 86.15 / game

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

15290

Avg. 58.36 / game

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

300

Played games

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

262

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

119

Clean sheets

0.35

4.50

1351

Corners

1144

4.37

1.04

312

Throw-ins

0.29

0.26

Offsides

0.09

1.49

447

GK saves

337

1.29

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.35

704

607

2.32

0.14

0.15

2.12

636

Fouls

139

0.53

2.42

727

Tackles

0.37

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

NEXT MATCHES

08/03

Defensor Sporting Montevideo

Cerro Montevideo

URU

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo on 18 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting Montevideo Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Defensor Sporting Montevideo's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and Defensor Sporting Montevideo sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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