Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 24 July

Prediction Match Centre

Nacional Montevideo

LLWLL

7th place in Uruguay Primera Division

? - ?

24/07/2026 18:30

Club Atletico Progreso

LLWLL

15th place in Uruguay Primera Division

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso on 24 July 2026 (kick-off: 18:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo will face Club Atletico Progreso in Uruguay Primera Division on July 24, 2026 at 18:30.
Nacional Montevideo are currently 7th with 22 points after 15 matches.
Club Atletico Progreso sit 15th with 10 points from 15 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 24/07/2026

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Racing Club Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	23	14	9
02 Deportivo Maldonado	29	15	9	2	4	24	16	8
03 Albion FC	28	15	8	4	3	26	16	10
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	23	16	7
05 Central Espanol	24	15	7	3	5	23	22	1
06 Montevideo City Torque	23	15	6	5	4	22	16	6
07 Nacional Montevideo	22	15	7	1	7	26	21	5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	5	6	4	13	11	2
09 Liverpool URU	20	15	5	5	5	20	18	2
10 Wanderers FC	20	15	6	2	7	16	21	-5
11 Danubio FC	18	15	4	6	5	17	21	-4
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	5	2	8	16	19	-3
13 Boston River	17	15	5	2	8	14	20	-6
14 CA Juventud	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5
15 Club Atletico Progreso	10	15	2	4	9	12	23	-11
16 Cerro Montevideo	10	15	2	4	9	8	24	-16

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	9	4	3	0	1	5	2	3
02 Cerro Largo	7	4	2	1	1	5	1	4
03 Central Espanol	7	4	2	1	1	4	3	1
04 Racing Club Montevideo	6	4	1	3	0	2	1	1
05 Liverpool URU	5	4	1	2	1	2	2	0
06 Boston River	4	4	1	1	2	5	6	-1
07 Cerro Montevideo	3	4	1	0	3	2	7	-5
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	2	4	0	2	2	2	5	-3

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Deportivo Maldonado	10	4	3	1	0	11	4	7
02 Nacional Montevideo	9	4	3	0	1	5	5	0
03 Wanderers FC	6	4	1	3	0	6	3	3
04 Montevideo City Torque	6	4	2	0	2	7	8	-1
05 Albion FC	4	4	1	1	2	3	4	-1
06 CA Juventud	4	4	1	1	2	6	8	-2
07 Club Atletico Progreso	3	4	1	0	3	4	7	-3
08 Danubio FC	2	4	0	2	2	3	6	-3
09 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10 Cerro Largo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

07/06/2026 04:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 1 CA Juventud

Liga AUF Uruguaya

01/06/2026 04:30

Deportivo Maldonado 3 - 0 Nacional Montevideo

Liga AUF Uruguaya

27/05/2026 07:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 0 Coquimbo Unido

Copa Libertadores

24/05/2026 04:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 0 Albion FC

Liga AUF Uruguaya

21/05/2026 05:00

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 0 Universitario De Deportes

Copa Libertadores

16/05/2026 06:00

Montevideo City Torque 1 - 2 Nacional Montevideo

Liga AUF Uruguaya

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Club Atletico Progreso

07/06/2026 20:00

Club Atletico Progreso 1 - 2 Albion FC

Liga AUF Uruguaya

31/05/2026 01:00

Danubio FC 1 - 2 Club Atletico Progreso

Liga AUF Uruguaya

23/05/2026 20:00

Club Atletico Progreso 1 - 2 Montevideo City Torque

Liga AUF Uruguaya

17/05/2026 01:00

CA Juventud 2 - 0 Club Atletico Progreso

Liga AUF Uruguaya

11/05/2026 01:55

Montevideo City Torque 2 - 1 Club Atletico Progreso

Liga AUF Uruguaya

03/05/2026 19:30

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 1 Cerro Largo

Liga AUF Uruguaya

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored

Avg. per game

0.42

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 30 matches

YesNo

13 (43%)17 (57%)

In last 30 matches

NoYes

9 (38%)15 (63%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

Club Atletico Progreso

Under /Over

(70%)21 9(30%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)16 8(33%)

Under /Over

(33%)10 20(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(42%)10 14(58%)

Under /Over

(43%)13 17(57%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(25%)6 18(75%)

/Yes

(53%)16 14(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)12 12(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

7.48 avg / game

Blocked

14 total

Avg. 2.33

Club Atletico Progreso

Total shots

6.77 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Nacional Montevideo Pass Club Atletico Progreso

Total passes

1683

Avg. 281 / game

Accurate

71%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

46%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Nacional Montevideo

2056

Avg. 68.53 / game

Club Atletico Progreso

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Club Atletico Progreso

1171

Avg. 48.79 / game

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

Played games

Club Atletico Progreso

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.13

4.20

126

Corners

3.63

4.20

126

Throw-ins

0.00

0.07

Offsides

0.00

0.83

GK saves

0.00

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

Club Atletico Progreso

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.63

2.54

0.23

0.21

2.03

Fouls

0.00

1.80

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

07/18

Club Atletico Progreso

Deportivo Maldonado

URU

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso on 24 July 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Club Atletico Progreso's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and Club Atletico Progreso sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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