Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 23 March

Nacional Montevideo

W W W W D

2nd place in Autumn

0-0

23/03/2024 21:30

Club Atletico Progreso

L D L D L

16th place in Autumn

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso on 23 March 2024 (kick-off: 21:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo are currently 2nd with 36 points after 15 matches.
Club Atletico Progreso sit 16th with 8 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 59%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Club Atletico Progreso have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:30

2024-03-23

Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

2024-03-23 21:30

STANDINGS UP TO 23/03/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	38	15	12	2	1	32	5	27
02 Nacional Montevideo	36	15	11	3	1	37	11	26
03 Racing Club Montevideo	27	15	7	6	2	16	10	6
04 Boston River	26	15	8	2	5	19	15	4
05 Danubio FC	25	15	6	7	2	14	7	7
06 Cerro Largo	22	15	6	4	5	15	11	4
07 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	20	15	5	5	5	17	17	0
08 Miramar Misiones FC	19	15	4	7	4	11	15	-4
09 Liverpool URU	18	15	4	6	5	15	16	-1
10 CA River Plate	18	15	5	3	7	15	20	-5
11 Wanderers FC	17	15	4	5	6	15	20	-5
12 Rampla Juniors FC	16	15	4	4	7	12	19	-7
13 Centro Atletico Fenix	14	15	4	2	9	14	28	-14
14 Cerro Montevideo	12	15	2	6	7	9	20	-11
15 Deportivo Maldonado	9	15	2	3	10	12	24	-12
16 Club Atletico Progreso	8	15	1	5	9	9	24	-15

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	14	7	4	2	1	10	5	5
02 Wanderers FC	13	7	4	1	2	11	9	2
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
04 Centro Atletico Fenix	10	7	3	1	3	10	9	1
05 CA River Plate	8	7	2	2	3	8	9	-1
06 Club Atletico Progreso	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
07 Racing Club Montevideo	6	7	1	3	3	8	10	-2
08 Deportivo Maldonado	6	7	1	3	3	5	9	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	16	7	5	1	1	18	5	13
02 Danubio FC	14	7	4	2	1	11	11	0
03 Cerro Largo	11	7	3	2	2	6	7	-1
04 Cerro Montevideo	10	7	3	1	3	8	5	3
05 Miramar Misiones FC	10	7	3	1	3	7	10	-3
06 Rampla Juniors FC	8	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4
07 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	6	8	-2
08 Liverpool URU	3	7	1	0	6	4	10	-6

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	41	15	13	2	0	31	7	24
02 Nacional Montevideo	34	15	10	4	1	31	16	15
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	28	15	8	4	3	31	17	14
04 Boston River	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Club Atletico Progreso	24	15	7	3	5	25	25	0
06 Cerro Largo	21	15	6	3	6	16	16	0
07 Racing Club Montevideo	19	15	5	4	6	22	22	0
08 Liverpool URU	18	15	4	6	5	22	24	-2
09 Wanderers FC	18	15	5	3	7	15	20	-5
10 Cerro Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	19	25	-6
11 Deportivo Maldonado	15	15	4	3	8	14	19	-5
12 Rampla Juniors FC	15	15	4	3	8	15	27	-12
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	20	25	-5
14 Danubio FC	14	15	3	5	7	13	19	-6
15 Centro Atletico Fenix	13	15	3	4	8	11	17	-6
16 Miramar Misiones FC	11	15	2	5	8	18	28	-10

Head To Head

19/09/2021 18:30

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 1

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

23/05/2021 18:00

Club Atletico Progreso

1 - 3

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

18/02/2021 20:00

Club Atletico Progreso

0 - 1

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

26/08/2020 23:00

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 1

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

10/11/2019 19:00

Club Atletico Progreso

0 - 1

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

27/07/2019 22:30

Nacional Montevideo

4 - 2

Club Atletico Progreso

URU D1

Nacional Montevideo

83%

Draw

Club Atletico Progreso

17%

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

15/03/2024 00:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 1 Always Ready CON CLA

10/03/2024 22:30

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 3 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

08/03/2024 00:30

Always Ready 1 - 0 Nacional Montevideo CON CLA

02/03/2024 23:00

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 0 Wanderers FC URU D1

28/02/2024 22:00

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 0 Academia Puerto Cabello CON CLA

25/02/2024 20:00

Liverpool URU 1 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Club Atletico Progreso

10/03/2024 19:30

Club Atletico Progreso 4 - 3 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1

01/03/2024 20:00

Cerro Montevideo 2 - 3 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

17/02/2024 22:15

Miramar Misiones FC 2 - 3 Club Atletico Progreso URU D1

03/12/2023 20:00

Uruguay Montevideo 1 - 3 Club Atletico Progreso URU D2

29/11/2023 19:30

Club Atletico Progreso 3 - 2 Albion FC URU D2

24/11/2023 13:00

IA Sud America 0 - 4 Club Atletico Progreso URU D2

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

300

Club Atletico Progreso

221

Goals

Scored

274

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored

140

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

149

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

183 (61%)117 (39%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

106 (48%)115 (52%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

Club Atletico Progreso

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

Club Atletico Progreso

Total shots

8.27 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Nacional Montevideo Pass Club Atletico Progreso

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Nacional Montevideo

25846

Avg. 86.15 / game

Club Atletico Progreso

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Club Atletico Progreso

13694

Avg. 61.96 / game

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

300

Played games

Club Atletico Progreso

221

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

119

Clean sheets

0.26

4.50

1351

Corners

1065

4.82

1.04

312

Throw-ins

0.00

0.26

Offsides

0.00

1.49

447

GK saves

249

1.13

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

Club Atletico Progreso

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.35

704

615

2.78

0.14

0.15

2.12

636

Fouls

0.00

2.42

727

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso on 23 March 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs Club Atletico Progreso Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Club Atletico Progreso's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and Club Atletico Progreso sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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