Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 March

Nacional Montevideo
LDWWW
4th place in Autumn
3 - 0
FT
26/03/2023 21:00
CA River Plate
WLWWL
10th place in Autumn
Uruguay Primera Division
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate on 26 March 2023 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate preview before placing your bet.

  • Nacional Montevideo are currently 4th with 24 points after 15 matches.
  • CA River Plate sit 10th with 19 points from 15 matches.
  • Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. CA River Plate have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 26/03/2023
Autumn PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
35 15 11 2 2 23 8 15
02 CA Penarol CA Penarol
25 15 6 7 2 19 13 6
03 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
25 15 7 4 4 16 13 3
04 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
24 15 6 6 3 20 17 3
05 Danubio FC Danubio FC
22 15 6 4 5 15 14 1
06 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
21 15 6 3 6 19 13 6
07 Torque Torque
21 15 6 3 6 21 20 1
08 Boston River Boston River
20 15 6 2 7 17 16 1
09 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
19 15 4 7 4 13 15 -2
10 CA River Plate CA River Plate
19 15 5 4 6 9 14 -5
11 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
18 15 5 3 7 14 19 -5
12 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
17 15 4 5 6 14 17 -3
13 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix
16 15 3 7 5 11 15 -4
14 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
15 15 3 6 6 12 15 -3
15 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
15 15 4 3 8 13 21 -8
16 La Luz La Luz
13 15 3 4 8 13 19 -6
Torneo Intermedio Group A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
14 7 4 2 1 11 5 6
02 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
12 7 3 3 1 10 6 4
03 Danubio FC Danubio FC
11 7 3 2 2 6 4 2
04 CA Penarol CA Penarol
10 7 3 1 3 9 9 0
05 Boston River Boston River
9 7 3 0 4 8 7 1
06 CA River Plate CA River Plate
9 7 2 3 2 5 7 -2
07 Torque Torque
8 7 2 2 3 8 8 0
08 La Luz La Luz
4 7 1 1 5 6 17 -11
Torneo Intermedio Group B PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
16 7 5 1 1 15 8 7
02 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
12 7 3 3 1 6 4 2
03 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
11 7 3 2 2 12 8 4
04 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
10 7 3 1 3 12 12 0
05 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix
9 7 2 3 2 7 5 2
06 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
8 7 2 2 3 8 9 -1
07 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
5 7 1 2 4 7 13 -6
08 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
4 7 0 4 3 9 17 -8
League PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 CA Penarol CA Penarol
34 15 10 4 1 25 11 14
02 Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
29 15 8 5 2 28 11 17
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo Defensor Sporting Montevideo
25 15 6 7 2 27 14 13
04 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo
25 15 6 7 2 13 10 3
05 Liverpool URU Liverpool URU
23 15 6 5 4 24 19 5
06 Wanderers FC Wanderers FC
23 15 6 5 4 16 12 4
07 CA River Plate CA River Plate
20 15 5 5 5 17 19 -2
08 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado
20 15 5 5 5 18 23 -5
09 La Luz La Luz
19 15 5 4 6 23 27 -4
10 Cerro Montevideo Cerro Montevideo
16 15 3 7 5 13 16 -3
11 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
16 15 4 4 7 15 25 -10
12 Danubio FC Danubio FC
15 15 3 6 6 20 19 1
13 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo
15 15 3 6 6 13 17 -4
14 Torque Torque
14 15 3 5 7 15 24 -9
15 Boston River Boston River
12 15 2 6 7 15 23 -8
16 Centro Atletico Fenix Centro Atletico Fenix
12 15 3 3 9 11 23 -12
Head To Head
17/09/2022 19:00
CA River Plate CA River Plate
1 - 1
Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
URU D1
18/06/2022 21:00
Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
3 - 0
CA River Plate CA River Plate
URU D1
17/04/2022 21:00
Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
1 - 1
CA River Plate CA River Plate
URU D1
04/12/2021 20:00
Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
4 - 2
CA River Plate CA River Plate
URU D1
21/08/2021 18:00
CA River Plate CA River Plate
2 - 0
Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
URU D1
08/02/2021 00:45
Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
3 - 0
CA River Plate CA River Plate
URU D1
Nacional Montevideo
3
50%
Draw
2
33%
CA River Plate
1
17%
Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches
11/03/2023 22:30
Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 Boston River URU D1
04/03/2023 20:00
Cerro Montevideo 2 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1
26/02/2023 23:00
Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 Racing Club Montevideo URU D1
18/02/2023 22:45
Plaza Colonia 2 - 1 Nacional Montevideo URU D1
10/02/2023 23:00
Nacional Montevideo 0 - 0 Cerro Largo URU D1
06/02/2023 00:00
Nacional Montevideo 2 - 1 Liverpool URU URU D1
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches CA River Plate CA River Plate
13/03/2023 20:00
CA River Plate 3 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado URU D1
08/03/2023 00:00
CA River Plate 0 - 4 CA Penarol CON CSA
04/03/2023 22:30
Boston River 0 - 0 CA River Plate URU D1
25/02/2023 12:45
CA River Plate 3 - 2 Cerro Montevideo URU D1
19/02/2023 12:45
Racing Club Montevideo 0 - 0 CA River Plate URU D1
11/02/2023 20:00
CA River Plate 2 - 0 Plaza Colonia URU D1
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Nacional Montevideo
Nacional Montevideo
19
 CA River Plate
CA River Plate
18
Goals
Scored
17
Avg. per game
0.89
Conceded
12
Avg. per game
0.63
Scored
11
Avg. per game
0.61
Conceded
9
Avg. per game
0.50
Scored a goal
In last 6 home matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 home matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 19 home matches
YesNo
11 (58%)8 (42%)
In last 19 home matches
NoYes
8 (44%)10 (56%)
Nacional Montevideo

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

CA River Plate

CA River Plate

Under /Over

(74%)14 5(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(67%)12 6(33%)

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)6 12(67%)

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(28%)5 13(72%)

/Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(39%)7 11(61%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
CA River Plate CA River Plate
Shots
Nacional Montevideo
Nacional Montevideo
Total shots
7.47 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
CA River Plate
CA River Plate
Total shots
6.67 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo Pass CA River Plate CA River Plate
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
57%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
51%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Nacional Montevideo
Nacional Montevideo
1641
Avg. 86.37 / game
 CA River Plate
CA River Plate
1779
Avg. 98.83 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Nacional Montevideo
Nacional Montevideo
1029
Avg. 54.16 / game
 CA River Plate
CA River Plate
1102
Avg. 61.22 / game
OTHERS
Nacional Montevideo
Nacional Montevideo
19
Played games
CA River Plate
CA River Plate
18
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.42
8
Clean sheets
7
0.39
2.84
54
Corners
73
4.06
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.00
0
Offsides
1
0.06
0.84
16
GK saves
48
2.67
Nacional Montevideo
Nacional Montevideo
DISCIPLINARY
CA River Plate
CA River Plate
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.63
50
Yellow card
50
2.78
0.32
6
Red card
3
0.17
0.53
10
Fouls
15
0.83
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
08/02
Nacional Montevideo Nacional Montevideo
VS
Club Atletico Progreso Club Atletico Progreso
URU
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo
VS
CA River Plate CA River Plate
URU

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate on 26 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CA River Plate's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and CA River Plate sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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