Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – March 08

Nacional Montevideo

W W W W W

2nd place in Apertura

3-3

08/03/2025 23:00

CA River Plate

D W L W L

16th place in Apertura

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate on March 08, 2025 (kick-off: 23:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate preview before placing for you.

Nacional Montevideo are currently 2nd with 31 points after 15 matches.
CA River Plate sit 16th with 10 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 71%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. CA River Plate have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

23:00

2025-03-08

Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

CA River Plate

2025-03-08 23:00

STANDINGS UP TO 08/03/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	32	15	9	5	1	22	9	13
02 Nacional Montevideo	31	15	9	4	2	35	16	19
03 CA Juventud	30	15	9	3	3	23	15	8
04 CA Penarol	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	17	12	5
06 Racing Club Montevideo	23	15	6	5	4	14	10	4
07 Boston River	22	15	6	4	5	16	17	-1
08 Cerro Largo	21	15	5	6	4	15	16	-1
09 Plaza Colonia	19	15	5	4	6	13	13	0
10 Montevideo City Torque	17	15	4	5	6	16	22	-6
11 Club Atletico Progreso	15	15	3	6	6	17	27	-10
12 Cerro Montevideo	14	15	3	6	6	13	20	-7
13 Danubio FC	12	15	1	9	5	12	17	-5
14 Wanderers FC	12	15	2	6	7	12	17	-5
15 Miramar Misiones FC	12	15	3	3	9	16	24	-8
16 CA River Plate	10	15	2	4	9	10	20	-10

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	35	15	11	2	2	30	12	18
02 Nacional Montevideo	27	15	8	6	1	25	11	14
03 Montevideo City Torque	27	15	8	3	4	28	17	11
04 Boston River	26	15	6	8	1	26	10	16
05 Cerro Largo	25	15	7	4	4	19	14	5
06 Liverpool URU	25	15	7	4	4	19	16	3
07 Cerro Montevideo	24	15	7	3	5	13	13	0
08 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	23	15	7	2	6	13	16	-3
09 Danubio FC	21	15	6	3	6	18	13	5
10 Club Atletico Progreso	18	15	5	3	7	17	23	-6
11 Racing Club Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	14	22	-8
12 CA Juventud	16	15	4	4	7	8	13	-5
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	12	18	-6
14 Miramar Misiones FC	13	15	3	4	8	17	26	-9
15 Plaza Colonia	8	15	2	2	11	9	26	-17
16 Wanderers FC	7	15	1	4	10	7	25	-18

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	16	7	5	1	1	15	5	10
02 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	14	7	4	2	1	12	10	2
03 Wanderers FC	12	7	3	3	1	6	5	1
04 Plaza Colonia	8	7	1	5	1	6	7	-1
05 Liverpool URU	8	7	2	2	3	10	12	-2
06 Cerro Montevideo	8	7	2	2	3	7	9	-2
07 CA River Plate	5	7	1	2	4	6	10	-4
08 Cerro Largo	3	7	0	3	4	7	11	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	21	7	7	0	0	16	6	10
02 CA Juventud	15	7	5	0	2	14	11	3
03 Racing Club Montevideo	13	7	4	1	2	11	6	5
04 Danubio FC	10	7	3	1	3	11	11	0
05 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	8	12	-4
06 Club Atletico Progreso	6	7	2	0	5	4	10	-6
07 Montevideo City Torque	5	7	1	2	4	10	12	-2
08 Miramar Misiones FC	4	7	1	1	5	2	8	-6

Head To Head

18/08/2024 21:00

CA River Plate

3 - 3

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

16/02/2024 23:30

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 1

CA River Plate

URU D1

04/11/2023 23:00

CA River Plate

0 - 3

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

26/03/2023 21:00

Nacional Montevideo

3 - 0

CA River Plate

URU D1

17/09/2022 19:00

CA River Plate

1 - 1

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

18/06/2022 21:00

Nacional Montevideo

3 - 0

CA River Plate

URU D1

Nacional Montevideo

67%

Draw

33%

CA River Plate

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

22/02/2025 20:00

Boston River 2 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

16/02/2025 20:00

Club Atletico Progreso 1 - 5 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

09/02/2025 22:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 CA Penarol URU D1

02/02/2025 22:30

Montevideo City Torque 1 - 0 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

26/01/2025 23:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 1 CA Penarol Uruguay SC

21/01/2025 00:00

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 CA Penarol INT CF

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches CA River Plate

24/02/2025 00:30

CA River Plate 1 - 1 CA Penarol URU D1

17/02/2025 00:45

Montevideo City Torque 2 - 1 CA River Plate URU D1

08/02/2025 22:30

CA River Plate 0 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

03/02/2025 22:30

Cerro Montevideo 1 - 1 CA River Plate URU D1

01/12/2024 12:45

Racing Club Montevideo 2 - 0 CA River Plate URU D1

26/11/2024 12:45

CA River Plate 1 - 0 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

225

Avg. per game

0.75

Conceded

131

Avg. per game

0.44

Scored

124

Avg. per game

0.50

Conceded

143

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

157 (52%)143 (48%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

91 (37%)155 (63%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

CA River Plate

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

CA River Plate

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

CA River Plate

Total shots

7.50 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Nacional Montevideo Pass CA River Plate

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

2603

Avg. 289 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

300

Played games

CA River Plate

246

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

119

Clean sheets

0.26

4.53

1358

Corners

1099

4.47

1.04

312

Throw-ins

178

0.72

0.26

Offsides

0.12

1.49

447

GK saves

514

2.09

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

CA River Plate

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.35

704

632

2.57

0.14

0.15

2.12

636

Fouls

252

1.02

2.42

727

Tackles

109

0.44

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate on 08 March 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CA River Plate's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and CA River Plate sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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