Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 16 February

Nacional Montevideo

W W W W D

2nd place in Autumn

2-1

16/02/2024 19:30

CA River Plate

L L D W W

10th place in Autumn

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate on 16 February 2024 (kick-off: 19:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo are currently 2nd with 36 points after 15 matches.
CA River Plate sit 10th with 18 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Nacional Montevideo to win with probability 58%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. CA River Plate have no wins, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:30

2024-02-16

Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

CA River Plate

2024-02-16 19:30

STANDINGS UP TO 16/02/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	38	15	12	2	1	32	5	27
02 Nacional Montevideo	36	15	11	3	1	37	11	26
03 Racing Club Montevideo	27	15	7	6	2	16	10	6
04 Boston River	26	15	8	2	5	19	15	4
05 Danubio FC	25	15	6	7	2	14	7	7
06 Cerro Largo	22	15	6	4	5	15	11	4
07 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	20	15	5	5	5	17	17	0
08 Miramar Misiones FC	19	15	4	7	4	11	15	-4
09 Liverpool URU	18	15	4	6	5	15	16	-1
10 CA River Plate	18	15	5	3	7	15	20	-5
11 Wanderers FC	17	15	4	5	6	15	20	-5
12 Rampla Juniors FC	16	15	4	4	7	12	19	-7
13 Centro Atletico Fenix	14	15	4	2	9	14	28	-14
14 Cerro Montevideo	12	15	2	6	7	9	20	-11
15 Deportivo Maldonado	9	15	2	3	10	12	24	-12
16 Club Atletico Progreso	8	15	1	5	9	9	24	-15

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	14	7	4	2	1	10	5	5
02 Wanderers FC	13	7	4	1	2	11	9	2
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
04 Centro Atletico Fenix	10	7	3	1	3	10	9	1
05 CA River Plate	8	7	2	2	3	8	9	-1
06 Club Atletico Progreso	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
07 Racing Club Montevideo	6	7	1	3	3	8	10	-2
08 Deportivo Maldonado	6	7	1	3	3	5	9	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	16	7	5	1	1	18	5	13
02 Danubio FC	14	7	4	2	1	11	11	0
03 Cerro Largo	11	7	3	2	2	6	7	-1
04 Cerro Montevideo	10	7	3	1	3	8	5	3
05 Miramar Misiones FC	10	7	3	1	3	7	10	-3
06 Rampla Juniors FC	8	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4
07 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	6	8	-2
08 Liverpool URU	3	7	1	0	6	4	10	-6

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	41	15	13	2	0	31	7	24
02 Nacional Montevideo	34	15	10	4	1	31	16	15
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	28	15	8	4	3	31	17	14
04 Boston River	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Club Atletico Progreso	24	15	7	3	5	25	25	0
06 Cerro Largo	21	15	6	3	6	16	16	0
07 Racing Club Montevideo	19	15	5	4	6	22	22	0
08 Liverpool URU	18	15	4	6	5	22	24	-2
09 Wanderers FC	18	15	5	3	7	15	20	-5
10 Cerro Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	19	25	-6
11 Deportivo Maldonado	15	15	4	3	8	14	19	-5
12 Rampla Juniors FC	15	15	4	3	8	15	27	-12
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	20	25	-5
14 Danubio FC	14	15	3	5	7	13	19	-6
15 Centro Atletico Fenix	13	15	3	4	8	11	17	-6
16 Miramar Misiones FC	11	15	2	5	8	18	28	-10

Head To Head

04/11/2023 19:00

CA River Plate

0 - 3

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

26/03/2023 17:00

Nacional Montevideo

3 - 0

CA River Plate

URU D1

17/09/2022 15:00

CA River Plate

1 - 1

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

18/06/2022 17:00

Nacional Montevideo

3 - 0

CA River Plate

URU D1

17/04/2022 17:00

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

CA River Plate

URU D1

04/12/2021 16:00

Nacional Montevideo

4 - 2

CA River Plate

URU D1

Nacional Montevideo

67%

Draw

33%

CA River Plate

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

06/02/2024 16:00

Liverpool URU 2 - 1 Nacional Montevideo U Cup

23/01/2024 20:30

CA Penarol 0 - 2 Nacional Montevideo INT CF

19/01/2024 21:15

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 1 Colo Colo INT CF

17/01/2024 20:45

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 CA Penarol INT CF

13/01/2024 21:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Club Atlético Unión INT CF

07/12/2023 16:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Torque URU D1

Win

17%

Draw

50%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches CA River Plate

07/02/2024 19:30

Wanderers FC 0 - 4 CA River Plate U Cup

14/01/2024 16:45

CA River Plate 1 - 4 Velez Sarsfield INT CF

10/01/2024 16:45

CA River Plate 1 - 1 Newells Old Boys INT CF

06/12/2023 16:00

Liverpool URU 2 - 1 CA River Plate URU D1

02/12/2023 15:30

CA River Plate 1 - 2 Torque URU D1

29/11/2023 20:15

Defensor Sporting Montevideo 0 - 1 CA River Plate URU D1

Win

33%

Draw

17%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

274

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored

172

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

172

Avg. per game

0.70

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

183 (61%)117 (39%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

119 (49%)126 (51%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

CA River Plate

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(47%)21 24(53%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

CA River Plate

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

CA River Plate

Total shots

7.50 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Nacional Montevideo Pass CA River Plate

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

2603

Avg. 289 / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

300

Played games

CA River Plate

245

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

119

Clean sheets

0.27

4.50

1351

Corners

1099

4.49

1.04

312

Throw-ins

178

0.73

0.26

Offsides

0.12

1.49

447

GK saves

514

2.10

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

CA River Plate

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.35

704

632

2.58

0.14

0.15

2.12

636

Fouls

252

1.03

2.42

727

Tackles

109

0.44

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate on 16 February 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs CA River Plate Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CA River Plate's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and CA River Plate sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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