Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 January

Nacional Montevideo

L L D W D

No standing data

3-1

21/01/2025 00:00

CA Penarol

L D W W W

No standing data

International Club Friendly

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol on 21 January 2025 (kick-off: 00:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol preview before placing your bet.

Our algorithm prediction: CA Penarol to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Nacional Montevideo, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. CA Penarol have no wins, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

00:00

2025-01-21

Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

CA Penarol

2025-01-21 00:00

STANDINGS UP TO 21/01/2025

The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Nacional Montevideo and CA Penarol in the International Club Friendly football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.

Head To Head

06/10/2024 19:00

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

04/08/2024 18:00

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

29/03/2024 19:00

CA Penarol

0 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

24/01/2024 00:30

CA Penarol

0 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

INT CF

18/01/2024 00:45

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

CA Penarol

INT CF

11/11/2023 19:30

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 2

CA Penarol

URU D1

Nacional Montevideo

33%

Draw

67%

CA Penarol

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

18/01/2025 01:00

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 2 Olimpia Asuncion INT CF

14/01/2025 01:00

Nacional Montevideo 0 - 1 San Lorenzo INT CF

06/12/2024 23:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 2 Defensor Sporting Montevideo U Cup

01/12/2024 21:00

Nacional Montevideo 3 - 1 Boston River URU D1

28/11/2024 00:15

Danubio FC 0 - 0 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

23/11/2024 00:30

Nacional Montevideo 4 - 0 Montevideo City Torque U Cup

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches CA Penarol

17/01/2025 01:00

CA Penarol 0 - 1 San Lorenzo INT CF

13/01/2025 01:00

CA Penarol 1 - 1 Colo Colo INT CF

01/12/2024 21:00

CA Penarol 3 - 1 Centro Atletico Fenix URU D1

27/11/2024 00:00

Club Atletico Progreso 1 - 5 CA Penarol URU D1

17/11/2024 21:30

CA Penarol 2 - 0 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

14/11/2024 22:30

Wanderers FC 0 - 2 CA Penarol URU D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues International Club Fri...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

274

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored

265

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

124

Avg. per game

0.41

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

183 (61%)117 (39%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

180 (60%)120 (40%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

CA Penarol

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

CA Penarol

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

CA Penarol

Total shots

8.86 avg / game

Blocked

81 total

Avg. 2.89

Nacional Montevideo Pass CA Penarol

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

14455

Avg. 329 / game

Accurate

66%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

300

Played games

CA Penarol

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

119

Clean sheets

135

0.45

4.50

1351

Corners

1370

4.57

1.04

312

Throw-ins

472

1.57

0.26

Offsides

0.29

1.49

447

GK saves

424

1.41

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.35

704

609

2.03

0.14

0.10

2.12

636

Fouls

638

2.13

2.42

727

Tackles

725

2.42

NEXT MATCHES

08/02

Nacional Montevideo

Club Atletico Progreso

URU

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol on 21 January 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this International Club Friendly fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CA Penarol's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

International Club Friendly Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live International Club Friendly standings and the International Club Friendly form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and CA Penarol sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our International Club Friendly predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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