Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – November 11

Nacional Montevideo

L D W W W

4th place in Autumn

2 - 2

11/11/2023 15:30

CA Penarol

D L D W D

2nd place in Autumn

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol on November 11, 2023 (kick-off: 15:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol preview before placing for you.

Nacional Montevideo are currently 4th with 24 points after 15 matches.
CA Penarol sit 2nd with 25 points from 15 matches.
Head-to-head history favors CA Penarol, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Nacional Montevideo have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 11/11/2023

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	35	15	11	2	2	23	8	15
02 CA Penarol	25	15	6	7	2	19	13	6
03 Racing Club Montevideo	25	15	7	4	4	16	13	3
04 Nacional Montevideo	24	15	6	6	3	20	17	3
05 Danubio FC	22	15	6	4	5	15	14	1
06 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	21	15	6	3	6	19	13	6
07 Torque	21	15	6	3	6	21	20	1
08 Boston River	20	15	6	2	7	17	16	1
09 Plaza Colonia	19	15	4	7	4	13	15	-2
10 CA River Plate	19	15	5	4	6	9	14	-5
11 Deportivo Maldonado	18	15	5	3	7	14	19	-5
12 Cerro Largo	17	15	4	5	6	14	17	-3
13 Centro Atletico Fenix	16	15	3	7	5	11	15	-4
14 Cerro Montevideo	15	15	3	6	6	12	15	-3
15 Wanderers FC	15	15	4	3	8	13	21	-8
16 La Luz	13	15	3	4	8	13	19	-6

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	14	7	4	2	1	11	5	6
02 Wanderers FC	12	7	3	3	1	10	6	4
03 Danubio FC	11	7	3	2	2	6	4	2
04 CA Penarol	10	7	3	1	3	9	9	0
05 Boston River	9	7	3	0	4	8	7	1
06 CA River Plate	9	7	2	3	2	5	7	-2
07 Torque	8	7	2	2	3	8	8	0
08 La Luz	4	7	1	1	5	6	17	-11

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liverpool URU	16	7	5	1	1	15	8	7
02 Cerro Montevideo	12	7	3	3	1	6	4	2
03 Nacional Montevideo	11	7	3	2	2	12	8	4
04 Racing Club Montevideo	10	7	3	1	3	12	12	0
05 Centro Atletico Fenix	9	7	2	3	2	7	5	2
06 Cerro Largo	8	7	2	2	3	8	9	-1
07 Deportivo Maldonado	5	7	1	2	4	7	13	-6
08 Plaza Colonia	4	7	0	4	3	9	17	-8

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	34	15	10	4	1	25	11	14
02 Nacional Montevideo	29	15	8	5	2	28	11	17
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	25	15	6	7	2	27	14	13
04 Cerro Largo	25	15	6	7	2	13	10	3
05 Liverpool URU	23	15	6	5	4	24	19	5
06 Wanderers FC	23	15	6	5	4	16	12	4
07 CA River Plate	20	15	5	5	5	17	19	-2
08 Deportivo Maldonado	20	15	5	5	5	18	23	-5
09 La Luz	19	15	5	4	6	23	27	-4
10 Cerro Montevideo	16	15	3	7	5	13	16	-3
11 Plaza Colonia	16	15	4	4	7	15	25	-10
12 Danubio FC	15	15	3	6	6	20	19	1
13 Racing Club Montevideo	15	15	3	6	6	13	17	-4
14 Torque	14	15	3	5	7	15	24	-9
15 Boston River	12	15	2	6	7	15	23	-8
16 Centro Atletico Fenix	12	15	3	3	9	11	23	-12

Head To Head

01/04/2023 15:00

CA Penarol

2 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

23/01/2023 19:30

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 2

CA Penarol

INT CF

04/09/2022 14:30

Nacional Montevideo

3 - 1

CA Penarol

URU D1

27/02/2022 16:00

CA Penarol

1 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

26/01/2022 18:00

CA Penarol

1 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

INT CF

22/01/2022 18:00

Nacional Montevideo

0 - 0

CA Penarol

INT CF

Nacional Montevideo

17%

Draw

33%

CA Penarol

50%

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

04/11/2023 19:00

CA River Plate 0 - 3 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

29/10/2023 18:15

Potencia 0 - 4 Nacional Montevideo U Cup

23/10/2023 19:15

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 3 Deportivo Maldonado URU D1

19/10/2023 19:20

Boston River 2 - 0 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

15/10/2023 17:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 1 Cerro Montevideo URU D1

05/10/2023 19:00

Racing Club Montevideo 1 - 2 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches CA Penarol

05/11/2023 19:00

CA Penarol 0 - 1 Liverpool URU URU D1

29/10/2023 15:30

IA Sud America 0 - 3 CA Penarol U Cup

22/10/2023 15:00

CA River Plate 0 - 3 CA Penarol URU D1

18/10/2023 18:30

Torque 2 - 3 CA Penarol URU D1

13/10/2023 20:00

Deportivo Maldonado 0 - 1 CA Penarol URU D1

07/10/2023 17:30

CA Penarol 2 - 1 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Nacional Montevideo

CA Penarol

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.89

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.63

Scored

Avg. per game

0.80

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.40

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 19 home matches

YesNo

11 (58%)8 (42%)

In last 19 home matches

NoYes

13 (65%)7 (35%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

CA Penarol

Under /Over

(74%)14 5(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(75%)15 5(25%)

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(25%)5 15(75%)

Under /Over

(42%)8 11(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(30%)6 14(70%)

/Yes

(53%)10 9(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)10 10(50%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

CA Penarol

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

7.47 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

CA Penarol

Total shots

8.40 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Nacional Montevideo Pass CA Penarol

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

57%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

Played games

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.42

Clean sheets

0.40

2.84

Corners

4.85

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.05

0.84

GK saves

0.60

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.63

2.20

0.32

0.05

0.53

Fouls

0.50

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol on 11 November 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CA Penarol's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and CA Penarol sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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