Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 August

Nacional Montevideo

W W W W D

2nd place in Autumn

1-1

Pen. 8-7

04/08/2024 14:00

CA Penarol

W W W W W

1st place in Autumn

Uruguay Primera Division

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol on 04 August 2024 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol preview before placing your bet.

Nacional Montevideo are currently 2nd with 36 points after 15 matches.
CA Penarol sit 1st with 38 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: CA Penarol to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Nacional Montevideo and CA Penarol have each won 1 of the last 6 meetings, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2024-08-04

Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol - Prediction & Odds

Nacional Montevideo

CA Penarol

2024-08-04 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 04/08/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	38	15	12	2	1	32	5	27
02 Nacional Montevideo	36	15	11	3	1	37	11	26
03 Racing Club Montevideo	27	15	7	6	2	16	10	6
04 Boston River	26	15	8	2	5	19	15	4
05 Danubio FC	25	15	6	7	2	14	7	7
06 Cerro Largo	22	15	6	4	5	15	11	4
07 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	20	15	5	5	5	17	17	0
08 Miramar Misiones FC	19	15	4	7	4	11	15	-4
09 Liverpool URU	18	15	4	6	5	15	16	-1
10 CA River Plate	18	15	5	3	7	15	20	-5
11 Wanderers FC	17	15	4	5	6	15	20	-5
12 Rampla Juniors FC	16	15	4	4	7	12	19	-7
13 Centro Atletico Fenix	14	15	4	2	9	14	28	-14
14 Cerro Montevideo	12	15	2	6	7	9	20	-11
15 Deportivo Maldonado	9	15	2	3	10	12	24	-12
16 Club Atletico Progreso	8	15	1	5	9	9	24	-15

Torneo Intermedio Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	14	7	4	2	1	10	5	5
02 Wanderers FC	13	7	4	1	2	11	9	2
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	11	7	3	2	2	7	5	2
04 Centro Atletico Fenix	10	7	3	1	3	10	9	1
05 CA River Plate	8	7	2	2	3	8	9	-1
06 Club Atletico Progreso	8	7	2	2	3	8	11	-3
07 Racing Club Montevideo	6	7	1	3	3	8	10	-2
08 Deportivo Maldonado	6	7	1	3	3	5	9	-4

Torneo Intermedio Group B	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Nacional Montevideo	16	7	5	1	1	18	5	13
02 Danubio FC	14	7	4	2	1	11	11	0
03 Cerro Largo	11	7	3	2	2	6	7	-1
04 Cerro Montevideo	10	7	3	1	3	8	5	3
05 Miramar Misiones FC	10	7	3	1	3	7	10	-3
06 Rampla Juniors FC	8	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4
07 Boston River	7	7	2	1	4	6	8	-2
08 Liverpool URU	3	7	1	0	6	4	10	-6

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CA Penarol	41	15	13	2	0	31	7	24
02 Nacional Montevideo	34	15	10	4	1	31	16	15
03 Defensor Sporting Montevideo	28	15	8	4	3	31	17	14
04 Boston River	27	15	8	3	4	21	17	4
05 Club Atletico Progreso	24	15	7	3	5	25	25	0
06 Cerro Largo	21	15	6	3	6	16	16	0
07 Racing Club Montevideo	19	15	5	4	6	22	22	0
08 Liverpool URU	18	15	4	6	5	22	24	-2
09 Wanderers FC	18	15	5	3	7	15	20	-5
10 Cerro Montevideo	17	15	4	5	6	19	25	-6
11 Deportivo Maldonado	15	15	4	3	8	14	19	-5
12 Rampla Juniors FC	15	15	4	3	8	15	27	-12
13 CA River Plate	14	15	3	5	7	20	25	-5
14 Danubio FC	14	15	3	5	7	13	19	-6
15 Centro Atletico Fenix	13	15	3	4	8	11	17	-6
16 Miramar Misiones FC	11	15	2	5	8	18	28	-10

Head To Head

29/03/2024 15:00

CA Penarol

0 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

23/01/2024 20:30

CA Penarol

0 - 2

Nacional Montevideo

INT CF

17/01/2024 20:45

Nacional Montevideo

1 - 1

CA Penarol

INT CF

11/11/2023 15:30

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 2

CA Penarol

URU D1

01/04/2023 15:00

CA Penarol

2 - 0

Nacional Montevideo

URU D1

23/01/2023 19:30

Nacional Montevideo

2 - 2

CA Penarol

INT CF

Nacional Montevideo

17%

Draw

67%

CA Penarol

17%

Nacional Montevideo Last 6 matches

28/07/2024 14:00

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 0 Boston River URU D1

20/07/2024 14:30

Nacional Montevideo 4 - 0 Miramar Misiones FC URU D1

13/07/2024 14:00

Danubio FC 0 - 6 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

07/07/2024 14:30

Nacional Montevideo 1 - 1 Rampla Juniors FC URU D1

23/06/2024 14:00

Cerro Largo 0 - 4 Nacional Montevideo URU D1

15/06/2024 16:30

Nacional Montevideo 2 - 1 Liverpool URU URU D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Last 6 matches CA Penarol

27/07/2024 16:30

CA Penarol 1 - 0 Defensor Sporting Montevideo URU D1

21/07/2024 15:00

CA Penarol 2 - 0 Centro Atletico Fenix URU D1

14/07/2024 14:00

CA River Plate 1 - 3 CA Penarol URU D1

09/07/2024 18:00

CA Penarol 0 - 2 San Lorenzo INT CF

06/07/2024 14:30

CA Penarol 1 - 1 Deportivo Maldonado URU D1

22/06/2024 17:00

Club Atletico Progreso 0 - 2 CA Penarol URU D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Uruguay Primera Divisi...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

274

Avg. per game

0.91

Conceded

161

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored

265

Avg. per game

0.88

Conceded

124

Avg. per game

0.41

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

183 (61%)117 (39%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

180 (60%)120 (40%)

Nacional Montevideo

Recent matches

CA Penarol

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Nacional Montevideo

CA Penarol

Shots

Nacional Montevideo

Total shots

8.96 avg / game

Blocked

76 total

Avg. 2.92

CA Penarol

Total shots

8.86 avg / game

Blocked

81 total

Avg. 2.89

Nacional Montevideo Pass CA Penarol

Total passes

15669

Avg. 348 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

54%

Total passes

14455

Avg. 329 / game

Accurate

66%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Nacional Montevideo

300

Played games

CA Penarol

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.40

119

Clean sheets

135

0.45

4.53

1358

Corners

1370

4.57

1.04

312

Throw-ins

472

1.57

0.26

Offsides

0.29

1.49

447

GK saves

424

1.41

Nacional Montevideo

DISCIPLINARY

CA Penarol

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.35

704

609

2.03

0.14

0.10

2.12

636

Fouls

638

2.13

2.42

727

Tackles

725

2.42

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

NEXT MATCHES

No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol on 04 August 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Uruguay Primera Division fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Nacional Montevideo vs CA Penarol Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Nacional Montevideo's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against CA Penarol's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Uruguay Primera Division Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Uruguay Primera Division standings and the Uruguay Primera Division form table to understand exactly where Nacional Montevideo and CA Penarol sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Uruguay Primera Division predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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