Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 July

Prediction Match Centre
Mushuc Runa
LLLDD
11th place in Primera Division de Ecuador
2
? - ?
Independiente del Valle
Win Probability 49%
11/07/2026 15:10
Independiente del Valle
WWWLW
1st place in Primera Division de Ecuador
Primera Division de Ecuador
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle on 11 July 2026 (kick-off: 15:10) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle preview before placing your bet.

  • Mushuc Runa will face Independiente del Valle in Primera Division de Ecuador on July 11, 2026 at 15:10.
  • Mushuc Runa are currently 11th with 21 points after 17 matches.
  • Independiente del Valle sit 1st with 40 points from 17 matches.
  • Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.86.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
15:10

2026-07-11

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle - Prediction & Odds

Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa
Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
2026-07-11 15:10
25
26
49
2
2 - 1
2 - 1
2.50
1.86
NS
-
-
weather
STANDINGS UP TO 11/07/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
40 17 13 1 3 36 18 18
02 Barcelona SC(ECU) Barcelona SC(ECU)
29 17 8 5 4 20 13 7
03 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas Sociedad Deportiva Aucas
29 17 8 5 4 20 16 4
04 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito
27 17 8 3 6 19 14 5
05 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca
27 17 8 3 6 18 19 -1
06 Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
26 17 7 5 5 28 17 11
07 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
23 17 7 2 8 19 17 2
08 Macara Macara
23 17 6 5 6 16 18 -2
09 Club Sport Emelec Club Sport Emelec
23 17 6 5 6 14 17 -3
10 Orense SC Orense SC
22 17 6 4 7 22 24 -2
11 Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa
21 17 5 6 6 22 23 -1
12 Leones del Norte Leones del Norte
20 17 5 5 7 18 19 -1
13 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City
19 17 5 4 8 14 20 -6
14 Delfin SC Delfin SC
17 17 4 5 8 9 16 -7
15 Libertad FC Libertad FC
17 17 4 5 8 17 25 -8
16 Manta FC Manta FC
12 17 3 3 11 7 23 -16
Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa Last 6 matches
07/07/2026 04:30
Universidad Catolica 2 - 3 Mushuc Runa
Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A
04/06/2026 03:30
Gualaceo SC 1 - 0 Mushuc Runa
Ecuador Cup
01/06/2026 01:00
Mushuc Runa 0 - 0 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas
Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A
24/05/2026 02:00
Mushuc Runa 2 - 2 Guayaquil City
Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A
18/05/2026 01:00
Leones del Norte 3 - 1 Mushuc Runa
Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A
12/05/2026 07:00
Mushuc Runa 1 - 3 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito
Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A
Win
17%
Draw
33%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
04/07/2026 07:00
Independiente del Valle 4 - 0 Manta FC
Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A
01/06/2026 03:30
Guayaquil City 2 - 4 Independiente del Valle
Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A
28/05/2026 05:00
Independiente del Valle 1 - 0 Rosario Central
Copa Libertadores
23/05/2026 07:00
Independiente del Valle 2 - 3 Libertad FC
Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A
20/05/2026 09:00
Independiente del Valle 4 - 1 Club Libertad
Copa Libertadores
17/05/2026 02:00
Macara 0 - 3 Independiente del Valle
Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A
Win
83%
Draw
0%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Primera Division de Ec...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa
18
 Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
24
Goals
Scored
10
Avg. per game
0.56
Conceded
13
Avg. per game
0.72
Scored
26
Avg. per game
1.08
Conceded
13
Avg. per game
0.54
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
6 (100%)0 (0%)
In last 18 matches
YesNo
7 (39%)11 (61%)
In last 18 matches
NoYes
15 (63%)9 (38%)
Mushuc Runa

Mushuc Runa

Recent matches

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

Under /Over

(61%)11 7(39%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(83%)20 4(17%)

Under /Over

(33%)6 12(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(50%)12 12(50%)

Under /Over

(33%)6 12(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)10 14(58%)

/Yes

(56%)10 8(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(50%)12 12(50%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
Shots
Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa
Total shots
11.56 avg / game
Blocked
57 total
Avg. 3.80
Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
Total shots
18.95 avg / game
Blocked
93 total
Avg. 4.43
Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa Pass Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
Total passes
4713
Avg. 295 / game
Accurate
79%
Ball possession
47%
Total passes
9172
Avg. 417 / game
Accurate
85%
Ball possession
59%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa
1317
Avg. 73.17 / game
 Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
2048
Avg. 85.33 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa
725
Avg. 40.28 / game
 Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
1096
Avg. 45.67 / game
OTHERS
Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa
18
Played games
Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
24
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.33
6
Clean sheets
9
0.38
4.28
77
Corners
145
6.04
12.83
231
Throw-ins
354
14.75
1.06
19
Offsides
20
0.83
2.11
38
GK saves
52
2.17
Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa
DISCIPLINARY
Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.28
41
Yellow card
45
1.88
0.28
5
Red card
4
0.17
9.56
172
Fouls
174
7.25
6.78
122
Tackles
186
7.75
NEXT MATCHES
07/15
Macara Macara
VS
Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa
ECU
07/19
Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa
VS
Orense SC Orense SC
ECU
07/22
Club Sport Emelec Club Sport Emelec
VS
Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa
ECU
07/26
Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa
VS
Libertad FC Libertad FC
ECU
08/02
Manta FC Manta FC
VS
Mushuc Runa Mushuc Runa
ECU
NEXT MATCHES
07/08
Deportivo Santo Domingo Deportivo Santo Domingo
VS
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
ECU
07/15
Sociedad Deportiva Aucas Sociedad Deportiva Aucas
VS
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
ECU
07/19
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
VS
Club Sport Emelec Club Sport Emelec
ECU
07/22
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
VS
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
ECU
07/26
Orense SC Orense SC
VS
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
ECU

How We Build the Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle on 11 July 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Ecuador fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mushuc Runa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Independiente del Valle's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Ecuador Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Ecuador standings and the Primera Division de Ecuador form table to understand exactly where Mushuc Runa and Independiente del Valle sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Ecuador predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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