Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 July

Mushuc Runa

LDDWL

14th place in Primera Division de Ecuador

1-4

Independiente del Valle
Win Probability 47%

11/07/2026 15:10

Independiente del Valle

WLWWW

1st place in Primera Division de Ecuador

Primera Division de Ecuador

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle on 11 July 2026 (kick-off: 15:10) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle preview before placing your bet.

Mushuc Runa will face Independiente del Valle in Primera Division de Ecuador on July 11, 2026 at 15:10.
Mushuc Runa are currently 14th with 21 points after 19 matches.
Independiente del Valle sit 1st with 46 points from 19 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 1 - 1 and average coefficient 1.80.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:10

2026-07-11

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle - Prediction & Odds

Mushuc Runa

Independiente del Valle

2026-07-11 15:10

STANDINGS UP TO 11/07/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	46	19	15	1	3	43	19	24
02 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	32	19	9	5	5	21	19	2
03 Barcelona SC(ECU)	31	19	8	7	4	21	14	7
04 Universidad Catolica	29	19	8	5	6	29	18	11
05 Macara	29	20	8	5	7	21	21	0
06 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	28	19	8	4	7	19	15	4
07 Deportivo Cuenca	28	19	8	4	7	19	21	-2
08 Club Sport Emelec	27	19	7	6	6	16	17	-1
09 Leones del Norte	24	19	6	6	7	20	20	0
10 Tecnico Universitario	23	19	7	2	10	19	20	-1
11 Orense SC	23	19	6	5	8	22	26	-4
12 Guayaquil City	23	19	6	5	8	17	22	-5
13 Delfin SC	23	20	6	5	9	13	19	-6
14 Mushuc Runa	21	19	5	6	8	24	29	-5
15 Libertad FC	21	19	5	6	8	18	25	-7
16 Manta FC	13	19	3	4	12	7	24	-17

Mushuc Runa Last 6 matches

15/07/2026 04:30

Macara 2 - 1 Mushuc Runa

Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A

12/07/2026 02:10

Mushuc Runa 1 - 4 Independiente del Valle

Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A

07/07/2026 04:30

Universidad Catolica 2 - 3 Mushuc Runa

Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A

04/06/2026 03:30

Gualaceo SC 1 - 0 Mushuc Runa

Ecuador Cup

01/06/2026 01:00

Mushuc Runa 0 - 0 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas

Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A

24/05/2026 02:00

Mushuc Runa 2 - 2 Guayaquil City

Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Independiente del Valle

17/07/2026 04:30

Sociedad Deportiva Aucas 0 - 3 Independiente del Valle

Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A

12/07/2026 02:10

Mushuc Runa 1 - 4 Independiente del Valle

Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A

09/07/2026 05:30

Deportivo Santo Domingo 0 - 2 Independiente del Valle

Ecuador Cup

04/07/2026 07:00

Independiente del Valle 4 - 0 Manta FC

Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A

01/06/2026 03:30

Guayaquil City 2 - 4 Independiente del Valle

Liga Pro Ecuador Serie A

28/05/2026 05:00

Independiente del Valle 1 - 0 Rosario Central

Copa Libertadores

Win

100%

Draw

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Ec...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Mushuc Runa

Independiente del Valle

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.60

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.40

Scored

Avg. per game

1.08

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.54

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 10 home matches

YesNo

4 (40%)6 (60%)

In last 10 home matches

NoYes

10 (77%)3 (23%)

Mushuc Runa

Recent matches

Independiente del Valle

Under /Over

(50%)5 5(50%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(85%)11 2(15%)

Under /Over

(30%)3 7(70%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(54%)7 6(46%)

Under /Over

(30%)3 7(70%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(31%)4 9(69%)

/Yes

(40%)4 6(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(54%)7 6(46%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Mushuc Runa

Independiente del Valle

Shots

Mushuc Runa

Total shots

13.10 avg / game

Blocked

42 total

Avg. 4.67

Independiente del Valle

Total shots

22.17 avg / game

Blocked

63 total

Avg. 5.25

Mushuc Runa Pass Independiente del Valle

Total passes

3286

Avg. 365 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

51%

Total passes

5481

Avg. 457 / game

Accurate

88%

Ball possession

63%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Mushuc Runa

777

Avg. 77.70 / game

Independiente del Valle

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Independiente del Valle

656

Avg. 50.46 / game

OTHERS

Mushuc Runa

Played games

Independiente del Valle

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.60

Clean sheets

0.38

5.30

Corners

7.38

13.80

138

Throw-ins

206

15.85

1.30

Offsides

0.92

2.90

GK saves

2.15

Mushuc Runa

DISCIPLINARY

Independiente del Valle

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.70

1.31

0.20

0.23

9.10

Fouls

7.00

5.70

Tackles

110

8.46

NEXT MATCHES

Tecnico Universitario

Mushuc Runa

ECU

NEXT MATCHES

07/19

Independiente del Valle

Club Sport Emelec

ECU

07/22

Independiente del Valle

Tecnico Universitario

ECU

07/26

Orense SC

Independiente del Valle

ECU

08/02

Independiente del Valle

Deportivo Cuenca

ECU

08/09

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

Independiente del Valle

ECU

How We Build the Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle on 11 July 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Ecuador fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mushuc Runa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Independiente del Valle's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Ecuador Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Ecuador standings and the Primera Division de Ecuador form table to understand exactly where Mushuc Runa and Independiente del Valle sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Ecuador predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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