Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 20 September

Mushuc Runa

W L W L D

15th place in League

2-2

20/09/2025 15:00

Independiente del Valle

W W W W D

1st place in League

Primera Division de Ecuador

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle on 20 September 2025 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle preview before placing your bet.

Mushuc Runa are currently 15th with 27 points after 30 matches.
Independiente del Valle sit 1st with 64 points from 30 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Independiente del Valle to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Independiente del Valle, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Mushuc Runa have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2025-09-20

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle - Prediction & Odds

Mushuc Runa

Independiente del Valle

2025-09-20 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 20/09/2025

League	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	64	30	18	10	2	55	23	32
02 Barcelona SC(ECU)	54	30	16	6	8	46	33	13
03 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	51	30	14	9	7	48	31	17
04 Universidad Catolica	49	30	13	10	7	58	39	19
05 Orense SC	47	30	13	8	9	34	32	2
06 Libertad FC	46	30	12	10	8	42	36	6
07 Deportivo Cuenca	46	30	13	7	10	35	29	6
08 Club Sport Emelec	42	30	11	9	10	30	34	-4
09 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	41	30	11	8	11	38	41	-3
10 Macara	38	30	9	11	10	32	30	2
11 CD El Nacional	34	30	9	7	14	32	46	-14
12 Delfin SC	31	30	6	13	11	26	42	-16
13 Tecnico Universitario	28	30	7	7	16	26	46	-20
14 Vinotinto de Ecuador	27	30	7	6	17	34	43	-9
15 Mushuc Runa	27	30	7	6	17	38	50	-12
16 Manta FC	26	30	5	11	14	34	53	-19

Championship Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente del Valle	82	10	5	3	2	12	7	5
02 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	69	10	5	3	2	20	10	10
03 Barcelona SC(ECU)	67	10	3	4	3	10	14	-4
04 Universidad Catolica	58	10	1	6	3	9	11	-2
05 Orense SC	58	10	3	2	5	10	16	-6
06 Libertad FC	56	10	2	4	4	12	15	-3

Relegation	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Manta FC	39	6	4	1	1	12	6	6
02 Mushuc Runa	36	6	2	3	1	4	5	-1
03 Tecnico Universitario	33	6	1	2	3	5	8	-3
04 Vinotinto de Ecuador	32	6	1	2	3	6	8	-2

Qualifying Round	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Macara	62	10	8	0	2	21	5	16
02 Deportivo Cuenca	59	10	4	1	5	16	12	4
03 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	58	10	5	2	3	21	13	8
04 Club Sport Emelec	55	10	4	1	5	12	15	-3
05 CD El Nacional	45	9	3	2	4	12	21	-9
06 Delfin SC	36	9	1	2	6	4	20	-16

Head To Head

19/08/2025 20:30

Mushuc Runa

2 - 1

Independiente del Valle

CON CSA

12/08/2025 20:30

Independiente del Valle

1 - 0

Mushuc Runa

CON CSA

23/05/2025 17:30

Independiente del Valle

2 - 1

Mushuc Runa

ECU D1

05/10/2024 12:00

Mushuc Runa

1 - 1

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

18/04/2024 17:30

Independiente del Valle

2 - 1

Mushuc Runa

ECU D1

06/08/2023 14:00

Mushuc Runa

1 - 0

Independiente del Valle

ECU D1

Mushuc Runa

33%

Draw

17%

Independiente del Valle

50%

Mushuc Runa Last 6 matches

13/09/2025 20:00

Orense SC 3 - 1 Mushuc Runa ECU D1

30/08/2025 17:30

Mushuc Runa 2 - 0 Manta FC ECU D1

23/08/2025 15:00

Macara 2 - 1 Mushuc Runa ECU D1

19/08/2025 20:30

Mushuc Runa 2 - 1 Independiente del Valle CON CSA

16/08/2025 15:00

Mushuc Runa 1 - 0 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas ECU D1

12/08/2025 20:30

Independiente del Valle 1 - 0 Mushuc Runa CON CSA

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Independiente del Valle

13/09/2025 15:00

Independiente del Valle 3 - 1 Vinotinto de Ecuador ECU D1

30/08/2025 15:00

Independiente del Valle 4 - 0 Tecnico Universitario ECU D1

24/08/2025 16:30

Club Sport Emelec 0 - 1 Independiente del Valle ECU D1

19/08/2025 20:30

Mushuc Runa 2 - 1 Independiente del Valle CON CSA

16/08/2025 20:00

Independiente del Valle 2 - 1 Orense SC ECU D1

12/08/2025 20:30

Independiente del Valle 1 - 0 Mushuc Runa CON CSA

Win

83%

Draw

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Ec...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Mushuc Runa

Independiente del Valle

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.72

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.78

Scored

Avg. per game

0.65

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.40

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

0 (0%)6 (100%)

In last 18 home matches

YesNo

11 (61%)7 (39%)

In last 18 home matches

NoYes

9 (45%)11 (55%)

Mushuc Runa

Recent matches

Independiente del Valle

Under /Over

(78%)14 4(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(75%)15 5(25%)

Under /Over

(56%)10 8(44%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)6 14(70%)

Under /Over

(33%)6 12(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(35%)7 13(65%)

/Yes

(61%)11 7(39%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(55%)11 9(45%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Mushuc Runa

Independiente del Valle

Shots

Mushuc Runa

Total shots

15.22 avg / game

Blocked

23 total

Avg. 3.83

Independiente del Valle

Total shots

13.95 avg / game

Blocked

31 total

Avg. 4.43

Mushuc Runa Pass Independiente del Valle

Total passes

4898

Avg. 288 / game

Accurate

73%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

8212

Avg. 432 / game

Accurate

88%

Ball possession

59%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Mushuc Runa

1574

Avg. 87.44 / game

Independiente del Valle

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Independiente del Valle

763

Avg. 38.15 / game

OTHERS

Mushuc Runa

Played games

Independiente del Valle

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.40

6.11

110

Corners

128

6.40

9.11

164

Throw-ins

158

7.90

1.22

Offsides

1.30

2.50

GK saves

1.30

Mushuc Runa

DISCIPLINARY

Independiente del Valle

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.22

1.95

0.22

0.15

11.28

203

Fouls

185

9.25

10.61

191

Tackles

183

9.15

NEXT MATCHES

08/09

Tecnico Universitario

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

Mushuc Runa

ECU

NEXT MATCHES

08/09

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

Independiente del Valle

ECU

08/11

Deportes Tolima

Independiente del Valle

CON

08/16

Independiente del Valle

Delfin SC

ECU

08/18

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

ECU

How We Build the Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle on 20 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Ecuador fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mushuc Runa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Independiente del Valle's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Ecuador Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Ecuador standings and the Primera Division de Ecuador form table to understand exactly where Mushuc Runa and Independiente del Valle sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Ecuador predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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