Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – October 05

Mushuc Runa

L D W W L

8th place in Apertura

1-1

05/10/2024 12:00

Independiente del Valle

W W W D W

1st place in Apertura

Primera Division de Ecuador

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle on October 05, 2024 (kick-off: 12:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle preview before placing for you.

Mushuc Runa are currently 8th with 18 points after 15 matches.
Independiente del Valle sit 1st with 35 points from 15 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Independiente del Valle to win with probability 47%.
Head-to-head history favors Independiente del Valle, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Mushuc Runa have one win, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

12:00

2024-10-05

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle - Prediction & Odds

Mushuc Runa

Independiente del Valle

2024-10-05 12:00

STANDINGS UP TO 05/10/2024

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Independiente Jose Teran	35	15	10	5	0	23	8	15
02 Barcelona SC(ECU)	31	15	9	4	2	24	8	16
03 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	30	15	9	3	3	27	17	10
04 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	29	15	8	5	2	31	18	13
05 Club Sport Emelec	25	15	6	7	2	17	12	5
06 Universidad Catolica	25	15	7	4	4	31	20	11
07 CD El Nacional	24	15	8	0	7	17	16	1
08 Mushuc Runa	18	15	5	3	7	18	19	-1
09 Macara	18	15	4	6	5	11	13	-2
10 Tecnico Universitario	16	15	4	4	7	14	21	-7
11 Deportivo Cuenca	16	15	3	7	5	25	24	1
12 Orense SC	15	15	3	6	6	10	17	-7
13 Cumbaya FC	14	15	4	2	9	8	19	-11
14 SC Imbabura	13	15	3	4	8	17	29	-12
15 Delfin SC	9	15	2	3	10	8	23	-15
16 Libertad FC	8	15	1	5	9	8	25	-17

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito	35	15	11	2	2	33	14	19
02 Independiente Jose Teran	30	15	9	3	3	33	14	19
03 Universidad Catolica	26	15	8	2	5	28	24	4
04 Orense SC	25	15	7	4	4	18	16	2
05 Barcelona SC(ECU)	25	15	7	4	4	30	21	9
06 Mushuc Runa	23	15	5	8	2	27	24	3
07 Libertad FC	23	15	6	5	4	20	18	2
08 Delfin SC	22	15	6	4	5	21	22	-1
09 Tecnico Universitario	22	15	6	4	5	25	15	10
10 CD El Nacional	19	15	5	4	6	16	20	-4
11 Deportivo Cuenca	16	15	4	4	7	15	21	-6
12 Sociedad Deportiva Aucas	16	15	4	4	7	16	22	-6
13 Macara	15	15	4	3	8	15	27	-12
14 Club Sport Emelec	12	15	3	3	9	12	20	-8
15 SC Imbabura	11	15	3	2	10	17	31	-14
16 Cumbaya FC	10	15	2	4	9	17	34	-17

Head To Head

18/04/2024 17:30

Independiente Jose Teran

2 - 1

Mushuc Runa

ECU D1

06/08/2023 14:00

Mushuc Runa

1 - 0

Independiente Jose Teran

ECU D1

25/02/2023 15:00

Independiente Jose Teran

3 - 1

Mushuc Runa

ECU D1

02/11/2022 18:30

Independiente Jose Teran

1 - 1

Mushuc Runa

ECU CUP

16/10/2022 19:00

Mushuc Runa

0 - 1

Independiente Jose Teran

ECU D1

25/08/2022 18:00

Mushuc Runa

2 - 4

Independiente Jose Teran

ECU CUP

Mushuc Runa

17%

Draw

17%

Independiente del Valle

67%

Mushuc Runa Last 6 matches

26/09/2024 16:00

Mushuc Runa 2 - 1 Libertad FC ECU CUP

22/09/2024 16:30

Mushuc Runa 3 - 0 Orense SC ECU D1

15/09/2024 16:00

Sociedad Deportiva Aucas 1 - 2 Mushuc Runa ECU D1

30/08/2024 20:00

Universidad Catolica 5 - 1 Mushuc Runa ECU D1

27/08/2024 20:00

CD Independiente Juniors 0 - 1 Mushuc Runa ECU CUP

24/08/2024 14:00

Mushuc Runa 0 - 0 Cumbaya FC ECU D1

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Independiente del Valle

28/09/2024 14:30

Independiente Jose Teran 5 - 2 Universidad Catolica ECU D1

24/09/2024 17:30

Guayaquil City 1 - 2 Independiente Jose Teran ECU CUP

20/09/2024 20:00

Libertad FC 1 - 1 Independiente Jose Teran ECU D1

14/09/2024 20:00

Independiente Jose Teran 2 - 1 Club Sport Emelec ECU D1

01/09/2024 16:30

Sociedad Deportiva Aucas 0 - 2 Independiente Jose Teran ECU D1

29/08/2024 19:00

Cuniburo FC 1 - 2 Independiente Jose Teran ECU CUP

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Ec...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Mushuc Runa

224

Independiente del Valle

300

Goals

Scored

133

Avg. per game

0.59

Conceded

149

Avg. per game

0.67

Scored

236

Avg. per game

0.79

Conceded

129

Avg. per game

0.43

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 224 matches

YesNo

100 (45%)124 (55%)

In last 224 matches

NoYes

167 (56%)133 (44%)

Mushuc Runa

Recent matches

Independiente del Valle

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Mushuc Runa

Independiente del Valle

Shots

Mushuc Runa

Total shots

10.80 avg / game

Blocked

203 total

Avg. 2.90

Independiente del Valle

Total shots

12.71 avg / game

Blocked

363 total

Avg. 3.49

Mushuc Runa Pass Independiente del Valle

Total passes

30667

Avg. 269 / game

Accurate

74%

Ball possession

46%

Total passes

69821

Avg. 426 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

60%

TOTAL ATTACKS

Mushuc Runa

17504

Avg. 78.14 / game

Independiente del Valle

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

Independiente del Valle

14272

Avg. 47.57 / game

OTHERS

Mushuc Runa

224

Played games

Independiente del Valle

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.27

Clean sheets

121

0.40

4.59

1029

Corners

1563

5.21

3.82

856

Throw-ins

983

3.28

1.47

329

Offsides

339

1.13

2.53

566

GK saves

513

1.71

Mushuc Runa

DISCIPLINARY

Independiente del Valle

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.59

580

648

2.16

0.21

0.14

12.04

2697

Fouls

2782

9.27

5.46

1223

Tackles

1682

5.61

NEXT MATCHES

08/10

Tecnico Universitario

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

Mushuc Runa

ECU

NEXT MATCHES

08/07

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

Independiente del Valle

ECU

08/11

Deportes Tolima

Independiente del Valle

CON

08/16

Independiente del Valle

Delfin SC

ECU

08/18

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

ECU

How We Build the Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle on 05 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Ecuador fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mushuc Runa vs Independiente del Valle Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mushuc Runa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Independiente del Valle's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Ecuador Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Ecuador standings and the Primera Division de Ecuador form table to understand exactly where Mushuc Runa and Independiente del Valle sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Ecuador predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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