Mtarfa vs Marsa: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 21 September

Mtarfa
LDLLL
16th place in League
0 - 2
FT
21/09/2025 18:30
Marsa
LLDLD
14th place in League
Malta First Division League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mtarfa vs Marsa on 21 September 2025 (kick-off: 18:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mtarfa vs Marsa preview before placing your bet.

  • Mtarfa are currently 16th with 4 points after 15 matches.
  • Marsa sit 14th with 10 points from 15 matches.
  • Head-to-head history favors Marsa, who have won 2 of the last 3 meetings. Mtarfa have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 21/09/2025
League PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Balzan FC Balzan FC
35 15 11 2 2 37 10 27
02 Swieqi United Swieqi United
32 15 10 2 3 34 21 13
03 Birzebbuga Birzebbuga
31 15 10 1 4 29 15 14
04 Sirens Sirens
29 15 9 2 4 39 19 20
05 Melita FC Saint Julian Melita FC Saint Julian
29 15 9 2 4 34 19 15
06 Fgura United Fgura United
25 15 8 1 6 33 24 9
07 Pieta Hotspurs Pieta Hotspurs
24 15 7 3 5 27 21 6
08 St. Andrews St. Andrews
23 15 7 2 6 19 23 -4
09 Mgarr United FC Mgarr United FC
22 15 6 4 5 28 24 4
10 Gudja United Gudja United
22 15 5 7 3 16 13 3
11 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia
18 15 4 6 5 27 25 2
12 Zurrieq Zurrieq
14 15 4 2 9 21 27 -6
13 Vittoriosa Stars Vittoriosa Stars
12 15 3 3 9 17 24 -7
14 Marsa Marsa
10 15 2 4 9 18 28 -10
15 Zebbug Rangers Zebbug Rangers
8 15 2 2 11 9 37 -28
16 Mtarfa Mtarfa
4 15 1 1 13 9 67 -58
Championship Round PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Swieqi United Swieqi United
49 7 5 2 0 16 5 11
02 Balzan FC Balzan FC
48 7 4 1 2 13 11 2
03 Birzebbuga Birzebbuga
46 7 4 3 0 18 12 6
04 Pieta Hotspurs Pieta Hotspurs
35 7 3 2 2 15 13 2
05 Sirens Sirens
35 7 2 0 5 11 14 -3
06 Melita FC Saint Julian Melita FC Saint Julian
35 7 2 0 5 6 11 -5
07 Fgura United Fgura United
32 7 2 1 4 8 13 -5
08 St. Andrews St. Andrews
27 7 1 1 5 7 15 -8
Relegation Quarterfinals PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Mgarr United FC Mgarr United FC
33 7 3 2 2 13 9 4
02 Gudja United Gudja United
32 7 3 1 3 13 12 1
03 Santa Lucia Santa Lucia
30 7 3 3 1 13 6 7
04 Zurrieq Zurrieq
27 7 4 1 2 15 11 4
05 Vittoriosa Stars Vittoriosa Stars
21 7 2 3 2 9 9 0
06 Zebbug Rangers Zebbug Rangers
20 7 3 3 1 14 8 6
07 Marsa Marsa
19 7 2 3 2 14 10 4
08 Mtarfa Mtarfa
4 7 0 0 7 1 27 -26
Head To Head
04/01/2025 13:00
Mtarfa Mtarfa
0 - 2
Marsa Marsa
MAL D2
05/03/2023 13:00
Marsa Marsa
0 - 0
Mtarfa Mtarfa
MAL D2
15/12/2022 20:00
Marsa Marsa
2 - 0
Mtarfa Mtarfa
MAL D2
Mtarfa
0
0%
Draw
1
33%
Marsa
2
67%
Mtarfa Mtarfa Last 6 matches
13/09/2025 16:00
Santa Lucia 7 - 0 Mtarfa MAL D2
12/04/2025 13:00
Mtarfa 3 - 2 Fgura United MAL D2
06/04/2025 18:00
Gudja United 1 - 3 Mtarfa MAL D2
30/03/2025 14:30
Mtarfa 0 - 1 St. Andrews MAL D2
08/03/2025 15:30
Zebbug Rangers 0 - 2 Mtarfa MAL D2
02/03/2025 15:30
Sirens 1 - 1 Mtarfa MAL D2
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Marsa Marsa
13/09/2025 16:00
Marsa 1 - 3 Zurrieq MAL D2
02/08/2025 16:00
Marsa 1 - 2 Lija Athletic INT CF
19/04/2025 12:00
Pieta Hotspurs 3 - 2 Marsa AMEC
12/04/2025 13:30
Valletta FC 3 - 0 Marsa MAL D2
06/04/2025 16:00
Marsa 1 - 4 Tarxien Rainbows F.C MAL D2
29/03/2025 13:00
Santa Lucia 3 - 1 Marsa MAL D2
Win
0%
Draw
0%
Lost
100%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Malta First Division L...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Mtarfa
Mtarfa
78
 Marsa
Marsa
155
Goals
Scored
21
Avg. per game
0.27
Conceded
90
Avg. per game
1.15
Scored
122
Avg. per game
0.79
Conceded
100
Avg. per game
0.65
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
0 (0%)6 (100%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 78 matches
YesNo
19 (24%)59 (76%)
In last 78 matches
NoYes
84 (54%)71 (46%)
Mtarfa

Mtarfa

Recent matches

Marsa

Marsa

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(40%)18 27(60%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Mtarfa Mtarfa
Marsa Marsa
Shots
Mtarfa
Mtarfa
Total shots
6.63 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Marsa
Marsa
Total shots
7.96 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Mtarfa Mtarfa Pass Marsa Marsa
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
40%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
51%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Mtarfa
Mtarfa
4912
Avg. 62.97 / game
 Marsa
Marsa
8432
Avg. 54.40 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Mtarfa
Mtarfa
2846
Avg. 36.49 / game
 Marsa
Marsa
6674
Avg. 43.06 / game
OTHERS
Mtarfa
Mtarfa
78
Played games
Marsa
Marsa
155
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.12
9
Clean sheets
43
0.28
3.45
269
Corners
621
4.01
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.01
1
Offsides
5
0.03
0.17
13
GK saves
1
0.01
Mtarfa
Mtarfa
DISCIPLINARY
Marsa
Marsa
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.08
162
Yellow card
267
1.72
0.18
14
Red card
24
0.15
0.21
16
Fouls
13
0.08
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Mtarfa vs Marsa Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mtarfa vs Marsa on 21 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Malta First Division League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mtarfa vs Marsa Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mtarfa's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Marsa's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Malta First Division League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Malta First Division League standings and the Malta First Division League form table to understand exactly where Mtarfa and Marsa sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Malta First Division League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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