Mozambique vs Mali: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 15 November

Mozambique

W D W D D

2nd place in Group I

0-1

15/11/2024 09:00

Mali

D W W D D

1st place in Group I

African Nations Cup

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mozambique vs Mali on 15 November 2024 (kick-off: 09:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mozambique vs Mali preview before placing your bet.

Mozambique are currently 2nd with 11 points after 6 matches.
Mali sit 1st with 14 points from 6 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Mali to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Mali, who have won 1 of the last 2 meetings. Mozambique have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

09:00

2024-11-15

Mozambique vs Mali - Prediction & Odds

Mozambique

Mali

2024-11-15 09:00

STANDINGS UP TO 15/11/2024

Group I	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Mali	14	6	4	2	0	10	1	9
02 Mozambique	11	6	3	2	1	9	5	4
03 Guinea Bissau	5	6	1	2	3	4	6	-2
04 Eswatini	2	6	0	2	4	2	13	-11

Group A	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Morocco	7	3	2	1	0	6	1	5
02 Mali	3	3	0	3	0	2	2	0
03 Comoros	2	3	0	2	1	0	2	-2
04 Zambia	2	3	0	2	1	1	4	-3

Group F	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Ivory Coast	7	3	2	1	0	5	3	2
02 Cameroon	7	3	2	1	0	4	2	2
03 Mozambique	3	3	1	0	2	4	5	-1
04 Gabon	0	3	0	0	3	4	7	-3

Head To Head

06/09/2024 12:00

Mali

1 - 1

Mozambique

CAF NC

19/01/2014 10:00

Mozambique

1 - 2

Mali

CAF SC

Mozambique

Draw

50%

Mali

50%

Mozambique Last 6 matches

14/10/2024 12:00

Eswatini 0 - 3 Mozambique CAF NC

11/10/2024 06:00

Mozambique 1 - 1 Eswatini CAF NC

10/09/2024 06:00

Mozambique 2 - 1 Guinea Bissau CAF NC

06/09/2024 12:00

Mali 1 - 1 Mozambique CAF NC

07/07/2024 03:00

Comoros 2 - 2 Mozambique COSAFA Cup

05/07/2024 08:59

Mozambique 0 - 0 Namibia COSAFA Cup

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Last 6 matches Mali

15/10/2024 09:00

Guinea Bissau 0 - 0 Mali CAF NC

11/10/2024 12:00

Mali 1 - 0 Guinea Bissau CAF NC

10/09/2024 06:00

Eswatini 0 - 1 Mali CAF NC

06/09/2024 12:00

Mali 1 - 1 Mozambique CAF NC

11/06/2024 06:00

Madagascar 0 - 0 Mali WCPAF

06/06/2024 12:00

Mali 1 - 2 Ghana WCPAF

Win

33%

Draw

50%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues African Nations Cup

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Mozambique

Mali

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.56

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.81

Scored

Avg. per game

0.66

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.37

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 90 matches

YesNo

41 (46%)49 (54%)

In last 90 matches

NoYes

36 (46%)43 (54%)

Mozambique

Recent matches

Mali

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Mozambique

Mali

Shots

Mozambique

Total shots

7.67 avg / game

Blocked

14 total

Avg. 1.27

Mali

Total shots

10.73 avg / game

Blocked

64 total

Avg. 3.05

Mozambique Pass Mali

Total passes

7193

Avg. 343 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

49%

Total passes

11716

Avg. 418 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Mozambique

Played games

Mali

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.28

Clean sheets

0.54

3.26

293

Corners

285

3.61

4.14

373

Throw-ins

440

5.57

0.47

Offsides

1.04

1.28

115

GK saves

1.06

Mozambique

DISCIPLINARY

Mali

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.31

118

112

1.42

0.02

0.13

3.71

334

Fouls

566

7.16

2.36

212

Tackles

373

4.72

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Mozambique vs Mali Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mozambique vs Mali on 15 November 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this African Nations Cup fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mozambique vs Mali Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mozambique's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Mali's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

African Nations Cup Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live African Nations Cup standings and the African Nations Cup form table to understand exactly where Mozambique and Mali sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our African Nations Cup predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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