Moreirense vs Penafiel: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 10 March

Moreirense

D W W W W

1st place in Portugal Segunda Liga

3 - 1

10/03/2023 14:00

Penafiel

L L D W L

13th place in Portugal Segunda Liga

Portugal Segunda Liga

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Moreirense vs Penafiel on 10 March 2023 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Moreirense vs Penafiel preview before placing your bet.

Moreirense are currently 1st with 79 points after 34 matches.
Penafiel sit 13th with 39 points from 34 matches.
Head-to-head history favors Moreirense, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Penafiel have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 10/03/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Moreirense	79	34	24	7	3	77	38	39
02 SC Farense	69	34	21	6	7	57	34	23
03 Estrela da Amadora	63	34	16	15	3	55	35	20
04 Viseu	53	34	14	11	9	51	45	6
05 Porto B	51	34	14	9	11	48	40	8
06 CD Mafra	47	34	12	11	11	46	49	-3
07 Vilafranquense	46	34	12	10	12	42	36	6
08 Feirense	46	34	11	13	10	43	37	6
09 SCU Torreense	44	34	13	5	16	38	41	-3
10 Oliveirense	43	34	11	10	13	51	50	1
11 CD Tondela	40	34	8	16	10	35	35	0
12 Leixoes	39	34	10	9	15	38	49	-11
13 Penafiel	39	34	9	12	13	36	47	-11
14 Nacional da Madeira	39	34	10	9	15	35	46	-11
15 SL Benfica B	38	34	10	8	16	52	58	-6
16 Belenenses	35	34	9	8	17	41	59	-18
17 Clube Desportivo Trofense	32	34	8	8	18	31	51	-20
18 SC Covilha	28	34	7	7	20	31	57	-26

Head To Head

17/11/2022 16:30

Penafiel

1 - 2

Moreirense

PORLC

17/09/2022 09:00

Penafiel

1 - 1

Moreirense

POR D2

25/07/2021 06:00

Penafiel

1 - 1

Moreirense

PORLC

14/07/2018 13:00

Penafiel

2 - 1

Moreirense

INT CF

15/07/2017 13:00

Penafiel

0 - 1

Moreirense

INT CF

23/07/2016 13:00

Penafiel

0 - 1

Moreirense

INT CF

Moreirense

50%

Draw

33%

Penafiel

17%

Moreirense Last 6 matches

25/02/2023 11:30

Oliveirense 2 - 2 Moreirense POR D2

19/02/2023 10:00

Moreirense 4 - 1 Belenenses POR D2

10/02/2023 14:00

SCU Torreense 1 - 0 Moreirense POR D2

04/02/2023 10:00

Moreirense 1 - 0 Viseu POR D2

29/01/2023 10:00

Vilafranquense 1 - 2 Moreirense POR D2

22/01/2023 07:00

SC Covilha 0 - 0 Moreirense POR D2

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Penafiel

24/02/2023 14:00

Clube Desportivo Trofense 1 - 2 Penafiel POR D2

18/02/2023 07:00

Penafiel 1 - 1 SC Covilha POR D2

13/02/2023 14:00

Belenenses 2 - 2 Penafiel POR D2

05/02/2023 07:00

Penafiel 1 - 0 CD Mafra POR D2

29/01/2023 14:00

Leixoes 2 - 1 Penafiel POR D2

22/01/2023 11:30

Estrela da Amadora 3 - 0 Penafiel POR D2

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Portugal Segunda Liga

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.70

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.55

Scored

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 126 home matches

YesNo

59 (47%)67 (53%)

In last 126 home matches

NoYes

49 (42%)67 (58%)

Moreirense

Recent matches

Penafiel

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Moreirense

Penafiel

Shots

Moreirense

Total shots

10.55 avg / game

Blocked

200 total

Avg. 2.86

Penafiel

Total shots

10.95 avg / game

Blocked

24 total

Avg. 2.00

Moreirense Pass Penafiel

Total passes

31977

Avg. 390 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

50%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Moreirense

126

Played games

Penafiel

116

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.30

Clean sheets

0.33

3.90

492

Corners

570

4.91

13.44

1693

Throw-ins

339

2.92

0.99

125

Offsides

0.60

2.04

257

GK saves

172

1.48

Moreirense

DISCIPLINARY

Penafiel

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.17

273

290

2.50

0.07

0.10

12.20

1537

Fouls

1221

10.53

9.37

1181

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Moreirense vs Penafiel Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Moreirense vs Penafiel on 10 March 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Segunda Liga fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Moreirense vs Penafiel Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Moreirense's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Penafiel's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Segunda Liga Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Segunda Liga standings and the Portugal Segunda Liga form table to understand exactly where Moreirense and Penafiel sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Segunda Liga predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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