Monza vs Padova: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 27 September

Monza
DWWWL
3rd place in Italian Serie B
1
0-1
FT
27/09/2025 11:15
Padova
LWWLW
9th place in Italian Serie B
Italian Serie B
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Monza vs Padova on 27 September 2025 (kick-off: 11:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Monza vs Padova preview before placing your bet.

  • Monza are currently 3rd with 76 points after 38 matches.
  • Padova sit 9th with 46 points from 38 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Monza to win with probability 53%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Padova, who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Monza have 2 wins, while 0 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
11:15

2025-09-27

Monza vs Padova - Prediction & Odds

Monza
Monza
Padova
Padova
2025-09-27 11:15
53
27
20
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
1.70
FT
0-1 0-0
-
weather
15℃～16℃
STANDINGS UP TO 27/09/2025
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Venezia Venezia
82 38 24 10 4 77 31 46
02 Frosinone Frosinone
81 38 23 12 3 76 34 42
03 Monza Monza
76 38 22 10 6 61 32 29
04 Palermo Palermo
72 38 20 12 6 61 33 28
05 Catanzaro Catanzaro
59 38 15 14 9 62 51 11
06 Modena Modena
55 38 15 10 13 49 36 13
07 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia
51 38 11 18 9 44 45 -1
08 Avellino Avellino
49 38 13 10 15 43 55 -12
09 Padova Padova
46 38 12 10 16 39 49 -10
10 Cesena Cesena
46 38 12 10 16 45 56 -11
11 Mantova Mantova
46 38 13 7 18 45 57 -12
12 Carrarese Carrarese
44 38 10 14 14 47 52 -5
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria
44 38 11 11 16 35 48 -13
14 ACD Virtus Entella ACD Virtus Entella
42 38 10 12 16 36 51 -15
15 Empoli Empoli
41 38 9 14 15 47 54 -7
16 SudTirol SudTirol
41 38 8 17 13 38 48 -10
17 Bari Bari
40 38 10 10 18 38 60 -22
18 A.C. Reggiana 1919 A.C. Reggiana 1919
37 38 9 10 19 36 56 -20
19 Pescara Pescara
35 38 7 14 17 51 66 -15
20 Spezia Spezia
35 38 8 11 19 43 59 -16
Head To Head
05/08/2018 14:30
Padova Padova
1 - 0
Monza Monza
ITA Cup
19/04/2009 09:00
Padova Padova
3 - 1
Monza Monza
ITA C1
23/11/2008 09:30
Monza Monza
1 - 0
Padova Padova
ITA C1
16/12/2007 09:30
Monza Monza
1 - 2
Padova Padova
ITA C1
26/08/2007 09:00
Padova Padova
2 - 0
Monza Monza
ITA C1
04/03/2007 09:30
Monza Monza
1 - 0
Padova Padova
ITA C1
Monza
2
33%
Draw
0
0%
Padova
4
67%
Monza Monza Last 6 matches
20/09/2025 11:15
Monza 1 - 0 Sampdoria ITA D2
12/09/2025 14:30
Avellino 2 - 1 Monza ITA D2
31/08/2025 15:00
Bari 1 - 1 Monza ITA D2
23/08/2025 15:00
Monza 1 - 0 Mantova ITA D2
17/08/2025 12:00
Monza 0 - 1 Frosinone ITA Cup
12/08/2025 15:00
Monza 2 - 2 Inter Milan INT CF
Win
33%
Draw
33%
Lost
33%
Last 6 matches Padova Padova
13/09/2025 09:00
Padova 0 - 1 Frosinone ITA D2
31/08/2025 13:00
Carrarese 0 - 0 Padova ITA D2
23/08/2025 13:00
Empoli 3 - 1 Padova ITA D2
10/08/2025 13:30
Padova 0 - 2 Vicenza ITA Cup
17/05/2025 14:30
Padova 0 - 1 ACD Virtus Entella ITA C1
03/05/2025 13:00
Avellino 0 - 1 Padova ITA C1
Win
17%
Draw
17%
Lost
67%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italian Serie B

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Monza
Monza
283
 Padova
Padova
289
Goals
Scored
168
Avg. per game
0.59
Conceded
147
Avg. per game
0.52
Scored
182
Avg. per game
0.63
Conceded
123
Avg. per game
0.43
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 283 matches
YesNo
127 (45%)156 (55%)
In last 283 matches
NoYes
139 (48%)150 (52%)
Monza

Monza

Recent matches

Padova

Padova

Under /Over

(76%)34 11(24%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

/Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Monza Monza
Padova Padova
Shots
Monza
Monza
Total shots
11.78 avg / game
Blocked
615 total
Avg. 3.14
Padova
Padova
Total shots
10.66 avg / game
Blocked
121 total
Avg. 3.27
Monza Monza Pass Padova Padova
Total passes
94482
Avg. 456 / game
Accurate
83%
Ball possession
54%
Total passes
14932
Avg. 393 / game
Accurate
78%
Ball possession
52%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Monza
Monza
26349
Avg. 93.11 / game
 Padova
Padova
26795
Avg. 92.72 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Monza
Monza
12099
Avg. 42.75 / game
 Padova
Padova
16497
Avg. 57.08 / game
OTHERS
Monza
Monza
283
Played games
Padova
Padova
289
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.32
91
Clean sheets
117
0.40
4.64
1313
Corners
1364
4.72
9.53
2697
Throw-ins
713
2.47
1.31
370
Offsides
77
0.27
2.64
748
GK saves
142
0.49
Monza
Monza
DISCIPLINARY
Padova
Padova
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.03
574
Yellow card
608
2.10
0.12
34
Red card
29
0.10
12.11
3427
Fouls
628
2.17
9.76
2761
Tackles
390
1.35
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How We Build the Monza vs Padova Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Monza vs Padova on 27 September 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie B fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Monza vs Padova Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Monza's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Padova's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie B Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie B standings and the Italian Serie B form table to understand exactly where Monza and Padova sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie B predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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