Montpellier vs Lyon Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – February 16

Montpellier

L L D L L

18th place in France Ligue 1

1-4

16/02/2025 10:00

Lyon

W L W L L

6th place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Montpellier vs Lyon on February 16, 2025 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Montpellier vs Lyon preview before placing for you.

Montpellier are currently 18th with 16 points after 34 matches.
Lyon sit 6th with 57 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Lyon to win with probability 54%.
Head-to-head history favors Lyon, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Montpellier have one win, while 0 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

10:00

2025-02-16

Montpellier vs Lyon - Prediction & Odds

Montpellier

Lyon

2025-02-16 10:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/02/2025

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	84	34	26	6	2	92	35	57
02 Marseille	65	34	20	5	9	74	47	27
03 Monaco	61	34	18	7	9	63	41	22
04 Nice	60	34	17	9	8	66	41	25
05 Lille	60	34	17	9	8	52	36	16
06 Lyon	57	34	17	6	11	65	46	19
07 Strasbourg	57	34	16	9	9	56	44	12
08 Lens	52	34	15	7	12	42	39	3
09 Stade Brestois	50	34	15	5	14	52	59	-7
10 Toulouse	42	34	11	9	14	44	43	1
11 AJ Auxerre	42	34	11	9	14	48	51	-3
12 Rennes	41	34	13	2	19	51	50	1
13 Nantes	36	34	8	12	14	39	52	-13
14 Angers	36	34	10	6	18	32	53	-21
15 Le Havre	34	34	10	4	20	40	71	-31
16 Reims	33	34	8	9	17	33	47	-14
17 Saint Etienne	30	34	8	6	20	39	77	-38
18 Montpellier	16	34	4	4	26	23	79	-56

Head To Head

04/01/2025 16:00

Lyon

1 - 0

Montpellier

FRA D1

11/02/2024 12:05

Montpellier

1 - 2

Lyon

FRA D1

19/08/2023 13:00

Lyon

1 - 4

Montpellier

FRA D1

07/05/2023 11:05

Lyon

5 - 4

Montpellier

FRA D1

22/10/2022 11:00

Montpellier

1 - 2

Lyon

FRA D1

23/04/2022 11:00

Lyon

5 - 2

Montpellier

FRA D1

Montpellier

17%

Draw

Lyon

83%

Montpellier Last 6 matches

31/01/2025 15:45

Montpellier 0 - 2 Lens FRA D1

26/01/2025 12:15

Toulouse 1 - 2 Montpellier FRA D1

17/01/2025 14:00

Montpellier 2 - 1 Monaco FRA D1

12/01/2025 12:15

Montpellier 1 - 3 Angers FRA D1

04/01/2025 16:00

Lyon 1 - 0 Montpellier FRA D1

21/12/2024 13:00

Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne 4 - 0 Montpellier FRAC

Win

33%

Draw

Lost

67%

Last 6 matches Lyon

09/02/2025 10:00

Lyon 4 - 0 Reims FRA D1

02/02/2025 15:45

Marseille 3 - 2 Lyon FRA D1

30/01/2025 16:00

Lyon 1 - 1 Ludogorets Razgrad UEFA EL

26/01/2025 12:15

Nantes 1 - 1 Lyon FRA D1

23/01/2025 13:45

Fenerbahce 0 - 0 Lyon UEFA EL

18/01/2025 16:05

Lyon 0 - 0 Toulouse FRA D1

Win

17%

Draw

67%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Played games

Goals

Scored

204

Avg. per game

1.55

Conceded

215

Avg. per game

1.63

Scored

315

Avg. per game

2.06

Conceded

183

Avg. per game

1.20

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 132 home matches

YesNo

102 (77%)30 (23%)

In last 132 home matches

NoYes

133 (87%)20 (13%)

Montpellier

Recent matches

Lyon

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

/Yes

(60%)27 18(40%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Montpellier

Lyon

Shots

Montpellier

Total shots

13.32 avg / game

Blocked

359 total

Avg. 3.59

Lyon

Total shots

14.79 avg / game

Blocked

434 total

Avg. 3.84

Montpellier Pass Lyon

Total passes

41354

Avg. 398 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

67718

Avg. 537 / game

Accurate

86%

Ball possession

56%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Montpellier

132

Played games

Lyon

153

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.23

Clean sheets

0.32

4.70

620

Corners

820

5.36

15.95

2105

Throw-ins

2338

15.28

1.45

192

Offsides

255

1.67

3.06

404

GK saves

396

2.59

Montpellier

DISCIPLINARY

Lyon

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.58

208

204

1.33

0.18

0.08

10.67

1409

Fouls

1576

10.30

12.09

1596

Tackles

1903

12.44

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Montpellier vs Lyon Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Montpellier vs Lyon on 16 February 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Montpellier vs Lyon Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Montpellier's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lyon's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Montpellier and Lyon sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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