Montpellier vs Lille: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 January

Montpellier

D W D W L

12th place in France Ligue 1

0-0

28/01/2024 08:00

Lille

W L W L W

4th place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Montpellier vs Lille on 28 January 2024 (kick-off: 08:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Montpellier vs Lille preview before placing your bet.

Montpellier are currently 12th with 41 points after 34 matches.
Lille sit 4th with 59 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Lille to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Lille, who have won 5 of the last 6 meetings. Montpellier have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

08:00

2024-01-28

Montpellier vs Lille - Prediction & Odds

Montpellier

Lille

2024-01-28 08:00

STANDINGS UP TO 28/01/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	76	34	22	10	2	81	33	48
02 Monaco	67	34	20	7	7	68	42	26
03 Stade Brestois	61	34	17	10	7	53	34	19
04 Lille	59	34	16	11	7	52	34	18
05 Nice	55	34	15	10	9	40	29	11
06 Lyon	53	34	16	5	13	49	55	-6
07 Lens	51	34	14	9	11	45	37	8
08 Marseille	50	34	13	11	10	52	41	11
09 Reims	47	34	13	8	13	42	47	-5
10 Rennes	46	34	12	10	12	53	46	7
11 Toulouse	43	34	11	10	13	42	46	-4
12 Montpellier	41	34	10	12	12	43	48	-5
13 Strasbourg	39	34	10	9	15	38	50	-12
14 Nantes	33	34	9	6	19	30	55	-25
15 Le Havre	32	34	7	11	16	34	45	-11
16 Metz	29	34	8	5	21	35	58	-23
17 Lorient	29	34	7	8	19	43	66	-23
18 Clermont	25	34	5	10	19	26	60	-34

Head To Head

03/09/2023 09:00

Lille

1 - 0

Montpellier

FRA D1

16/04/2023 07:00

Lille

2 - 1

Montpellier

FRA D1

04/09/2022 07:00

Montpellier

1 - 3

Lille

FRA D1

12/02/2022 11:59

Montpellier

0 - 1

Lille

FRA D1

29/08/2021 11:05

Lille

2 - 1

Montpellier

FRA D1

16/04/2021 15:00

Lille

1 - 1

Montpellier

FRA D1

Montpellier

Draw

17%

Lille

83%

Montpellier Last 6 matches

24/01/2024 13:00

Feignies 0 - 4 Montpellier FRAC

14/01/2024 10:00

Stade Brestois 2 - 0 Montpellier FRA D1

06/01/2024 13:00

Amiens 1 - 2 Montpellier FRAC

20/12/2023 16:00

Montpellier 1 - 1 Marseille FRA D1

17/12/2023 10:00

Metz 0 - 1 Montpellier FRA D1

08/12/2023 16:00

Montpellier 0 - 0 Lens FRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Lille

21/01/2024 12:30

Racing Club de France 0 - 1 Lille FRAC

14/01/2024 08:00

Lille 3 - 0 Lorient FRA D1

06/01/2024 10:30

Lille 12 - 0 Golden Lion FRAC

20/12/2023 16:00

Strasbourg 2 - 1 Lille FRA D1

17/12/2023 15:45

Lille 1 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1

14/12/2023 16:00

Lille 3 - 0 KI Klaksvik UEFA ECL

Win

67%

Draw

17%

Lost

17%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

155

Avg. per game

0.58

Conceded

196

Avg. per game

0.74

Scored

221

Avg. per game

0.74

Conceded

145

Avg. per game

0.48

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 266 matches

YesNo

111 (42%)155 (58%)

In last 266 matches

NoYes

159 (53%)141 (47%)

Montpellier

Recent matches

Lille

Under /Over

(67%)30 15(33%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(18%)8 37(82%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

/Yes

(42%)19 26(58%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Montpellier

Lille

Shots

Montpellier

Total shots

11.44 avg / game

Blocked

621 total

Avg. 3.11

Lille

Total shots

12.75 avg / game

Blocked

814 total

Avg. 3.46

Montpellier Pass Lille

Total passes

85815

Avg. 397 / game

Accurate

79%

Ball possession

47%

Total passes

132746

Avg. 513 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Montpellier

266

Played games

Lille

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.24

Clean sheets

108

0.36

4.43

1179

Corners

1460

4.87

16.11

4285

Throw-ins

4718

15.73

1.48

394

Offsides

455

1.52

3.15

839

GK saves

693

2.31

Montpellier

DISCIPLINARY

Lille

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.73

460

602

2.01

0.16

0.08

10.97

2918

Fouls

3164

10.55

12.95

3444

Tackles

3935

13.12

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

How We Build the Montpellier vs Lille Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Montpellier vs Lille on 28 January 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Montpellier vs Lille Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Montpellier's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lille's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Montpellier and Lille sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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