Montpellier vs Bastia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 July

Montpellier
WLWLL
No standing data
1 - 0
FT
26/07/2025 11:15
Bastia
WWWWD
No standing data
International Club Friendly
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Montpellier vs Bastia on 26 July 2025 (kick-off: 11:15) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Montpellier vs Bastia preview before placing your bet.

  • Head-to-head history favors Montpellier, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Bastia have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 26/07/2025
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Montpellier and Bastia in the International Club Friendly football standings for the 2025 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
01/08/2020 13:00
Bastia Bastia
2 - 2
Montpellier Montpellier
INT CF
04/02/2017 15:00
Montpellier Montpellier
2 - 1
Bastia Bastia
FRA D1
19/11/2016 15:00
Bastia Bastia
1 - 1
Montpellier Montpellier
FRA D1
16/01/2016 15:00
Bastia Bastia
1 - 0
Montpellier Montpellier
FRA D1
24/10/2015 14:00
Montpellier Montpellier
2 - 0
Bastia Bastia
FRA D1
04/04/2015 14:00
Montpellier Montpellier
3 - 1
Bastia Bastia
FRA D1
Montpellier
3
50%
Draw
2
33%
Bastia
1
17%
Montpellier Montpellier Last 6 matches
23/07/2025 12:00
Montpellier 3 - 0 Aubagne INT CF
18/07/2025 12:00
Montpellier 0 - 2 Rodez Aveyron INT CF
12/07/2025 12:00
Montpellier 1 - 0 Istres INT CF
17/05/2025 15:00
Nantes 3 - 0 Montpellier FRA D1
10/05/2025 15:00
Montpellier 1 - 4 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1
04/05/2025 11:15
Stade Brestois 1 - 0 Montpellier FRA D1
Win
33%
Draw
0%
Lost
67%
Last 6 matches Bastia Bastia
19/07/2025 11:15
Bastia 3 - 1 Aubagne INT CF
15/07/2025 12:00
Bastia 3 - 2 AS Furiani Agliani INT CF
12/07/2025 12:00
Bastia 1 - 0 Bastia Borgo INT CF
10/05/2025 11:00
Bastia 2 - 1 Caen FRA D2
02/05/2025 14:00
Guingamp 2 - 2 Bastia FRA D2
25/04/2025 14:00
Bastia 2 - 3 Grenoble FRA D2
Win
67%
Draw
17%
Lost
17%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues International Club Fri...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Montpellier
Montpellier
267
 Bastia
Bastia
265
Goals
Scored
158
Avg. per game
0.59
Conceded
196
Avg. per game
0.73
Scored
154
Avg. per game
0.58
Conceded
139
Avg. per game
0.52
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 267 matches
YesNo
112 (42%)155 (58%)
In last 267 matches
NoYes
110 (42%)155 (58%)
Montpellier

Montpellier

Recent matches

Bastia

Bastia

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(22%)10 35(78%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(36%)16 29(64%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Montpellier Montpellier
Bastia Bastia
Shots
Montpellier
Montpellier
Total shots
11.44 avg / game
Blocked
621 total
Avg. 3.11
Bastia
Bastia
Total shots
10.29 avg / game
Blocked
377 total
Avg. 2.60
Montpellier Montpellier Pass Bastia Bastia
Total passes
85815
Avg. 397 / game
Accurate
79%
Ball possession
47%
Total passes
71632
Avg. 387 / game
Accurate
78%
Ball possession
50%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Montpellier
Montpellier
22170
Avg. 83.03 / game
 Bastia
Bastia
21419
Avg. 80.83 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Montpellier
Montpellier
10010
Avg. 37.49 / game
 Bastia
Bastia
11960
Avg. 45.13 / game
OTHERS
Montpellier
Montpellier
267
Played games
Bastia
Bastia
265
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.24
64
Clean sheets
91
0.34
4.42
1179
Corners
1033
3.90
16.05
4285
Throw-ins
2079
7.85
1.48
394
Offsides
357
1.35
3.14
839
GK saves
441
1.66
Montpellier
Montpellier
DISCIPLINARY
Bastia
Bastia
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.72
460
Yellow card
486
1.83
0.16
42
Red card
35
0.13
10.93
2918
Fouls
2749
10.37
12.90
3444
Tackles
2699
10.18
NEXT MATCHES
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FRA
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VS
Montpellier Montpellier
FRA
08/21
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FRA
08/28
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VS
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FRA
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VS
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FRA
NEXT MATCHES
08/07
Bastia Bastia
VS
Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne Le Puy Foot 43 Auvergne
FRA
08/14
Aubagne Aubagne
VS
Bastia Bastia
FRA
08/20
Bastia Bastia
VS
Versailles 78 Versailles 78
FRA
08/29
Caen Caen
VS
Bastia Bastia
FRA
09/05
Bastia Bastia
VS
Amiens Amiens
FRA

How We Build the Montpellier vs Bastia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Montpellier vs Bastia on 26 July 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this International Club Friendly fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Montpellier vs Bastia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Montpellier's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bastia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

International Club Friendly Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live International Club Friendly standings and the International Club Friendly form table to understand exactly where Montpellier and Bastia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our International Club Friendly predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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