Montevarchi vs Poggibonsi: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 March

Montevarchi
WDWWD
No standing data
1
1-1
FT
28/03/2026 10:00
Poggibonsi
DLWWL
No standing data
Italy Serie D
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Montevarchi vs Poggibonsi on 28 March 2026 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Montevarchi vs Poggibonsi preview before placing your bet.

  • Our algorithm prediction: Montevarchi to win with probability 46%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Montevarchi, who have won 3 of the last 5 meetings. Poggibonsi have one win, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
10:00

2026-03-28

Montevarchi vs Poggibonsi - Prediction & Odds

Montevarchi
Montevarchi
Poggibonsi
Poggibonsi
2026-03-28 10:00
46
28
26
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.25
1.95
FT
1-1 0-0
-
weather
16°C
STANDINGS UP TO 28/03/2026
The standings compare the rankings (Rank-XH) of Montevarchi and Poggibonsi in the Italy Serie D football standings for the 2026 season, updated before kickoff and immediately after the match ends.
Head To Head
16/11/2025 09:30
Poggibonsi Poggibonsi
0 - 1
Montevarchi Montevarchi
ITA S4
02/02/2025 09:30
Poggibonsi Poggibonsi
2 - 2
Montevarchi Montevarchi
ITA S4
06/10/2024 09:00
Montevarchi Montevarchi
2 - 1
Poggibonsi Poggibonsi
ITA S4
25/02/2024 09:30
Poggibonsi Poggibonsi
1 - 0
Montevarchi Montevarchi
ITA S4
22/10/2023 09:00
Montevarchi Montevarchi
2 - 0
Poggibonsi Poggibonsi
ITA S4
Montevarchi
3
60%
Draw
1
20%
Poggibonsi
1
20%
Montevarchi Montevarchi Last 6 matches
15/03/2026 09:30
Montevarchi 1 - 0 Tau calcio ITA S4
01/03/2026 09:30
Scandicci 1 - 1 Montevarchi ITA S4
22/02/2026 09:30
Montevarchi 2 - 0 Camaiore Calcio ITA S4
15/02/2026 09:30
Orvietana 0 - 1 Montevarchi ITA S4
08/02/2026 09:30
Montevarchi 0 - 0 ASD Cannara ITA S4
01/02/2026 09:30
ASD Sporting Trestina 0 - 1 Montevarchi ITA S4
Win
67%
Draw
33%
Lost
0%
Last 6 matches Poggibonsi Poggibonsi
15/03/2026 09:40
ASD Seravezza Calcio 2 - 2 Poggibonsi ITA S4
01/03/2026 09:30
Poggibonsi 0 - 1 Grosseto ITA S4
22/02/2026 09:30
San Donato Tavarnelle 0 - 1 Poggibonsi ITA S4
15/02/2026 09:30
Poggibonsi 1 - 0 Foligno Calcio ITA S4
08/02/2026 09:30
Prato 2 - 1 Poggibonsi ITA S4
01/02/2026 09:30
Poggibonsi 1 - 0 Ghivizzano ITA S4
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italy Serie D

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Montevarchi
Montevarchi
192
 Poggibonsi
Poggibonsi
173
Goals
Scored
112
Avg. per game
0.58
Conceded
148
Avg. per game
0.77
Scored
135
Avg. per game
0.78
Conceded
131
Avg. per game
0.76
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
1 (17%)5 (83%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 192 matches
YesNo
88 (46%)104 (54%)
In last 192 matches
NoYes
94 (54%)79 (46%)
Montevarchi

Montevarchi

Recent matches

Poggibonsi

Poggibonsi

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(56%)25 20(44%)

Under /Over

(16%)7 38(84%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

/Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Montevarchi Montevarchi
Poggibonsi Poggibonsi
Shots
Montevarchi
Montevarchi
Total shots
10.20 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Poggibonsi
Poggibonsi
Total shots
9.54 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Montevarchi Montevarchi Pass Poggibonsi Poggibonsi
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
49%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
45%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Montevarchi
Montevarchi
11673
Avg. 60.80 / game
 Poggibonsi
Poggibonsi
5439
Avg. 31.44 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Montevarchi
Montevarchi
7048
Avg. 36.71 / game
 Poggibonsi
Poggibonsi
3325
Avg. 19.22 / game
OTHERS
Montevarchi
Montevarchi
192
Played games
Poggibonsi
Poggibonsi
173
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.28
54
Clean sheets
49
0.28
3.00
576
Corners
269
1.55
0.00
0
Throw-ins
0
0.00
0.17
33
Offsides
14
0.08
0.00
0
GK saves
0
0.00
Montevarchi
Montevarchi
DISCIPLINARY
Poggibonsi
Poggibonsi
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.50
288
Yellow card
157
0.91
0.09
17
Red card
10
0.06
0.91
174
Fouls
114
0.66
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Montevarchi vs Poggibonsi Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Montevarchi vs Poggibonsi on 28 March 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italy Serie D fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Montevarchi vs Poggibonsi Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Montevarchi's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Poggibonsi's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italy Serie D Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italy Serie D standings and the Italy Serie D form table to understand exactly where Montevarchi and Poggibonsi sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italy Serie D predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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