Monterrey vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 07 May

Monterrey

W L W L W

7th place in Autumn

3-2

07/05/2025 21:00

Toluca

W W W W W

1st place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Monterrey vs Toluca on 07 May 2025 (kick-off: 21:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Monterrey vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Monterrey are currently 7th with 28 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 1st with 37 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Monterrey to win with probability 38%.
Head-to-head history favors Toluca, who have won 2 of the last 6 meetings. Monterrey have one win, while 3 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

21:00

2025-05-07

Monterrey vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Monterrey

Toluca

2025-05-07 21:00

STANDINGS UP TO 07/05/2025

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Toluca	37	17	11	4	2	41	22	19
02 Club America	34	17	10	4	3	34	10	24
03 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	9	6	2	26	16	10
04 Tigres UANL	33	17	10	3	4	24	14	10
05 Necaxa	31	17	10	1	6	36	29	7
06 Club Leon	30	17	9	3	5	24	21	3
07 Monterrey	28	17	8	4	5	32	23	9
08 Pachuca	28	17	8	4	5	29	23	6
09 FC Juarez	24	17	6	6	5	16	21	-5
10 Pumas U.N.A.M.	21	17	6	3	8	23	26	-3
11 Chivas Guadalajara	21	17	5	6	6	18	21	-3
12 Queretaro FC	20	17	6	2	9	17	24	-7
13 Club Tijuana	19	17	6	1	10	29	35	-6
14 Atlas	18	17	4	6	7	25	32	-7
15 Atletico San Luis	18	17	6	0	11	20	33	-13
16 Mazatlan FC	17	17	4	5	8	16	26	-10
17 Puebla	9	17	2	3	12	12	25	-13
18 Santos Laguna	7	17	2	1	14	15	36	-21

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CDSyC Cruz Azul	42	17	13	3	1	39	12	27
02 Toluca	35	17	10	5	2	38	16	22
03 Tigres UANL	34	17	10	4	3	25	15	10
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	31	17	9	4	4	21	13	8
05 Monterrey	31	17	9	4	4	26	19	7
06 Atletico San Luis	30	17	9	3	5	27	19	8
07 Club Tijuana	29	17	8	5	4	24	25	-1
08 Club America	27	17	8	3	6	27	21	6
09 Chivas Guadalajara	25	17	7	4	6	24	15	9
10 Atlas	22	17	5	7	5	17	23	-6
11 Club Leon	18	17	3	9	5	21	23	-2
12 FC Juarez	17	17	5	2	10	22	36	-14
13 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	20	26	-6
14 Mazatlan FC	14	17	2	8	7	10	19	-9
15 Puebla	14	17	4	2	11	17	31	-14
16 Pachuca	13	17	3	4	10	20	29	-9
17 Queretaro FC	12	17	3	3	11	13	31	-18
18 Santos Laguna	10	17	2	4	11	12	30	-18

Head To Head

18/01/2025 21:00

Toluca

1 - 1

Monterrey

MEX D1

31/08/2024 21:00

Monterrey

1 - 2

Toluca

MEX D1

18/02/2024 22:10

Monterrey

0 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

30/08/2023 21:00

Toluca

1 - 0

Monterrey

MEX D1

05/02/2023 21:10

Monterrey

2 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

17/08/2022 20:00

Toluca

1 - 1

Monterrey

MEX D1

Monterrey

17%

Draw

50%

Toluca

33%

Monterrey Last 6 matches

04/05/2025 21:30

Monterrey 2 - 0 Pumas U.N.A.M. MEX D1

27/04/2025 21:30

Monterrey 1 - 2 Pachuca MEX D1

20/04/2025 21:05

Club Leon 0 - 2 Monterrey MEX D1

16/04/2025 21:00

Monterrey 1 - 0 Club America MEX D1

12/04/2025 21:00

Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Monterrey MEX D1

05/04/2025 21:05

Monterrey 3 - 1 Chivas Guadalajara MEX D1

Win

67%

Draw

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Toluca

19/04/2025 21:05

Toluca 2 - 2 CDSyC Cruz Azul MEX D1

16/04/2025 22:00

Atletico San Luis 0 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

12/04/2025 21:05

Atlas 2 - 3 Toluca MEX D1

06/04/2025 20:00

Toluca 2 - 1 Santos Laguna MEX D1

29/03/2025 19:00

Toluca 3 - 2 Pachuca MEX D1

14/03/2025 23:00

Puebla 0 - 3 Toluca MEX D1

Win

83%

Draw

17%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

241

Avg. per game

0.81

Conceded

130

Avg. per game

0.43

Scored

232

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

182

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 299 matches

YesNo

164 (55%)135 (45%)

In last 299 matches

NoYes

158 (57%)119 (43%)

Monterrey

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Monterrey

Toluca

Shots

Monterrey

Total shots

12.92 avg / game

Blocked

508 total

Avg. 3.10

Toluca

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

464 total

Avg. 3.11

Monterrey Pass Toluca

Total passes

96480

Avg. 421 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

94022

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Monterrey

299

Played games

Toluca

277

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.25

4.43

1326

Corners

1167

4.21

6.92

2068

Throw-ins

2086

7.53

1.31

391

Offsides

363

1.31

2.41

721

GK saves

677

2.44

Monterrey

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.73

518

512

1.85

0.12

0.10

10.24

3063

Fouls

2745

9.91

10.10

3020

Tackles

2769

10.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Monterrey vs Toluca on 07 May 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Monterrey vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Monterrey's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Monterrey and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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