Monterrey vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 05 February

Monterrey

W D W W W

2nd place in Primera Division de Mexico

2 - 1

05/02/2023 21:10

Toluca

L D L D D

6th place in Primera Division de Mexico

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Monterrey vs Toluca on 05 February 2023 (kick-off: 21:10) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Monterrey vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Monterrey are currently 2nd with 35 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 6th with 27 points from 17 matches.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

STANDINGS UP TO 05/02/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	38	17	12	2	3	38	17	21
02 Monterrey	35	17	10	5	2	29	13	16
03 Santos Laguna	33	17	10	3	4	38	21	17
04 Pachuca	32	17	9	5	3	28	15	13
05 Tigres UANL	30	17	9	3	5	24	14	10
06 Toluca	27	17	7	6	4	27	23	4
07 CDSyC Cruz Azul	24	17	7	3	7	26	34	-8
08 Puebla	22	17	4	10	3	25	23	2
09 Chivas Guadalajara	22	17	5	7	5	19	17	2
10 Club Leon	22	17	6	4	7	25	29	-4
11 FC Juarez	19	17	4	7	6	17	18	-1
12 Necaxa	19	17	5	4	8	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	18	17	4	6	7	15	23	-8
14 Mazatlan FC	17	17	3	8	6	17	24	-7
15 Club Tijuana	17	17	4	5	8	18	30	-12
16 Pumas U.N.A.M.	14	17	2	8	7	21	31	-10
17 Atlas	13	17	3	4	10	16	27	-11
18 Queretaro FC	9	17	1	6	10	18	35	-17

Monterrey Last 6 matches

02/08/2026 08:00

Atlas 0 - 2 Monterrey Primera Division Liga MX

27/07/2026 06:00

Necaxa 2 - 1 Monterrey Primera Division Liga MX

19/07/2026 08:00

Monterrey 3 - 2 Santos Laguna Primera Division Liga MX

05/07/2026 03:00

CF Atlante 1 - 1 Monterrey International Club Friendly

22/06/2026 06:05

Cancun 1 - 4 Monterrey International Club Friendly

27/04/2026 06:00

Santos Laguna 3 - 0 Monterrey Primera Division Liga MX

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Toluca

26/07/2026 07:30

Toluca 1 - 3 CDSyC Cruz Azul Mexico Champion of Champions

22/07/2026 10:00

Toluca 1 - 2 Pumas U.N.A.M. Primera Division Liga MX

19/07/2026 08:10

Chivas Guadalajara 0 - 2 Toluca Primera Division Liga MX

11/07/2026 03:00

CF Atlante 3 - 3 Toluca International Club Friendly

04/07/2026 08:20

Cancun 1 - 0 Toluca International Club Friendly

31/05/2026 07:05

Toluca 0 - 0 Tigres UANL CONCACAF Champions League

Win

17%

Draw

33%

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

241

Avg. per game

0.81

Conceded

130

Avg. per game

0.43

Scored

232

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

182

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 299 matches

YesNo

164 (55%)135 (45%)

In last 299 matches

NoYes

158 (57%)119 (43%)

Monterrey

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Monterrey

Toluca

Shots

Monterrey

Total shots

12.92 avg / game

Blocked

508 total

Avg. 3.10

Toluca

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

464 total

Avg. 3.11

Monterrey Pass Toluca

Total passes

96480

Avg. 421 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

94022

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Monterrey

299

Played games

Toluca

277

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.25

4.43

1326

Corners

1167

4.21

6.92

2068

Throw-ins

2086

7.53

1.31

391

Offsides

363

1.31

2.41

721

GK saves

677

2.44

Monterrey

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.73

518

512

1.85

0.12

0.10

10.24

3063

Fouls

2745

9.91

10.10

3020

Tackles

2769

10.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Monterrey vs Toluca on 05 February 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Monterrey vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Monterrey's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Monterrey and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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