Monterrey vs Toluca: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 18 February

Monterrey

W L L D L

4th place in Autumn

0-0

18/02/2024 22:10

Toluca

W W W L W

3rd place in Autumn

Primera Division de Mexico

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Monterrey vs Toluca on 18 February 2024 (kick-off: 22:10) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Monterrey vs Toluca preview before placing your bet.

Monterrey are currently 4th with 32 points after 17 matches.
Toluca sit 3rd with 32 points from 17 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Monterrey to win with probability 53%.
Head-to-head history favors Monterrey, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Toluca have one win, while 2 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

22:10

2024-02-18

Monterrey vs Toluca - Prediction & Odds

Monterrey

Toluca

2024-02-18 22:10

STANDINGS UP TO 18/02/2024

Autumn	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	35	17	10	5	2	30	12	18
02 CDSyC Cruz Azul	33	17	10	3	4	23	14	9
03 Toluca	32	17	9	5	3	38	23	15
04 Monterrey	32	17	9	5	3	32	19	13
05 Tigres UANL	31	17	9	4	4	34	23	11
06 Chivas Guadalajara	31	17	9	4	4	24	17	7
07 Pachuca	29	17	9	2	6	34	27	7
08 Pumas U.N.A.M.	27	17	7	6	4	27	22	5
09 Necaxa	27	17	7	6	4	30	29	1
10 Queretaro FC	24	17	6	6	5	22	21	1
11 Club Leon	24	17	7	3	7	23	25	-2
12 FC Juarez	16	17	4	4	9	19	26	-7
13 Atletico San Luis	16	17	5	1	11	25	35	-10
14 Mazatlan FC	16	17	4	4	9	21	32	-11
15 Santos Laguna	15	17	4	3	10	15	28	-13
16 Club Tijuana	14	17	2	8	7	21	30	-9
17 Atlas	14	17	3	5	9	21	31	-10
18 Puebla	5	17	1	2	14	18	43	-25

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Club America	40	17	12	4	1	37	14	23
02 Monterrey	33	17	10	3	4	27	15	12
03 Tigres UANL	30	17	8	6	3	32	18	14
04 Pumas U.N.A.M.	28	17	8	4	5	27	18	9
05 Chivas Guadalajara	27	17	8	3	6	22	22	0
06 Puebla	25	17	7	4	6	24	25	-1
07 Atletico San Luis	23	17	7	2	8	31	26	5
08 Club Leon	23	17	6	5	6	23	22	1
09 Santos Laguna	23	17	7	2	8	31	34	-3
10 Mazatlan FC	22	17	6	4	7	25	27	-2
11 Pachuca	22	17	5	7	5	16	27	-11
12 Toluca	21	17	5	6	6	23	19	4
13 Club Tijuana	20	17	6	2	9	23	26	-3
14 Queretaro FC	19	17	5	4	8	18	29	-11
15 FC Juarez	18	17	5	3	9	24	34	-10
16 CDSyC Cruz Azul	17	17	5	2	10	21	29	-8
17 Atlas	17	17	4	5	8	14	24	-10
18 Necaxa	15	17	3	6	8	18	27	-9

Head To Head

30/08/2023 21:00

Toluca

1 - 0

Monterrey

MEX D1

05/02/2023 21:10

Monterrey

2 - 1

Toluca

MEX D1

17/08/2022 20:00

Toluca

1 - 1

Monterrey

MEX D1

06/04/2022 20:00

Toluca

2 - 2

Monterrey

MEX D1

22/09/2021 20:05

Monterrey

2 - 0

Toluca

MEX D1

11/04/2021 13:00

Toluca

1 - 2

Monterrey

MEX D1

Monterrey

50%

Draw

33%

Toluca

17%

Monterrey Last 6 matches

15/02/2024 23:15

Monterrey 3 - 0 C.S.D. Comunicaciones CNCF CHL

10/02/2024 23:10

Monterrey 3 - 2 Pachuca MEX D1

06/02/2024 21:00

C.S.D. Comunicaciones 1 - 4 Monterrey CNCF CHL

03/02/2024 23:10

Club America 1 - 1 Monterrey MEX D1

27/01/2024 21:00

Monterrey 3 - 1 Atletico San Luis MEX D1

24/01/2024 21:00

Monterrey 1 - 1 Queretaro FC MEX D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Last 6 matches Toluca

15/02/2024 21:00

Toluca 2 - 3 Herediano CNCF CHL

10/02/2024 19:00

Necaxa 3 - 3 Toluca MEX D1

07/02/2024 19:00

Herediano 1 - 2 Toluca CNCF CHL

03/02/2024 19:00

Toluca 4 - 1 Club Leon MEX D1

30/01/2024 23:10

Chivas Guadalajara 3 - 2 Toluca MEX D1

26/01/2024 21:00

Puebla 1 - 1 Toluca MEX D1

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Primera Division de Me...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

241

Avg. per game

0.81

Conceded

130

Avg. per game

0.43

Scored

232

Avg. per game

0.84

Conceded

182

Avg. per game

0.66

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 299 matches

YesNo

164 (55%)135 (45%)

In last 299 matches

NoYes

158 (57%)119 (43%)

Monterrey

Recent matches

Toluca

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(58%)26 19(42%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(51%)23 22(49%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Monterrey

Toluca

Shots

Monterrey

Total shots

12.92 avg / game

Blocked

508 total

Avg. 3.10

Toluca

Total shots

12.59 avg / game

Blocked

464 total

Avg. 3.11

Monterrey Pass Toluca

Total passes

96480

Avg. 421 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

94022

Avg. 431 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

54%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Monterrey

299

Played games

Toluca

277

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.31

Clean sheets

0.25

4.43

1326

Corners

1167

4.21

6.92

2068

Throw-ins

2086

7.53

1.31

391

Offsides

363

1.31

2.41

721

GK saves

677

2.44

Monterrey

DISCIPLINARY

Toluca

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.73

518

512

1.85

0.12

0.10

10.24

3063

Fouls

2745

9.91

10.10

3020

Tackles

2769

10.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Monterrey vs Toluca on 18 February 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Primera Division de Mexico fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Monterrey vs Toluca Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Monterrey's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Toluca's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Primera Division de Mexico Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Primera Division de Mexico standings and the Primera Division de Mexico form table to understand exactly where Monterrey and Toluca sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Primera Division de Mexico predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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