Montalegre vs Varzim: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 04 February

Montalegre
LDLDL
11th place in Group A
1 - 2
FT
04/02/2023 11:00
Varzim
LLDDL
5th place in Group A
Portugal Liga 3
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Montalegre vs Varzim on 04 February 2023 (kick-off: 11:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Montalegre vs Varzim preview before placing your bet.

  • Montalegre are currently 11th with 21 points after 23 matches.
  • Varzim sit 5th with 33 points from 23 matches.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
STANDINGS UP TO 04/02/2023
Group B PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Uniao Leiria Uniao Leiria
50 23 16 2 5 48 23 25
02 Amora FC Amora FC
48 23 15 3 5 42 23 19
03 Alverca Alverca
40 23 11 7 5 31 21 10
04 CF Os Belenenses CF Os Belenenses
35 22 10 5 7 38 27 11
05 Sporting CP B Sporting CP B
35 23 11 2 10 29 27 2
06 FC Caldas FC Caldas
32 23 8 8 7 31 30 1
07 Oliveira Hospital Oliveira Hospital
29 23 7 8 8 30 36 -6
08 Academica Coimbra Academica Coimbra
25 22 7 5 10 22 32 -10
09 Vitoria Setubal Vitoria Setubal
24 23 6 6 11 32 43 -11
10 GD Fontinhas GD Fontinhas
22 22 5 7 10 24 36 -12
11 Real Sport Clube Real Sport Clube
20 23 6 2 15 27 31 -4
12 Mokala Pancheners Mokala Pancheners
18 23 5 3 15 26 52 -26
13 FC Felgueiras FC Felgueiras
3 1 1 0 0 2 0 2
14 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense
3 1 1 0 0 1 0 1
15 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II
0 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2
Group A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 FC Felgueiras FC Felgueiras
44 22 13 5 4 32 22 10
02 Vilaverdense Vilaverdense
40 23 10 10 3 34 20 14
03 Sanjoanense Sanjoanense
36 22 9 9 4 28 19 9
04 Sporting Braga II Sporting Braga II
35 22 9 8 5 29 18 11
05 Varzim Varzim
33 23 9 6 8 24 21 3
06 CF Canelas 2010 CF Canelas 2010
33 23 9 6 8 29 28 1
07 S. Joao Ver S. Joao Ver
32 23 7 11 5 24 20 4
08 Paredes Paredes
28 23 7 7 9 17 21 -4
09 Fafe Fafe
28 23 8 4 11 19 31 -12
10 Anadia Anadia
24 23 6 6 11 28 36 -8
11 Montalegre Montalegre
21 23 5 6 12 26 34 -8
12 Vitoria Guimaraes B Vitoria Guimaraes B
13 23 3 4 16 21 43 -22
13 CF Os Belenenses CF Os Belenenses
3 1 1 0 0 2 0 2
14 Academica Coimbra Academica Coimbra
3 1 1 0 0 1 0 1
15 GD Fontinhas GD Fontinhas
0 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1
Montalegre Montalegre Last 6 matches
25/07/2026 16:30
Montalegre 1 - 2 Chaves B International Club Friendly
15/07/2026 16:30
Chaves B 2 - 2 Montalegre International Club Friendly
15/08/2025 23:00
Montalegre 2 - 0 Ourense CF International Club Friendly
07/04/2024 21:00
Os Sandinenses 4 - 0 Montalegre Portugal Campeonato Nacional
29/03/2024 22:00
Montalegre 0 - 1 Limianos Portugal Campeonato Nacional
24/03/2024 22:59
Montalegre 0 - 0 Vila Real Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Win
17%
Draw
33%
Lost
50%
Last 6 matches Varzim Varzim
15/07/2026 16:00
CD Tondela 1 - 0 Varzim International Club Friendly
16/05/2026 22:30
UD Santarem 2 - 2 Varzim Portugal Liga 3
11/05/2026 01:30
Varzim 1 - 2 CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3
04/05/2026 01:00
Academica Coimbra 1 - 0 Varzim Portugal Liga 3
25/04/2026 22:30
Varzim 2 - 2 Vitoria Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3
19/04/2026 01:00
Clube Desportivo Trofense 0 - 1 Varzim Portugal Liga 3
Win
17%
Draw
33%
Lost
50%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Portugal Liga 3

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Montalegre
Montalegre
116
 Varzim
Varzim
226
Goals
Scored
94
Avg. per game
0.81
Conceded
86
Avg. per game
0.74
Scored
130
Avg. per game
0.58
Conceded
140
Avg. per game
0.62
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 116 matches
YesNo
70 (60%)46 (40%)
In last 116 matches
NoYes
105 (46%)121 (54%)
Montalegre

Montalegre

Recent matches

Varzim

Varzim

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(64%)29 16(36%)

Under /Over

(24%)11 34(76%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(44%)20 25(56%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Montalegre Montalegre
Varzim Varzim
Shots
Montalegre
Montalegre
Total shots
9.17 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Varzim
Varzim
Total shots
10.03 avg / game
Blocked
0 total
Avg. —
Montalegre Montalegre Pass Varzim Varzim
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
51%
Total passes
—
Avg. — / game
Accurate
—
Ball possession
51%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Montalegre
Montalegre
10577
Avg. 91.18 / game
 Varzim
Varzim
20905
Avg. 92.50 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Montalegre
Montalegre
5324
Avg. 45.90 / game
 Varzim
Varzim
12112
Avg. 53.59 / game
OTHERS
Montalegre
Montalegre
116
Played games
Varzim
Varzim
226
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.24
28
Clean sheets
70
0.31
4.74
550
Corners
1141
5.05
0.00
0
Throw-ins
19
0.08
0.00
0
Offsides
37
0.16
0.00
0
GK saves
65
0.29
Montalegre
Montalegre
DISCIPLINARY
Varzim
Varzim
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.98
346
Yellow card
558
2.47
0.19
22
Red card
32
0.14
0.00
0
Fouls
652
2.88
0.00
0
Tackles
0
0.00
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.
NEXT MATCHES
No upcoming matches.

How We Build the Montalegre vs Varzim Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Montalegre vs Varzim on 04 February 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Portugal Liga 3 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Montalegre vs Varzim Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Montalegre's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Varzim's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Portugal Liga 3 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Portugal Liga 3 standings and the Portugal Liga 3 form table to understand exactly where Montalegre and Varzim sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Portugal Liga 3 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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