Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 26 October

Atletico Morelia

L D W L W

7th place in Apertura

2-3

26/10/2025 19:00

Leones Negros

W L L W W

6th place in Apertura

Mexico Primera Divison A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros on 26 October 2025 (kick-off: 19:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros preview before placing your bet.

Atletico Morelia will face Leones Negros in Mexico Primera Divison A on October 26, 2025 at 19:00.
Atletico Morelia are currently 7th with 19 points after 14 matches.
Leones Negros sit 6th with 21 points from 14 matches.
Current model prediction leans green with a projected score of 2 - 1 and average coefficient 1.81.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

19:00

2025-10-26

Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros - Prediction & Odds

Atletico Morelia

Leones Negros

2025-10-26 19:00

STANDINGS UP TO 26/10/2025

Apertura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 CF Atlante	30	14	9	3	2	35	10	25
02 Cancun	30	14	9	3	2	25	7	18
03 Tampico Madero	30	14	8	6	0	24	15	9
04 Irapuato	23	14	6	5	3	23	19	4
05 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	5	6	3	26	24	2
06 Leones Negros	21	14	6	3	5	19	17	2
07 Atletico Morelia	19	14	5	4	5	19	21	-2
08 Tepatitlan de Morelos	18	14	4	6	4	21	16	5
09 Venados FC	18	14	5	3	6	29	30	-1
10 Atletico La Paz	17	14	4	5	5	25	30	-5
11 Club Chivas Tapatio	15	14	4	3	7	20	18	2
12 Tlaxcala	14	14	3	5	6	14	27	-13
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	13	14	3	4	7	16	25	-9
14 Correcaminos UAT	10	14	2	4	8	16	35	-19
15 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	5	14	1	2	11	8	26	-18

Clausura	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Tepatitlan de Morelos	26	14	7	5	2	21	10	11
02 Cancun	25	14	7	4	3	24	17	7
03 Atletico Morelia	23	14	7	2	5	18	12	6
04 Atletico La Paz	22	14	5	7	2	22	12	10
05 Tampico Madero	21	14	6	3	5	15	15	0
06 Mineros de Zacatecas	21	14	6	3	5	19	20	-1
07 Club Chivas Tapatio	20	14	6	2	6	28	24	4
08 CF Atlante	20	14	5	5	4	21	17	4
09 Irapuato	20	14	6	2	6	27	24	3
10 Tlaxcala	20	14	5	5	4	16	17	-1
11 Venados FC	16	14	4	4	6	25	25	0
12 Alebrijes de Oaxaca	16	14	4	4	6	20	29	-9
13 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa	13	14	3	4	7	17	28	-11
14 Correcaminos UAT	12	14	3	3	8	14	27	-13
15 Leones Negros	11	14	2	5	7	15	25	-10

Head To Head

11/05/2025 14:00

Leones Negros

2 - 0

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

03/05/2025 21:30

Monarcas Morelia

2 - 0

Leones Negros

MEX D2

20/03/2025 23:00

Leones Negros

2 - 1

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

05/10/2024 19:00

Monarcas Morelia

0 - 2

Leones Negros

MEX D2

04/04/2024 21:05

Monarcas Morelia

0 - 2

Leones Negros

MEX D2

18/11/2023 21:05

Leones Negros

2 - 0

Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

Leones Negros

67%

Draw

Monarcas Morelia

33%

Atletico Morelia Last 6 matches

18/10/2025 20:00

Irapuato 0 - 3 Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

11/10/2025 21:00

Monarcas Morelia 0 - 0 Club Chivas Tapatio

MEX D2

03/10/2025 21:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 3 - 2 Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

27/09/2025 21:00

Monarcas Morelia 0 - 2 CF Atlante

MEX D2

19/09/2025 23:00

Atletico La Paz 3 - 0 Monarcas Morelia

MEX D2

13/09/2025 21:00

Monarcas Morelia 2 - 1 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

MEX D2

Win

Draw

100%

Lost

Last 6 matches Leones Negros

17/10/2025 22:00

Leones Negros 0 - 1 Alebrijes de Oaxaca

MEX D2

11/10/2025 21:00

Mineros de Zacatecas 2 - 0 Leones Negros

MEX D2

04/10/2025 21:00

Leones Negros 2 - 0 CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

MEX D2

20/09/2025 20:00

CF Atlante 1 - 0 Leones Negros

MEX D2

14/09/2025 14:00

Leones Negros 2 - 3 Atletico La Paz

MEX D2

07/09/2025 19:00

Tepatitlan de Morelos 1 - 1 Leones Negros

MEX D2

Win

17%

Draw

17%

Lost

67%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Mexico Primera Divison...

Played games

Atletico Morelia

Leones Negros

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

1.29

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.15

Scored

Avg. per game

1.20

Conceded

Avg. per game

1.53

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

6 (100%)0 (0%)

In last 34 matches

YesNo

23 (68%)11 (32%)

In last 34 matches

NoYes

22 (73%)8 (27%)

Atletico Morelia

Recent matches

Leones Negros

Under /Over

(74%)25 9(26%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(73%)22 8(27%)

Under /Over

(35%)12 22(65%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(30%)9 21(70%)

Under /Over

(38%)13 21(62%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(40%)12 18(60%)

/Yes

(41%)14 20(59%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(57%)17 13(43%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Atletico Morelia

Leones Negros

Shots

Atletico Morelia

Total shots

11.65 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Leones Negros

Total shots

10.43 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Atletico Morelia Pass Leones Negros

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Atletico Morelia

Played games

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

Clean sheets

0.23

4.76

162

Corners

129

4.30

0.00

Throw-ins

0.00

Offsides

0.00

0.15

GK saves

0.20

Atletico Morelia

DISCIPLINARY

Leones Negros

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

2.65

2.33

0.24

0.20

0.00

Fouls

0.00

Tackles

0.00

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

CD Alacranes de Durango

Leones Negros

MEX

How We Build the Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros on 26 October 2025 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Mexico Primera Divison A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Atletico Morelia vs Leones Negros Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Atletico Morelia's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Leones Negros's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Mexico Primera Divison A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Mexico Primera Divison A standings and the Mexico Primera Divison A form table to understand exactly where Atletico Morelia and Leones Negros sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Mexico Primera Divison A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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