Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG): Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 17 February

Monaco
WDLWD
21st place in Group A
2
2-3
FT
17/02/2026 16:00
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
LWWDW
11th place in Group A
UEFA Champions League
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) on 17 February 2026 (kick-off: 16:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) preview before placing your bet.

  • Monaco are currently 21st with 10 points after 8 matches.
  • Paris Saint Germain (PSG) sit 11th with 14 points from 8 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Paris Saint Germain (PSG) to win with probability 61%.
  • Head-to-head history favors Paris Saint Germain (PSG), who have won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Monaco have one win, while one match ended in a draw.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
16:00

2026-02-17

Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) - Prediction & Odds

Monaco
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
2026-02-17 16:00
18
21
61
2
2 - 1
2 - 1
3.00
1.47
FT
2-3 2-2
-
weather
14℃～15℃
STANDINGS UP TO 17/02/2026
Group A PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Arsenal Arsenal
24 8 8 0 0 23 4 19
02 Bayern Munchen Bayern Munchen
21 8 7 0 1 22 8 14
03 Liverpool Liverpool
18 8 6 0 2 20 8 12
04 Tottenham Hotspur Tottenham Hotspur
17 8 5 2 1 17 7 10
05 FC Barcelona FC Barcelona
16 8 5 1 2 22 14 8
06 Chelsea Chelsea
16 8 5 1 2 17 10 7
07 Sporting CP Sporting CP
16 8 5 1 2 17 11 6
08 Manchester City Manchester City
16 8 5 1 2 15 9 6
09 Real Madrid Real Madrid
15 8 5 0 3 21 12 9
10 Inter Milan Inter Milan
15 8 5 0 3 15 7 8
11 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
14 8 4 2 2 21 11 10
12 Newcastle United Newcastle United
14 8 4 2 2 17 7 10
13 Juventus Juventus
13 8 3 4 1 14 10 4
14 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
13 8 4 1 3 17 15 2
15 Atalanta Atalanta
13 8 4 1 3 10 10 0
16 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
12 8 3 3 2 13 14 -1
17 Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
11 8 3 2 3 19 17 2
18 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
11 8 3 2 3 10 14 -4
19 Club Brugge Club Brugge
10 8 3 1 4 15 17 -2
20 Galatasaray Galatasaray
10 8 3 1 4 9 11 -2
21 Monaco Monaco
10 8 2 4 2 8 14 -6
22 Qarabag Qarabag
10 8 3 1 4 13 21 -8
23 Bodo Glimt Bodo Glimt
9 8 2 3 3 14 15 -1
24 Benfica Benfica
9 8 3 0 5 10 12 -2
25 Marseille Marseille
9 8 3 0 5 11 14 -3
26 AEP Paphos AEP Paphos
9 8 2 3 3 8 11 -3
27 Saint Gilloise Saint Gilloise
9 8 3 0 5 8 17 -9
28 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
8 8 2 2 4 16 16 0
29 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
8 8 2 2 4 9 14 -5
30 Napoli Napoli
8 8 2 2 4 9 15 -6
31 FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen
8 8 2 2 4 12 21 -9
32 AFC Ajax AFC Ajax
6 8 2 0 6 8 21 -13
33 Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
4 8 1 1 6 10 21 -11
34 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
3 8 0 3 5 5 19 -14
35 Villarreal Villarreal
1 8 0 1 7 5 18 -13
36 FC Kairat Almaty FC Kairat Almaty
1 8 0 1 7 7 22 -15
Head To Head
29/11/2025 12:00
Monaco Monaco
1 - 0
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
FRA D1
07/02/2025 16:05
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
4 - 1
Monaco Monaco
FRA D1
05/01/2025 12:30
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
1 - 0
Monaco Monaco
FRA SC
18/12/2024 16:00
Monaco Monaco
2 - 4
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
FRA D1
01/03/2024 16:00
Monaco Monaco
0 - 0
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
FRA D1
24/11/2023 16:00
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
5 - 2
Monaco Monaco
FRA D1
Monaco
1
17%
Draw
1
17%
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
4
67%
Monaco Monaco Last 6 matches
13/02/2026 16:05
Monaco 3 - 1 Nantes FRA D1
08/02/2026 10:00
Nice 0 - 0 Monaco FRA D1
05/02/2026 16:00
Strasbourg 3 - 1 Monaco FRAC
31/01/2026 16:05
Monaco 4 - 0 Rennes FRA D1
28/01/2026 16:00
Monaco 0 - 0 Juventus UEFA CL
24/01/2026 14:00
Le Havre 0 - 0 Monaco FRA D1
Win
33%
Draw
50%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
13/02/2026 14:00
Rennes 3 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1
08/02/2026 15:45
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 5 - 0 Marseille FRA D1
01/02/2026 15:45
Strasbourg 1 - 2 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1
28/01/2026 16:00
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) 1 - 1 Newcastle United UEFA CL
23/01/2026 15:00
AJ Auxerre 0 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) FRA D1
20/01/2026 16:00
Sporting CP 2 - 1 Paris Saint Germain (PSG) UEFA CL
Win
50%
Draw
17%
Lost
33%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues UEFA Champions League

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Monaco
Monaco
300
 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
300
Goals
Scored
302
Avg. per game
1.01
Conceded
214
Avg. per game
0.71
Scored
373
Avg. per game
1.24
Conceded
171
Avg. per game
0.57
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
3 (50%)3 (50%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
5 (83%)1 (17%)
In last 300 matches
YesNo
190 (63%)110 (37%)
In last 300 matches
NoYes
216 (72%)84 (28%)
Monaco

Monaco

Recent matches

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(84%)38 7(16%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Monaco Monaco
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Shots
Monaco
Monaco
Total shots
12.71 avg / game
Blocked
708 total
Avg. 3.28
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Total shots
16.15 avg / game
Blocked
1013 total
Avg. 4.08
Monaco Monaco Pass Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Total passes
117603
Avg. 476 / game
Accurate
82%
Ball possession
52%
Total passes
183627
Avg. 668 / game
Accurate
90%
Ball possession
63%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Monaco
Monaco
32623
Avg. 108.74 / game
 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
35965
Avg. 119.88 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Monaco
Monaco
14569
Avg. 48.56 / game
 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
18273
Avg. 60.91 / game
OTHERS
Monaco
Monaco
300
Played games
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
300
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.29
86
Clean sheets
106
0.35
5.00
1501
Corners
1722
5.74
15.27
4580
Throw-ins
4353
14.51
1.91
572
Offsides
531
1.77
2.60
779
GK saves
802
2.67
Monaco
Monaco
DISCIPLINARY
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
1.81
543
Yellow card
425
1.42
0.12
36
Red card
24
0.08
11.58
3473
Fouls
2782
9.27
14.12
4237
Tackles
4066
13.55
NEXT MATCHES
07/31
Monaco Monaco
VS
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge
INT
08/23
Le Havre Le Havre
VS
Monaco Monaco
FRA
08/30
Monaco Monaco
VS
Marseille Marseille
FRA
09/05
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
VS
Monaco Monaco
FRA
09/12
Strasbourg Strasbourg
VS
Monaco Monaco
FRA
NEXT MATCHES
08/16
Lens Lens
VS
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
FRA
08/16
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
VS
Aston Villa Aston Villa
UEF
08/23
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
VS
Rennes Rennes
FRA
08/28
Lille Lille
VS
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
FRA
09/05
Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Paris Saint Germain (PSG)
VS
Monaco Monaco
FRA

How We Build the Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) on 17 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this UEFA Champions League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Monaco vs Paris Saint Germain (PSG) Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Monaco's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Paris Saint Germain (PSG)'s away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

UEFA Champions League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live UEFA Champions League standings and the UEFA Champions League form table to understand exactly where Monaco and Paris Saint Germain (PSG) sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our UEFA Champions League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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