Monaco vs Marseille: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 30 September

Monaco

W W L W W

2nd place in France Ligue 1

3-2

30/09/2023 15:00

Marseille

D D W W L

8th place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Monaco vs Marseille on 30 September 2023 (kick-off: 15:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Monaco vs Marseille preview before placing your bet.

Monaco are currently 2nd with 67 points after 34 matches.
Marseille sit 8th with 50 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Monaco to win with probability 42%.
Head-to-head history favors Marseille, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Monaco have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

15:00

2023-09-30

Monaco vs Marseille - Prediction & Odds

Monaco

Marseille

2023-09-30 15:00

STANDINGS UP TO 30/09/2023

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	76	34	22	10	2	81	33	48
02 Monaco	67	34	20	7	7	68	42	26
03 Stade Brestois	61	34	17	10	7	53	34	19
04 Lille	59	34	16	11	7	52	34	18
05 Nice	55	34	15	10	9	40	29	11
06 Lyon	53	34	16	5	13	49	55	-6
07 Lens	51	34	14	9	11	45	37	8
08 Marseille	50	34	13	11	10	52	41	11
09 Reims	47	34	13	8	13	42	47	-5
10 Rennes	46	34	12	10	12	53	46	7
11 Toulouse	43	34	11	10	13	42	46	-4
12 Montpellier	41	34	10	12	12	43	48	-5
13 Strasbourg	39	34	10	9	15	38	50	-12
14 Nantes	33	34	9	6	19	30	55	-25
15 Le Havre	32	34	7	11	16	34	45	-11
16 Metz	29	34	8	5	21	35	58	-23
17 Lorient	29	34	7	8	19	43	66	-23
18 Clermont	25	34	5	10	19	26	60	-34

Head To Head

28/01/2023 16:00

Marseille

1 - 1

Monaco

FRA D1

13/11/2022 15:45

Monaco

2 - 3

Marseille

FRA D1

06/03/2022 15:45

Marseille

0 - 1

Monaco

FRA D1

11/09/2021 15:00

Monaco

0 - 2

Marseille

FRA D1

23/01/2021 16:00

Monaco

3 - 1

Marseille

FRA D1

12/12/2020 11:59

Marseille

2 - 1

Monaco

FRA D1

Monaco

33%

Draw

17%

Marseille

50%

Monaco Last 6 matches

22/09/2023 15:00

Monaco 0 - 1 Nice FRA D1

17/09/2023 07:00

Lorient 2 - 2 Monaco FRA D1

02/09/2023 15:00

Monaco 3 - 0 Lens FRA D1

25/08/2023 15:00

Nantes 3 - 3 Monaco FRA D1

20/08/2023 13:00

Monaco 3 - 0 Strasbourg FRA D1

13/08/2023 09:00

Clermont 2 - 4 Monaco FRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

33%

Lost

17%

Last 6 matches Marseille

21/09/2023 15:00

AFC Ajax 3 - 3 Marseille UEFA EL

17/09/2023 11:05

Marseille 0 - 0 Toulouse FRA D1

01/09/2023 15:00

Nantes 1 - 1 Marseille FRA D1

26/08/2023 13:00

Marseille 2 - 0 Stade Brestois FRA D1

18/08/2023 15:00

Metz 2 - 2 Marseille FRA D1

15/08/2023 15:00

Marseille 2 - 1 Panathinaikos UEFA CL

Win

33%

Draw

67%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

236

Avg. per game

0.79

Conceded

171

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored

232

Avg. per game

0.77

Conceded

151

Avg. per game

0.50

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

171 (57%)129 (43%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

161 (54%)139 (46%)

Monaco

Recent matches

Marseille

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(38%)17 28(62%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

/Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Monaco

Marseille

Shots

Monaco

Total shots

12.71 avg / game

Blocked

708 total

Avg. 3.28

Marseille

Total shots

13.16 avg / game

Blocked

797 total

Avg. 3.51

Monaco Pass Marseille

Total passes

117603

Avg. 476 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

52%

Total passes

139301

Avg. 540 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

57%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Monaco

300

Played games

Marseille

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.29

Clean sheets

0.26

5.00

1501

Corners

1608

5.36

15.27

4580

Throw-ins

4482

14.94

1.91

572

Offsides

472

1.57

2.60

779

GK saves

692

2.31

Monaco

DISCIPLINARY

Marseille

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.81

543

555

1.85

0.12

0.12

11.58

3473

Fouls

3159

10.53

14.12

4237

Tackles

3890

12.97

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Monaco vs Marseille Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Monaco vs Marseille on 30 September 2023 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Monaco vs Marseille Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Monaco's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Marseille's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Monaco and Marseille sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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