Monaco vs Lorient Prediction, analysis & Match Preview – January 16

Monaco

L D D W L

7th place in France Ligue 1

1-3

16/01/2026 14:00

Lorient

L W L D W

9th place in France Ligue 1

France Ligue 1

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Monaco vs Lorient on January 16, 2026 (kick-off: 14:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Monaco vs Lorient preview before placing for you.

Monaco are currently 7th with 54 points after 34 matches.
Lorient sit 9th with 45 points from 34 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Monaco to win with probability 58%.
Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Monaco and Lorient have each won 1 of the last 6 meetings, while 4 matches ended in draws.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

14:00

2026-01-16

Monaco vs Lorient - Prediction & Odds

Monaco

Lorient

2026-01-16 14:00

STANDINGS UP TO 16/01/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Paris Saint Germain (PSG)	76	34	24	4	6	74	29	45
02 Lens	70	34	22	4	8	66	35	31
03 Lille	61	34	18	7	9	52	37	15
04 Lyon	60	34	18	6	10	53	40	13
05 Marseille	59	34	18	5	11	63	45	18
06 Rennes	59	34	17	8	9	59	50	9
07 Monaco	54	34	16	6	12	60	54	6
08 Strasbourg	53	34	15	8	11	58	47	11
09 Lorient	45	34	11	12	11	48	51	-3
10 Toulouse	44	33	12	8	13	47	46	1
11 Paris FC	44	34	11	11	12	47	50	-3
12 Stade Brestois	39	34	10	9	15	43	55	-12
13 Angers	36	34	9	9	16	29	48	-19
14 Le Havre	35	34	7	14	13	32	44	-12
15 AJ Auxerre	34	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10
16 Nice	32	34	7	11	16	37	60	-23
17 Nantes	23	33	5	8	20	29	52	-23
18 Metz	17	34	3	8	23	32	76	-44

Head To Head

27/09/2025 11:00

Lorient

3 - 1

Monaco

FRA D1

17/03/2024 10:00

Monaco

2 - 2

Lorient

FRA D1

17/09/2023 07:00

Lorient

2 - 2

Monaco

FRA D1

16/04/2023 11:05

Monaco

3 - 1

Lorient

FRA D1

11/01/2023 16:00

Lorient

2 - 2

Monaco

FRA D1

13/02/2022 08:00

Monaco

0 - 0

Lorient

FRA D1

Monaco

17%

Draw

67%

Lorient

17%

Monaco Last 6 matches

10/01/2026 10:30

Orleans US 45 1 - 3 Monaco FRAC

03/01/2026 12:00

Monaco 1 - 3 Lyon FRA D1

21/12/2025 09:45

AJ Auxerre 1 - 2 Monaco FRAC

14/12/2025 15:55

Marseille 1 - 0 Monaco FRA D1

09/12/2025 16:00

Monaco 1 - 0 Galatasaray UEFA CL

05/12/2025 14:00

Stade Brestois 1 - 0 Monaco FRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Last 6 matches Lorient

10/01/2026 13:00

Hauts Lyonnais 1 - 3 Lorient FRAC

04/01/2026 12:15

Lorient 1 - 1 Metz FRA D1

20/12/2025 10:30

Gosier 0 - 7 Lorient FRAC

14/12/2025 12:15

Strasbourg 0 - 0 Lorient FRA D1

07/12/2025 15:45

Lorient 1 - 0 Lyon FRA D1

30/11/2025 12:15

Lorient 3 - 1 Nice FRA D1

Win

67%

Draw

33%

Lost

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues France Ligue 1

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

156

Avg. per game

1.05

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.57

Scored

126

Avg. per game

0.98

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.71

Scored a goal

In last 6 home matches

YesNo

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 6 home matches

NoYes

4 (67%)2 (33%)

In last 148 home matches

YesNo

99 (67%)49 (33%)

In last 148 home matches

NoYes

80 (63%)48 (38%)

Monaco

Recent matches

Lorient

Under /Over

(71%)32 13(29%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(40%)18 27(60%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(33%)15 30(67%)

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

/Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(56%)25 20(44%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Monaco

Lorient

Shots

Monaco

Total shots

13.61 avg / game

Blocked

381 total

Avg. 3.40

Lorient

Total shots

12.13 avg / game

Blocked

287 total

Avg. 3.12

Monaco Pass Lorient

Total passes

60878

Avg. 483 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

45477

Avg. 425 / game

Accurate

82%

Ball possession

47%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Monaco

148

Played games

Lorient

128

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.33

Clean sheets

0.29

5.24

776

Corners

550

4.30

16.04

2374

Throw-ins

2007

15.68

2.03

301

Offsides

176

1.38

2.40

355

GK saves

294

2.30

Monaco

DISCIPLINARY

Lorient

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.59

236

186

1.45

0.16

0.06

11.84

1753

Fouls

1267

9.90

14.98

2217

Tackles

1757

13.73

NEXT MATCHES

Paris Saint Germain (PSG)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Monaco vs Lorient Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Monaco vs Lorient on 16 January 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this France Ligue 1 fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Monaco vs Lorient Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Monaco's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Lorient's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

France Ligue 1 Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live France Ligue 1 standings and the France Ligue 1 form table to understand exactly where Monaco and Lorient sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our France Ligue 1 predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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