Modena vs Padova: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 28 February

Modena
DDLLW
6th place in Italian Serie B
1
1-2
FT
28/02/2026 10:00
Padova
LWWLW
9th place in Italian Serie B
Italian Serie B
MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Modena vs Padova on 28 February 2026 (kick-off: 10:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Modena vs Padova preview before placing your bet.

  • Modena are currently 6th with 55 points after 38 matches.
  • Padova sit 9th with 46 points from 38 matches.
  • Our algorithm prediction: Modena to win with probability 61%.
  • Head-to-head history is evenly balanced: Modena and Padova have each won 3 of the last 6 meetings, while 0 matches ended in draws.
Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards
Home team Away team
Probability %
1
X
2
Pred
Correct
Avg.g
Coef.
Score.
Live coef.
Weather
favorite match
10:00

2026-02-28

Modena vs Padova - Prediction & Odds

Modena
Modena
Padova
Padova
2026-02-28 10:00
61
22
17
1
1 - 1
1 - 1
2.50
1.47
FT
1-2 0-2
-
weather
13℃～14℃
STANDINGS UP TO 28/02/2026
Overall Table PTS
GP W D L GF GA +/-
01 Venezia Venezia
82 38 24 10 4 77 31 46
02 Frosinone Frosinone
81 38 23 12 3 76 34 42
03 Monza Monza
76 38 22 10 6 61 32 29
04 Palermo Palermo
72 38 20 12 6 61 33 28
05 Catanzaro Catanzaro
59 38 15 14 9 62 51 11
06 Modena Modena
55 38 15 10 13 49 36 13
07 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia
51 38 11 18 9 44 45 -1
08 Avellino Avellino
49 38 13 10 15 43 55 -12
09 Padova Padova
46 38 12 10 16 39 49 -10
10 Cesena Cesena
46 38 12 10 16 45 56 -11
11 Mantova Mantova
46 38 13 7 18 45 57 -12
12 Carrarese Carrarese
44 38 10 14 14 47 52 -5
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria
44 38 11 11 16 35 48 -13
14 ACD Virtus Entella ACD Virtus Entella
42 38 10 12 16 36 51 -15
15 Empoli Empoli
41 38 9 14 15 47 54 -7
16 SudTirol SudTirol
41 38 8 17 13 38 48 -10
17 Bari Bari
40 38 10 10 18 38 60 -22
18 A.C. Reggiana 1919 A.C. Reggiana 1919
37 38 9 10 19 36 56 -20
19 Pescara Pescara
35 38 7 14 17 51 66 -15
20 Spezia Spezia
35 38 8 11 19 43 59 -16
Head To Head
11/01/2026 12:15
Padova Padova
2 - 0
Modena Modena
ITA D2
18/04/2021 11:30
Modena Modena
3 - 0
Padova Padova
ITA SC
23/12/2020 12:30
Padova Padova
0 - 1
Modena Modena
ITA SC
19/01/2020 10:00
Padova Padova
0 - 1
Modena Modena
ITA SC
09/09/2019 14:45
Modena Modena
0 - 1
Padova Padova
ITA SC
19/03/2017 11:45
Modena Modena
0 - 1
Padova Padova
ITA SC
Modena
3
50%
Draw
0
0%
Padova
3
50%
Modena Modena Last 6 matches
14/02/2026 10:00
Modena 2 - 0 Carrarese ITA D2
10/02/2026 15:00
Venezia 0 - 2 Modena ITA D2
07/02/2026 10:00
Modena 1 - 2 Sampdoria ITA D2
31/01/2026 10:00
Empoli 0 - 0 Modena ITA D2
24/01/2026 12:15
Modena 0 - 0 Palermo ITA D2
18/01/2026 10:00
Pescara 0 - 2 Modena ITA D2
Win
50%
Draw
33%
Lost
17%
Last 6 matches Padova Padova
14/02/2026 10:00
Sampdoria 1 - 0 Padova ITA D2
10/02/2026 15:00
Padova 1 - 0 Carrarese ITA D2
07/02/2026 10:00
Juve Stabia 3 - 3 Padova ITA D2
01/02/2026 12:15
Padova 1 - 2 Monza ITA D2
25/01/2026 11:30
SudTirol 3 - 0 Padova ITA D2
17/01/2026 10:00
Padova 1 - 2 Mantova ITA D2
Win
17%
Draw
17%
Lost
67%
Overall Home/Away
Full time First half Second half
All leagues Italian Serie B

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games
Modena
Modena
260
 Padova
Padova
289
Goals
Scored
185
Avg. per game
0.71
Conceded
132
Avg. per game
0.51
Scored
182
Avg. per game
0.63
Conceded
123
Avg. per game
0.43
Scored a goal
In last 6 matches
YesNo
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 6 matches
NoYes
2 (33%)4 (67%)
In last 260 matches
YesNo
131 (50%)129 (50%)
In last 260 matches
NoYes
139 (48%)150 (52%)
Modena

Modena

Recent matches

Padova

Padova

Under /Over

(73%)33 12(27%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(60%)27 18(40%)

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

Under /Over

(42%)19 26(58%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(29%)13 32(71%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)
GOALS BY TIME PERIOD
Modena Modena
Padova Padova
Shots
Modena
Modena
Total shots
12.19 avg / game
Blocked
288 total
Avg. 3.31
Padova
Padova
Total shots
10.66 avg / game
Blocked
121 total
Avg. 3.27
Modena Modena Pass Padova Padova
Total passes
60761
Avg. 389 / game
Accurate
79%
Ball possession
50%
Total passes
14932
Avg. 393 / game
Accurate
78%
Ball possession
52%
TOTAL ATTACKS
Modena
Modena
23096
Avg. 88.83 / game
 Padova
Padova
26795
Avg. 92.72 / game
DANGEROUS ATTACKS
Modena
Modena
12867
Avg. 49.49 / game
 Padova
Padova
16497
Avg. 57.08 / game
OTHERS
Modena
Modena
260
Played games
Padova
Padova
289
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
0.35
92
Clean sheets
117
0.40
4.99
1298
Corners
1364
4.72
8.14
2116
Throw-ins
713
2.47
0.90
233
Offsides
77
0.27
1.67
435
GK saves
142
0.49
Modena
Modena
DISCIPLINARY
Padova
Padova
Avg / game Total Total Avg / game
2.12
551
Yellow card
608
2.10
0.09
24
Red card
29
0.10
8.60
2235
Fouls
628
2.17
6.67
1734
Tackles
390
1.35
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
Trento Trento
VS
Modena Modena
INT
08/15
Venezia Venezia
VS
Modena Modena
ITA
08/22
Benevento Benevento
VS
Modena Modena
ITA
08/29
Cremonese Cremonese
VS
Modena Modena
ITA
09/05
Modena Modena
VS
Avellino Avellino
ITA
NEXT MATCHES
08/01
Cittadella Cittadella
VS
Padova Padova
INT
08/15
Udinese Udinese
VS
Padova Padova
ITA
08/22
Pisa Pisa
VS
Padova Padova
ITA
08/29
Padova Padova
VS
Verona Verona
ITA
09/05
Cremonese Cremonese
VS
Padova Padova
ITA

How We Build the Modena vs Padova Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Modena vs Padova on 28 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Italian Serie B fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Modena vs Padova Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Modena's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Padova's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Italian Serie B Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Italian Serie B standings and the Italian Serie B form table to understand exactly where Modena and Padova sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Italian Serie B predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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