Mirassol vs Bahia: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 11 April

Mirassol

L W L W D

14th place in Brazil Serie A

1-2

11/04/2026 17:30

Bahia

L W W D D

5th place in Brazil Serie A

Brazil Serie A

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mirassol vs Bahia on 11 April 2026 (kick-off: 17:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mirassol vs Bahia preview before placing your bet.

Mirassol are currently 14th with 23 points after 20 matches.
Bahia sit 5th with 32 points from 21 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Mirassol to win with probability 41%.
Head-to-head history favors Mirassol, who have won 1 of the last 2 meetings. Bahia have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

17:30

2026-04-11

Mirassol vs Bahia - Prediction & Odds

Mirassol

Bahia

2026-04-11 17:30

STANDINGS UP TO 11/04/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Palmeiras	47	21	14	5	2	38	16	22
02 Flamengo	39	20	11	6	3	37	18	19
03 Atletico Paranaense	37	21	11	4	6	28	19	9
04 Fluminense RJ	34	21	9	7	5	30	25	5
05 Bahia	32	21	8	8	5	29	25	4
06 Bragantino	31	20	9	4	7	26	20	6
07 Cruzeiro	30	21	8	6	7	27	30	-3
08 Botafogo RJ	29	20	8	5	7	34	32	2
09 Corinthians Paulista (SP)	29	21	7	8	6	22	20	2
10 Atletico Mineiro	28	20	8	4	8	25	25	0
11 Coritiba PR	27	21	7	6	8	25	28	-3
12 Sao Paulo	26	20	7	5	8	25	23	2
13 Vitoria BA	26	21	7	5	9	22	31	-9
14 Mirassol	23	20	6	5	9	23	27	-4
15 Santos	22	20	5	7	8	29	33	-4
16 Internacional RS	22	21	5	7	9	23	27	-4
17 Gremio (RS)	22	20	5	7	8	22	26	-4
18 Vasco da Gama	21	20	5	6	9	23	31	-8
19 Remo Belem (PA)	21	21	5	6	10	24	34	-10
20 Chapecoense SC	10	20	1	7	12	19	41	-22

Head To Head

31/08/2025 17:30

Mirassol

5 - 1

Bahia

BRA D1

13/04/2025 15:00

Bahia

1 - 1

Mirassol

BRA D1

Mirassol

50%

Draw

50%

Bahia

Mirassol Last 6 matches

08/04/2026 18:00

Mirassol 1 - 0 Lanus CON CLA

05/04/2026 19:00

Mirassol 0 - 1 Bragantino BRA D1

01/04/2026 18:30

Botafogo RJ 3 - 2 Mirassol BRA D1

22/03/2026 17:30

Vitoria BA 1 - 0 Mirassol BRA D1

18/03/2026 19:00

Mirassol 0 - 1 Coritiba PR BRA D1

15/03/2026 17:30

Palmeiras 1 - 0 Mirassol BRA D1

Win

17%

Draw

Lost

83%

Last 6 matches Bahia

05/04/2026 18:30

Bahia 1 - 2 Palmeiras BRA D1

01/04/2026 19:00

Bahia 3 - 0 Atletico Paranaense BRA D1

22/03/2026 15:00

Remo Belem (PA) 4 - 1 Bahia BRA D1

18/03/2026 18:00

Bahia 2 - 0 Bragantino BRA D1

15/03/2026 15:00

Internacional RS 0 - 1 Bahia BRA D1

11/03/2026 19:00

Bahia 1 - 1 Vitoria BA BRA D1

Win

50%

Draw

17%

Lost

33%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Brazil Serie A

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

193

Avg. per game

0.67

Conceded

168

Avg. per game

0.58

Scored

229

Avg. per game

0.76

Conceded

181

Avg. per game

0.60

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

2 (33%)4 (67%)

In last 289 matches

YesNo

142 (49%)147 (51%)

In last 289 matches

NoYes

155 (52%)145 (48%)

Mirassol

Recent matches

Bahia

Under /Over

(69%)31 14(31%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(87%)39 6(13%)

Under /Over

(44%)20 25(56%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(47%)21 24(53%)

Under /Over

(27%)12 33(73%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(51%)23 22(49%)

/Yes

(49%)22 23(51%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(64%)29 16(36%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Mirassol

Bahia

Shots

Mirassol

Total shots

11.55 avg / game

Blocked

411 total

Avg. 2.94

Bahia

Total shots

12.64 avg / game

Blocked

541 total

Avg. 3.30

Mirassol Pass Bahia

Total passes

71989

Avg. 393 / game

Accurate

84%

Ball possession

53%

Total passes

82312

Avg. 416 / game

Accurate

85%

Ball possession

55%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Mirassol

289

Played games

Bahia

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

Clean sheets

102

0.34

4.67

1351

Corners

1546

5.15

6.50

1879

Throw-ins

2481

8.27

1.04

302

Offsides

280

0.93

1.64

475

GK saves

545

1.82

Mirassol

DISCIPLINARY

Bahia

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.93

557

565

1.88

0.11

0.09

7.69

2222

Fouls

2444

8.15

6.53

1887

Tackles

2632

8.77

NEXT MATCHES

Liga Dep. Universitaria Quito

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Mirassol vs Bahia Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mirassol vs Bahia on 11 April 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Brazil Serie A fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mirassol vs Bahia Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mirassol's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Bahia's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Brazil Serie A Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Brazil Serie A standings and the Brazil Serie A form table to understand exactly where Mirassol and Bahia sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Brazil Serie A predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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