Millwall vs Derby County: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 19 October

Millwall

W W L W W

8th place in England Championship

1-1

19/10/2024 07:00

Derby County

D D L W W

19th place in England Championship

England Championship

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Millwall vs Derby County on 19 October 2024 (kick-off: 07:00) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Millwall vs Derby County preview before placing your bet.

Millwall are currently 8th with 66 points after 46 matches.
Derby County sit 19th with 50 points from 46 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Millwall to win with probability 45%.
Head-to-head history favors Millwall, who have won 3 of the last 6 meetings. Derby County have 2 wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

07:00

2024-10-19

Millwall vs Derby County - Prediction & Odds

Millwall

Derby County

2024-10-19 07:00

STANDINGS UP TO 19/10/2024

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Leeds United	100	46	29	13	4	95	30	65
02 Burnley	100	46	28	16	2	69	16	53
03 Sheffield United	90	46	28	8	10	63	36	27
04 Sunderland A.F.C	76	46	21	13	12	58	44	14
05 Coventry City	69	46	20	9	17	64	58	6
06 Bristol City	68	46	17	17	12	59	55	4
07 Blackburn Rovers	66	46	19	9	18	53	48	5
08 Millwall	66	46	18	12	16	47	49	-2
09 West Bromwich(WBA)	64	46	15	19	12	57	47	10
10 Middlesbrough	64	46	18	10	18	64	56	8
11 Swansea City	61	46	17	10	19	51	56	-5
12 Sheffield Wednesday	58	46	15	13	18	60	69	-9
13 Norwich City	57	46	14	15	17	71	68	3
14 Watford	57	46	16	9	21	53	61	-8
15 Queens Park Rangers (QPR)	56	46	14	14	18	53	63	-10
16 Portsmouth	54	46	14	12	20	58	71	-13
17 Oxford United	53	46	13	14	19	49	65	-16
18 Stoke City	51	46	12	15	19	45	62	-17
19 Derby County	50	46	13	11	22	48	56	-8
20 Preston North End	50	46	10	20	16	48	59	-11
21 Hull City	49	46	12	13	21	44	54	-10
22 Luton Town	49	46	13	10	23	45	69	-24
23 Plymouth Argyle	46	46	11	13	22	51	88	-37
24 Cardiff City	44	46	9	17	20	48	73	-25

Head To Head

23/02/2022 12:45

Derby County

1 - 2

Millwall

ENG LCH

06/11/2021 08:00

Millwall

1 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

13/03/2021 08:00

Derby County

0 - 1

Millwall

ENG LCH

05/12/2020 08:00

Millwall

0 - 1

Derby County

ENG LCH

20/06/2020 05:00

Millwall

2 - 3

Derby County

ENG LCH

14/12/2019 08:00

Derby County

0 - 1

Millwall

ENG LCH

Millwall

50%

Draw

17%

Derby County

33%

Millwall Last 6 matches

05/10/2024 07:00

West Bromwich(WBA) 0 - 0 Millwall ENG LCH

01/10/2024 11:45

Cardiff City 1 - 0 Millwall ENG LCH

28/09/2024 07:00

Millwall 3 - 1 Preston North End ENG LCH

21/09/2024 04:30

Queens Park Rangers (QPR) 1 - 1 Millwall ENG LCH

14/09/2024 04:30

Millwall 0 - 1 Luton Town ENG LCH

31/08/2024 07:00

Millwall 3 - 0 Sheffield Wednesday ENG LCH

Win

33%

Draw

33%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Derby County

05/10/2024 07:00

Derby County 2 - 0 Queens Park Rangers (QPR) ENG LCH

01/10/2024 11:45

Sunderland A.F.C 2 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

28/09/2024 04:30

Derby County 2 - 3 Norwich City ENG LCH

21/09/2024 07:00

Sheffield United 1 - 0 Derby County ENG LCH

14/09/2024 07:00

Derby County 1 - 0 Cardiff City ENG LCH

31/08/2024 07:00

Derby County 3 - 0 Bristol City ENG LCH

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues England Championship

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

158

Avg. per game

0.53

Conceded

137

Avg. per game

0.46

Scored

184

Avg. per game

0.61

Conceded

142

Avg. per game

0.47

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

5 (83%)1 (17%)

In last 300 matches

YesNo

127 (42%)173 (58%)

In last 300 matches

NoYes

140 (47%)160 (53%)

Millwall

Recent matches

Derby County

Under /Over

(78%)35 10(22%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(80%)36 9(20%)

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(31%)14 31(69%)

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(53%)24 21(47%)

/Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(67%)30 15(33%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Millwall

Derby County

Shots

Millwall

Total shots

11.68 avg / game

Blocked

795 total

Avg. 3.33

Derby County

Total shots

11.44 avg / game

Blocked

829 total

Avg. 3.48

Millwall Pass Derby County

Total passes

92143

Avg. 350 / game

Accurate

70%

Ball possession

45%

Total passes

100671

Avg. 383 / game

Accurate

72%

Ball possession

49%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Millwall

300

Played games

Derby County

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.34

103

Clean sheets

0.32

4.73

1420

Corners

1522

5.07

20.96

6288

Throw-ins

6351

21.17

1.80

539

Offsides

553

1.84

2.26

677

GK saves

682

2.27

Millwall

DISCIPLINARY

Derby County

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.66

497

527

1.76

0.04

0.05

10.97

3292

Fouls

2984

9.95

14.13

4240

Tackles

3658

12.19

NEXT MATCHES

Queens Park Rangers (QPR)

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Millwall vs Derby County Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Millwall vs Derby County on 19 October 2024 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this England Championship fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Millwall vs Derby County Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Millwall's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Derby County's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

England Championship Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live England Championship standings and the England Championship form table to understand exactly where Millwall and Derby County sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our England Championship predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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