Mil Mugan vs Qarabag: Prediction, Betting Tips & Match Preview – 14 February

Mil Mugan

W L W D L

9th place in Azerbaijan Premier League

0-1

14/02/2026 06:30

Qarabag

W L W D W

2nd place in Azerbaijan Premier League

Azerbaijan Premier League

MATCH INTRO

Betiball's prediction for Mil Mugan vs Qarabag on 14 February 2026 (kick-off: 06:30) is built from both teams' recent form, head-to-head history, squad availability, and tactical analysis. Read the full Mil Mugan vs Qarabag preview before placing your bet.

Mil Mugan are currently 9th with 37 points after 33 matches.
Qarabag sit 2nd with 69 points from 33 matches.
Our algorithm prediction: Qarabag to win with probability 67%.
Head-to-head history favors Qarabag, who have won 4 of the last 5 meetings. Mil Mugan have no wins, while one match ended in a draw.

Predictions 1x2 Under/Over 2.5 1X2 Live Half Time Half Time / Full Time Both To Score Double chance Handicap Scorers Corners Cards

Home team Away team

Probability %

Pred

Correct

Avg.g

Coef.

Score.

Live coef.

Weather

06:30

2026-02-14

Mil Mugan vs Qarabag - Prediction & Odds

Mil Mugan

Qarabag

2026-02-14 06:30

STANDINGS UP TO 14/02/2026

Overall Table	PTS	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	+/-

01 Sabah FK Baku	78	33	24	6	3	75	25	50
02 Qarabag	69	33	21	6	6	71	27	44
03 FC Neftci Baku	59	33	16	11	6	57	32	25
04 Turan Tovuz	59	33	17	8	8	44	27	17
05 Zira FK	53	33	13	14	6	43	36	7
06 Araz Nakhchivan	46	33	13	7	13	44	58	-14
07 Standard Sumgayit	38	33	11	5	17	42	50	-8
08 Samaxı FC	38	33	9	11	13	31	40	-9
09 Mil Mugan	37	33	8	13	12	24	40	-16
10 Qabala	27	33	7	6	20	32	49	-17
11 FK Kapaz Ganca	27	33	8	3	22	25	61	-36
12 Karvan Evlakh	15	33	3	6	24	23	66	-43

Head To Head

31/10/2025 09:00

Qarabag

2 - 0

Mil Mugan

AZE D1

18/12/2010 05:00

Qarabag

2 - 0

Mil Mugan

AZE D1

24/10/2010 06:00

Mil Mugan

0 - 0

Qarabag

AZE D1

10/12/2009 06:15

Qarabag

2 - 1

Mil Mugan

AZE D1

21/10/2009 07:10

Mil Mugan

0 - 1

Qarabag

AZE D1

Mil Mugan

Draw

20%

Qarabag

80%

Mil Mugan Last 6 matches

09/02/2026 06:30

Mil Mugan 0 - 0 FK Kapaz Ganca AZE D1

30/01/2026 09:00

Qabala 3 - 2 Mil Mugan AZE D1

23/01/2026 06:30

Mil Mugan 2 - 2 Araz Nakhchivan AZE D1

20/12/2025 08:30

Zira FK 0 - 0 Mil Mugan AZE D1

15/12/2025 06:00

Mil Mugan 1 - 1 Karvan Evlakh AZE D1

09/12/2025 11:30

Standard Sumgayit 1 - 0 Mil Mugan AZE D1

Win

Draw

67%

Lost

33%

Last 6 matches Qarabag

10/02/2026 06:50

Samaxı FC 1 - 2 Qarabag AZE D1

05/02/2026 06:30

Samaxı FC 2 - 1 Qarabag AZE CUP

01/02/2026 10:30

Qarabag 1 - 0 Turan Tovuz AZE D1

28/01/2026 16:00

Liverpool 6 - 0 Qarabag UEFA CL

24/01/2026 08:30

Qarabag 0 - 2 FK Kapaz Ganca AZE D1

21/01/2026 13:45

Qarabag 3 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt UEFA CL

Win

50%

Draw

Lost

50%

Overall Home/Away

Full time First half Second half

All leagues Azerbaijan Premier Lea...

Goals use the selected half; shots, passes and possession are averaged over full matches in the sample.

Played games

Goals

Scored

Avg. per game

0.63

Conceded

Avg. per game

0.75

Scored

373

Avg. per game

1.24

Conceded

178

Avg. per game

0.59

Scored a goal

In last 6 matches

YesNo

1 (17%)5 (83%)

In last 6 matches

NoYes

3 (50%)3 (50%)

In last 119 matches

YesNo

52 (44%)67 (56%)

In last 119 matches

NoYes

203 (68%)97 (32%)

Mil Mugan

Recent matches

Qarabag

Under /Over

(58%)26 19(42%)

1.5

Full Time

Under /Over

(82%)37 8(18%)

Under /Over

(20%)9 36(80%)

1.5

1st Half

Under /Over

(49%)22 23(51%)

Under /Over

(36%)16 29(64%)

1.5

2nd Half

Under /Over

(62%)28 17(38%)

/Yes

(33%)15 30(67%)

Both scored
(Yes/No)

No /Yes

(53%)24 21(47%)

GOALS BY TIME PERIOD

Mil Mugan

Qarabag

Shots

Mil Mugan

Total shots

8.49 avg / game

Blocked

0 total

Avg. —

Qarabag

Total shots

13.37 avg / game

Blocked

180 total

Avg. 3.40

Mil Mugan Pass Qarabag

Total passes

—

Avg. — / game

Accurate

—

Ball possession

48%

Total passes

22382

Avg. 414 / game

Accurate

81%

Ball possession

58%

TOTAL ATTACKS

DANGEROUS ATTACKS

OTHERS

Mil Mugan

119

Played games

Qarabag

300

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

0.38

Clean sheets

122

0.41

3.33

396

Corners

1859

6.20

0.06

Throw-ins

864

2.88

0.03

Offsides

185

0.62

0.03

GK saves

243

0.81

Mil Mugan

DISCIPLINARY

Qarabag

Avg / game Total Total Avg / game

1.47

175

483

1.61

0.10

0.05

0.18

Fouls

957

3.19

0.00

Tackles

777

2.59

NEXT MATCHES

NEXT MATCHES

How We Build the Mil Mugan vs Qarabag Prediction

Betiball.com's prediction for Mil Mugan vs Qarabag on 14 February 2026 is generated by a statistical model that processes over 30 data points per match — including each team's last ten results, expected goals (xG), shots on target, defensive line metrics, set-piece vulnerability, and confirmed squad availability. For this Azerbaijan Premier League fixture, our model also factors in home and away performance splits and any confirmed injuries or suspensions reported within 48 hours of kick-off. Every tip includes a probability percentage — not just a pick, but the data behind it.

Mil Mugan vs Qarabag Form Analysis

Heading into this match, both sides carry distinct statistical profiles our model weighs carefully. We assess Mil Mugan's recent home record, scoring rate, and clean sheet frequency against Qarabag's away form — particularly goals conceded on the road and their tendency to score or keep clean sheets in away fixtures. Over/Under 2.5 goals, Both Teams to Score (BTTS), and the Asian Handicap line are all evaluated through this lens before a final recommendation is issued.

Azerbaijan Premier League Context: Standings, Form & What's at Stake

League position and match context are decisive inputs. A team fighting relegation defends differently from one chasing European qualification — and our model accounts for that pressure. Check the live Azerbaijan Premier League standings and the Azerbaijan Premier League form table to understand exactly where Mil Mugan and Qarabag sit and what this result means for both clubs.

Prediction Accuracy & Track Record

Betiball.com publishes a weekly prediction accuracy review so you can verify our historical hit rate across 1x2, Over/Under, and BTTS markets. We do not hide results that went against our tip — full transparency on model performance is a core part of how Betiball.com operates. Our Azerbaijan Premier League predictions are among the highest-rated by our users precisely because the data is always shown alongside the recommendation.

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